Benjamin’s Column
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中共司法的條條框框保障的從來不是人民的審美權利,而是把美掃進垃圾堆中去毀滅。

⚠️ WARNING: This video contains GRAPHIC and DISTURBING footage 🚨 This is in Beijing! 🙀A loader rampaged through a Beijing market, leaving multiple casualties. Today, at the Dahanji market in Fangshan, Beijing, a loader rampaged through the market, leaving the entire market in chaos, and many people were knocked down and could not get up. Informed sources said the perpetrator retaliated against society after his home was forcibly relocated, and it is reported that more than 20 people were dead or injured. The man who recorded a clip at the scene said that seven or eight people died, and the actual number of deaths is unknown.

⚠️ WARNING: This video contains GRAPHIC and DISTURBING footage 🚨 This is in Beijing! 🙀A loader rampaged through a Beijing market, leaving multiple casualties. Today, at the Dahanji market in Fangshan, Beijing, a loader rampaged through the market, leaving the entire market in chaos, and many people were knocked down and could not get up. Informed sources said the perpetrator retaliated against society after his home was forcibly relocated, and it is reported that more than 20 people were dead or injured. The man who recorded a clip at the scene said that seven or eight people died, and the actual number of deaths is unknown.


BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile guided by Chinese BeiDou satellites, fuelled by Chinese sodium perchlorate, precisely navigated by Chinese gyroscopic sensors, and fabricated on production lines equipped with Chinese SMIC tools just struck the Neot Hovav industrial zone south of Beersheba. Israel’s largest chemical and hazardous waste complex. Nineteen plants. Adama. Teva Pharmaceutical. Israel Chemicals. A warehouse is burning. Route 40 closed. No injuries. No hazmat release. Fire contained. Four countries built that missile. One country appears at every layer of the supply chain. The same country that processes 85 to 90 percent of the rare earth magnets inside the Arrow interceptor that was fired to stop it. The missile cost Iran between $200,000 and $500,000. The Arrow 3 interceptor that attempted to stop it cost $2 to $4 million. If THAAD was fired, $13 to $15 million. If a Gulf state Patriot battery engaged a Shahed in the same wave, $4 million to stop a $20,000 drone. The cost ratio runs 5 to 1 at the lowest. 200 to 1 at the highest. The defender pays more to stop the weapon than the attacker pays to build it. Every single time. BeiDou is the variable that makes this ratio lethal. Before Chinese satellite integration, Iranian ballistic missiles relied on pure inertial navigation with a circular error probable of 500 to 1,000 metres. With BeiDou-3 hybrid guidance, the CEP drops to 50 to 200 metres. The missile that hit Neot Hovav did not land in the desert. It landed in a 19-plant chemical complex. BeiDou did not make the missile more expensive. It made the same cheap missile accurate enough to force the defender to fire the expensive interceptor every time. The cost of the offence stayed flat. The cost of the defence compounded. The Pentagon burned $5.6 billion in munitions in 48 hours. Israel has fired hundreds of Arrows since February 28, exceeding $1 billion in interception costs. The US requests $200 billion in supplemental funding. Iran’s total offensive expenditure: an estimated $200 million. $200 billion to stop $200 million. A 1,000 to 1 ratio at the strategic level. China is on both sides of the ledger. Chinese BeiDou makes the Iranian missile accurate enough to force interception. Chinese rare earth magnets make the interceptor that fires to stop it. Chinese SMIC tools build the production lines that fabricate the guidance chips. Chinese sodium perchlorate fuels the propellant. Every missile that forces an interception depletes an Arrow that contains Chinese rare earth magnets that are under export restrictions that China controls. The attacker’s supply chain and the defender’s supply chain route through the same country. The country profits from both the missile and the interceptor. The country that makes the offence possible also makes the defence expensive. This is not a war between Iran and Israel. This is a cost function. The cost function has one variable on the offence side: China. And one variable on the defence side: also China. The rare earth magnets in the Arrow motor. The BeiDou signal in the Emad guidance. Both made in the same country. Both consumed in the same exchange. One depleting the other. The war is a Chinese supply chain consuming itself at a ratio that bankrupts the defender before it exhausts the attacker. Neot Hovav is contained. No injuries. No hazmat. And none of that matters. The interceptor was fired. The stockpile shrank. The rare earth magnet was consumed. Tomorrow another BeiDou-guided missile will force another Arrow containing another Chinese magnet to fire at another ratio the defender cannot sustain. The IDF Chief said “collapse.” The interceptor stockpile says the same in a different currency. Both currencies route through Beijing. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile guided by Chinese BeiDou satellites, fuelled by Chinese sodium perchlorate, precisely navigated by Chinese gyroscopic sensors, and fabricated on production lines equipped with Chinese SMIC tools just struck the Neot Hovav industrial zone south of Beersheba. Israel’s largest chemical and hazardous waste complex. Nineteen plants. Adama. Teva Pharmaceutical. Israel Chemicals. A warehouse is burning. Route 40 closed. No injuries. No hazmat release. Fire contained. Four countries built that missile. One country appears at every layer of the supply chain. The same country that processes 85 to 90 percent of the rare earth magnets inside the Arrow interceptor that was fired to stop it. The missile cost Iran between $200,000 and $500,000. The Arrow 3 interceptor that attempted to stop it cost $2 to $4 million. If THAAD was fired, $13 to $15 million. If a Gulf state Patriot battery engaged a Shahed in the same wave, $4 million to stop a $20,000 drone. The cost ratio runs 5 to 1 at the lowest. 200 to 1 at the highest. The defender pays more to stop the weapon than the attacker pays to build it. Every single time. BeiDou is the variable that makes this ratio lethal. Before Chinese satellite integration, Iranian ballistic missiles relied on pure inertial navigation with a circular error probable of 500 to 1,000 metres. With BeiDou-3 hybrid guidance, the CEP drops to 50 to 200 metres. The missile that hit Neot Hovav did not land in the desert. It landed in a 19-plant chemical complex. BeiDou did not make the missile more expensive. It made the same cheap missile accurate enough to force the defender to fire the expensive interceptor every time. The cost of the offence stayed flat. The cost of the defence compounded. The Pentagon burned $5.6 billion in munitions in 48 hours. Israel has fired hundreds of Arrows since February 28, exceeding $1 billion in interception costs. The US requests $200 billion in supplemental funding. Iran’s total offensive expenditure: an estimated $200 million. $200 billion to stop $200 million. A 1,000 to 1 ratio at the strategic level. China is on both sides of the ledger. Chinese BeiDou makes the Iranian missile accurate enough to force interception. Chinese rare earth magnets make the interceptor that fires to stop it. Chinese SMIC tools build the production lines that fabricate the guidance chips. Chinese sodium perchlorate fuels the propellant. Every missile that forces an interception depletes an Arrow that contains Chinese rare earth magnets that are under export restrictions that China controls. The attacker’s supply chain and the defender’s supply chain route through the same country. The country profits from both the missile and the interceptor. The country that makes the offence possible also makes the defence expensive. This is not a war between Iran and Israel. This is a cost function. The cost function has one variable on the offence side: China. And one variable on the defence side: also China. The rare earth magnets in the Arrow motor. The BeiDou signal in the Emad guidance. Both made in the same country. Both consumed in the same exchange. One depleting the other. The war is a Chinese supply chain consuming itself at a ratio that bankrupts the defender before it exhausts the attacker. Neot Hovav is contained. No injuries. No hazmat. And none of that matters. The interceptor was fired. The stockpile shrank. The rare earth magnet was consumed. Tomorrow another BeiDou-guided missile will force another Arrow containing another Chinese magnet to fire at another ratio the defender cannot sustain. The IDF Chief said “collapse.” The interceptor stockpile says the same in a different currency. Both currencies route through Beijing. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

译文:突发新闻:一枚由中国北斗卫星引导、以中国高氯酸钠为燃料、依靠中国陀螺仪传感器进行精密导航、并在配备中国中芯国际(SMIC)设备的生产线上制造的伊朗弹道导弹,刚刚击中了位于贝尔谢巴(Beersheba)以南的内奥特霍瓦夫(Neot Hovav)工业区。这是以色列最大的化学品与危险废弃物综合处理基地,拥有19家工厂,其中包括阿达玛(Adama)、梯瓦制药(Teva Pharmaceutical)和以色列化工(Israel Chemicals)等巨头。目前有一座仓库起火,40号公路已封闭。暂无人员伤亡报告,未发生危险物质泄漏,火势已得到控制。 这枚导弹由四个国家联手打造,而其中一个国家的身影贯穿了整个供应链的每一个环节。巧合的是,正是这个国家,负责加工制造了85%至90%的稀土磁体——而这些磁体正是用于那枚被发射出来试图拦截该导弹的“箭式”(Arrow)拦截弹之中。 这枚导弹的造价在20万至50万美元之间。而试图将其拦截的“箭-3”(Arrow 3)拦截弹,造价高达200万至400万美元。若动用“萨德”(THAAD)系统进行拦截,成本将飙升至1300万至1500万美元。若海湾国家的“爱国者”(Patriot)防空连在同一波次攻击中拦截一架“见证者”(Shahed)无人机,则需耗资400万美元,去拦截一架仅值2万美元的无人机。攻防双方的成本比最低为5比1,最高甚至达到200比1。防守方为拦截武器所付出的代价,总是高于进攻方制造该武器的成本——无一例外。 北斗系统正是导致这种成本比率变得如此致命的关键变量。在整合中国卫星导航技术之前,伊朗的弹道导弹主要依靠纯惯性导航,其圆概率误差(CEP)在500至1000米之间。而在引入“北斗三号”混合制导技术后,其圆概率误差已大幅缩减至50至200米。那枚击中内奥特霍瓦夫的导弹,并没有像往常那样落入荒漠之中,而是精准地命中了那个拥有19家工厂的化学工业综合体。北斗系统的应用并未提高导弹本身的造价,却赋予了这款廉价导弹极高的精度,迫使防守方不得不每一次都发射昂贵的拦截弹进行应对。进攻方的成本维持不变,而防守方的成本却呈几何级数螺旋上升。 在短短48小时内,五角大楼便消耗了价值56亿美元的弹药。自2月28日以来,以色列已发射了数百枚“箭式”拦截弹,仅拦截行动本身的成本就已超过10亿美元。为此,美国正寻求国会批准一笔高达2000亿美元的补充拨款。伊朗的总进攻开支:估算约为2亿美元。而为了拦截这2亿美元的攻击,却耗费了2000亿美元。在战略层面上,这是一种1000比1的悬殊比例。 中国在这笔账目的收支两端都占据了一席之地。正是中国的“北斗”导航系统,赋予了伊朗导弹足够的精度,迫使对方不得不实施拦截;而正是中国的稀土磁体,构成了那些发射升空实施拦截的导弹组件。中国的“中芯国际”(SMIC)提供的设备,构建了制造导弹制导芯片的生产线;而中国的过氯酸钠,则为导弹推进剂提供了燃料。每一枚迫使对方实施拦截的导弹,都会消耗掉一枚“箭式”(Arrow)拦截弹;而这枚拦截弹中,恰恰含有受中国政府出口管制、且由中国掌控的稀土磁体。攻击方的供应链与防御方的供应链,竟然殊途同归,都绕不开同一个国家。这个国家不仅从攻击导弹中获利,同时也从拦截导弹中获利。正是这个国家,既促成了攻击行动的实施,又极大地推高了防御行动的成本。 这并非仅仅是一场伊朗与以色列之间的战争。这本质上是一个“成本函数”。在这个成本函数中,攻击方一侧只有一个变量:中国;而在防御方一侧,变量依然是:中国。无论是“箭式”拦截弹发动机中的稀土磁体,还是“埃马德”(Emad)导弹制导系统中接收的“北斗”信号,两者皆产自同一个国家,且在同一场交锋中被双双消耗。一方的消耗,必然导致另一方的损耗。这场战争,归根结底是一条“中国供应链”在进行自我消耗——其消耗的比例之悬殊,足以让防御方在耗尽攻击方之前,便已率先走向破产。 Neot Hovav 地区已解除警报,局势得到控制。无人员伤亡,亦无危险化学品泄漏。然而,所有这些“无损”的结果,其实都无关紧要。因为拦截弹终究还是发射出去了;拦截弹的库存终究还是缩减了;而那枚稀土磁体,终究还是被消耗掉了。到了明天,又一枚由“北斗”系统制导的导弹将会飞来,再次迫使另一枚装有中国稀土磁体的“箭式”拦截弹升空迎击——而这种极不对称的消耗比例,正是防御方所根本无法长期维系的。 以色列国防军(IDF)总参谋长口中说出了“崩溃”二字;而那日益缩减的拦截弹库存,则以另一种“货币”的形式,印证了同样的预言。而这两种“货币”的流通路径,最终都指向了同一个地方——北京。 完整分析文章请见:open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…


BREAKING: An Iranian ballistic missile guided by Chinese BeiDou satellites, fuelled by Chinese sodium perchlorate, precisely navigated by Chinese gyroscopic sensors, and fabricated on production lines equipped with Chinese SMIC tools just struck the Neot Hovav industrial zone south of Beersheba. Israel’s largest chemical and hazardous waste complex. Nineteen plants. Adama. Teva Pharmaceutical. Israel Chemicals. A warehouse is burning. Route 40 closed. No injuries. No hazmat release. Fire contained. Four countries built that missile. One country appears at every layer of the supply chain. The same country that processes 85 to 90 percent of the rare earth magnets inside the Arrow interceptor that was fired to stop it. The missile cost Iran between $200,000 and $500,000. The Arrow 3 interceptor that attempted to stop it cost $2 to $4 million. If THAAD was fired, $13 to $15 million. If a Gulf state Patriot battery engaged a Shahed in the same wave, $4 million to stop a $20,000 drone. The cost ratio runs 5 to 1 at the lowest. 200 to 1 at the highest. The defender pays more to stop the weapon than the attacker pays to build it. Every single time. BeiDou is the variable that makes this ratio lethal. Before Chinese satellite integration, Iranian ballistic missiles relied on pure inertial navigation with a circular error probable of 500 to 1,000 metres. With BeiDou-3 hybrid guidance, the CEP drops to 50 to 200 metres. The missile that hit Neot Hovav did not land in the desert. It landed in a 19-plant chemical complex. BeiDou did not make the missile more expensive. It made the same cheap missile accurate enough to force the defender to fire the expensive interceptor every time. The cost of the offence stayed flat. The cost of the defence compounded. The Pentagon burned $5.6 billion in munitions in 48 hours. Israel has fired hundreds of Arrows since February 28, exceeding $1 billion in interception costs. The US requests $200 billion in supplemental funding. Iran’s total offensive expenditure: an estimated $200 million. $200 billion to stop $200 million. A 1,000 to 1 ratio at the strategic level. China is on both sides of the ledger. Chinese BeiDou makes the Iranian missile accurate enough to force interception. Chinese rare earth magnets make the interceptor that fires to stop it. Chinese SMIC tools build the production lines that fabricate the guidance chips. Chinese sodium perchlorate fuels the propellant. Every missile that forces an interception depletes an Arrow that contains Chinese rare earth magnets that are under export restrictions that China controls. The attacker’s supply chain and the defender’s supply chain route through the same country. The country profits from both the missile and the interceptor. The country that makes the offence possible also makes the defence expensive. This is not a war between Iran and Israel. This is a cost function. The cost function has one variable on the offence side: China. And one variable on the defence side: also China. The rare earth magnets in the Arrow motor. The BeiDou signal in the Emad guidance. Both made in the same country. Both consumed in the same exchange. One depleting the other. The war is a Chinese supply chain consuming itself at a ratio that bankrupts the defender before it exhausts the attacker. Neot Hovav is contained. No injuries. No hazmat. And none of that matters. The interceptor was fired. The stockpile shrank. The rare earth magnet was consumed. Tomorrow another BeiDou-guided missile will force another Arrow containing another Chinese magnet to fire at another ratio the defender cannot sustain. The IDF Chief said “collapse.” The interceptor stockpile says the same in a different currency. Both currencies route through Beijing. Full analysis: open.substack.com/pub/shanakaans…

狮子每天都要捕杀七只羚羊。羚羊家族焦虑无比。 鬣狗说:只要你们来听我的逃生课,保证你不会成为那七只羚羊之一。 羚羊们欣喜若狂交了课时费。可是狮子每天仍然捕杀七只羚羊,有时候还杀八只。而羚羊家族中上了逃生课的,有的仍被捕杀,没上课的竟也有活下来的。但焦虑让它们趋之若鹜,它们纷纷叫鬣狗为“鬣神”。 鬣狗赚了很多钱,也一点不耽误它进食狮子吃剩下的羚羊尸体。 那一天,鬣狗猝死。马拉卡拉草原上,羚羊家族排着队去悼念鬣狗老师,哭的那个伤心。它们一点都没意识到:这些年,每一天,家族可没被少吃,只是随机换了一批羚羊被吃而已。 羚羊们从不团结,它们终其一生的目标:让家族其他成员去死,自己侥幸活下来。









