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Kai Capital
488 posts

Kai Capital
@Double0Capital
20 y/o 6 Figs / Thesis driven Swing trader / 700%+ returns since Apr 2025 AI Infra - Defense - Semis $PENG $HPE $MRVL $SNDK $MU $EOS.AX $KRKNF $AAOI NFA
New York, NY Joined Temmuz 2020
33 Following101 Followers

Everyone's talking about $NVDA and $MRVL for AI infrastructure.
Nobody's talking about $HPE and its One of My Main convictions right now.
Here's why:
June 1st HPE dropped the best quarter in their history as a standalone company. AI infrastructure revenue up 52% YoY. Networking revenue up 148%. EPS of $0.79 -they guided $0.51–$0.55. GreenLake ARR crossed $2.1B for the first time. AI server backlog hit $4.6B. Stock surged 26% in a single session.
Here's the thesis most people are missing:
HPE isn't just a server company anymore. The $14B Juniper Networks acquisition which finally closed July 2025 after a DOJ fight has turned HPE into a nearly full-stack AI rack provider. Servers AND networking under one roof. That's a fundamentally different company than it was 12 months ago.
The enterprise AI buildout is the second wave. Hyperscalers already built. Now governments and enterprises are racing to build on-premise AI factories with strict data governance requirements. That's exactly where HPE wins: they pair NVIDIA-powered ProLiant Gen12 servers with GreenLake's pay-as-you-go model for sensitive workloads that can't go to the cloud.
Stock is sitting at ~$48 today. Goldman raised their target to $79. Argus raised to $70. Forward P/E of 17.6x which is one of the lowest in its peer group.
Bears will point to insider selling and elevated debt. Both are real risks worth watching.
But the backlog is $4.6B and AI order inflows doubled YoY. That's not hopium. That's a pipeline.
$HPE NFA

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Here's a draft based on everything happening right now:
Deal was supposed to be signed today.
Then Israel bombed Beirut.
Qatar is still in Tehran trying to salvage it. Iran is saying the US needs to "control Israel" before any ink hits paper.
This was supposed to be the day it ended. Hope it still happens.
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@XavierVonZack_ @JUST_KAWS glad you send these, now im certain we are going to 3k
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@YodaStockInvest For sure, I just wouldn't buy it myself after $25 to $70 back without trimming (I was new and very greedy) to $25 during 2025 April lows to finally selling at $55
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🚨 WARNING: MONDAY WILL BE THE WORST DAY OF 2026!!
→ Fed just confirmed rate HIKES.
→ SpaceX IPO sucked ALL liquidity from the market.
→ U.S.-Iran peace deal is officially CANCELLED.
→ China and Japan are DUMPING US Treasuries.
If you hold any assets today, you MUST read this:
When markets open next week, this won't be “just another dip.”
Stocks will dump.
Bonds will dump.
Gold and Silver will dump.
Bitcoin will dump even harder.
Insiders already know what's coming.
They are not buying assets right now.
They are reducing exposure and preparing for the biggest risk-off event of the year.
At the same time, pressure is intensifying throughout the global financial system.
China is continuing to reduce Treasury exposure.
Japan's bond market is collapsing and the BOJ is forced into emergency support operations.
When the world's largest creditors step away from sovereign debt markets simultaneously, liquidity evaporates.
→ Japanese bond yields are exploding higher
→ Demand for U.S. Treasuries is deteriorating
→ Global bond markets are under extreme stress
→ Energy markets remain highly unstable
→ Liquidity conditions are tightening everywhere
→ Volatility is spreading across every major asset class
→ And the SpaceX IPO has just absorbed a massive amount of liquidity
This is no longer a localized issue.
This is systemic stress building across MULTIPLE sectors simultaneously.
And now geopolitical risk has entered the picture.
Energy markets become impossible to control.
Oil does not rise slowly.
It goes parabolic.
Critical shipping routes become exposed.
Global supply chains become disrupted.
Inflation accelerates worldwide.
Which means interest rates stay higher for longer.
And risk assets?
They do not correct.
They DUMP.
This is exactly how financial chain reactions begin.
Because once markets start pricing long-term instability instead of short-term uncertainty, everything changes.
I have spent decades studying macro cycles, liquidity flows, and systemic market reactions like this.
When the next move becomes clear, I will share it publicly.
Follow and turn notifications on.
Because by the time the mainstream media starts reporting it, the opportunity is already gone.
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@cmsinvests I'm joking man, there is no shot it's going to 100T 😂
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so help me understand
if i put $1,000 into a $2T company at IPO
and the company goes to $100T
i will only make $50,000
but everyone is going to get rich off these ipos, right?
Kalshi@Kalshi
JUST IN: SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI are expected to create 20 new billionaires
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@chasedownleads Honestly surprised more businesses aren't using this new tech, we could see more $NVDA's pop up at this rate
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@Double0Capital Congratulations buddy!!! Keep posting great content and keep engaging.
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