Fixed__Point

A normie like me shouldn’t be able to make money trading manually. But with a combo of @VolSignals VS3D and @JungleRockRes ES levels, I’ve beat the market in Jan, March, and am beating so far in April. Fundamentally understanding what you’re looking at and a confidence in positions is a beautiful thing.

Following the ES bull bear level It was posted well in advance for today 🤝

JUST IN: NVIDIA launches "Ising," the world's first open-source AI models built to accelerate useful quantum computers.

Core CPI was relatively tame across the board Core goods was +0.11% m/m, +0.9% 3m annual rate, +1.2% y/y Housing was +0.27% m/m, +2.9% 3m annual rate, +3.0% y/y Core services ex-housing was +0.18% m/m, +4.6% 3m annual rate, +3.1% y/y

The Fed minutes showed "the vast majority" of officials thought inflation progress could be slower than expected, driven by three overlapping concerns: tariff effects on goods prices that may take longer to fade, oil prices bleeding into core inflation, and the risk that years of above-target inflation have left expectations more vulnerable to another shock.

A durable cease-fire narrows the tail risks for the Fed on both sides, but it may do so asymmetrically: it cuts off the demand destruction tail that could have forced near-term cuts arguably more than it cuts off the upside inflation risk given the potential for a higher floor for energy plus echoes of the initial supply disruptions

Looking through the volatility of the first three months of the year, the economy added 15,000 jobs on average over the past six months and 68,000 per month so far in 2026.

The economy added +178,000 jobs in March and the unemployment rate fell to 4.3%. But revisions sent February to -133,000 from -92,000. January was revised up to +160,000 from +126,000.

BREAKING: Trump announces the special military operation in Iran is “nearing completion”

Dallas Fed: Using newly available microdata that measure net unauthorized immigration through December 2025, an estimate of breakeven job growth is lower than previously thought and could be slightly negative. Monthly job change of -3,000 per month would have been enough to hold the unemployment rate steady between August and December. dallasfed.org/research/econo…

Job openings for January were revised up, but the three-month moving average continues to gently grind lower through February There were 0.9 vacancies for every worker counted as unemployed in February, near the low for the current business cycle.

@VolatilityQ Do they have adult versions? I’m sure it would become a thing! 😮‍💨💦

JPM estimates $65bn in equity buying for the quarter-end rebalancing trade tomorrow. Take it with a grain of salt- but here are their estimates dating back to Mar22

Powell's big caveat on looking past the energy price shock: "You can have a series of these supply shocks and that can lead the public generally—businesses, price setters, households—to start expecting higher inflation over time. Why wouldn’t they?" The dilemma for the Fed: An energy shock can simultaneously push prices higher and drag down economic growth by squeezing household budgets and raising costs for businesses. That leaves policymakers weighing whether to prioritize fighting inflation or cushioning the economy, well aware that the standard tools for solving one problem may make the other worse. Powell dances around saying how the Fed would answer such a riddle. "We will eventually maybe face the question of what to do here. We're not really facing it yet because we don't know what the economic effects will be." wsj.com/economy/centra…

Macroeconomic Indicators - Available for free on the Jungle Rock platform

Yields on the two-year Treasury note are up 0.516 pp since Feb. 27, the day before strikes on Iran, to 3.893%. That’s the highest close since July. The gain over the last three weeks is the largest since May 2023 (the reversal of the SVB rally). The gain of 0.223 over the last three days is the largest since April 9, 2025, when Trump announced the suspension of the Liberation Day tariffs.

JUST IN: U.S. partners with Venezuela to restore Venezuela’s energy sector.

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The U.S. Just Launched A MAJOR Strike against Kharg Island Off the southern coast of Iran.

After downward revisions to the 2025 employment data, the drop-off in job openings at the end of last year looks less pronounced than it initially appeared. January shows some improvement in the job vacancy-to-unemployed worker ratio, which rose to 0.97 from 0.87 in December