Ted Gomez
7.6K posts

Ted Gomez
@doyerfan55
MIT grad. CEO of MTN consulting. Dodger fan for 40 years. Wall Street Trends top 1% commercial RE broker. Collectibles Expert.
Brentwood, CA Joined Aralık 2023
103 Following564 Followers

I think the housing market will depreciate 40% in the next four years. The housing market correction will affect markets differently. Here is what I forecast for individual cities.
LA - down 10%
Seattle - down 8%
Bay Area - down 7%
Las Vegas - down 60%
Phoenix - down 45%
Denver - down 30%
Dallas - down 40%
Austin - down 50%
Kansas City - down 10%
Twin Cities - down 12%
Chicago - down 15%
Detroit - down 20%
Cleveland - down 10%
New York City - down 8%
Boston - down 5%
DMV - down 10%
Nashville - down 25%
Atlanta - down 20%
Charlotte - down 15%
Tampa - down 60%
Jacksonville - down 65%
Miami - down 20%
The snowbird and transient cities are going to get hit the hardest in the housing correction. The coastal and flyover areas will be the most stable.
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Mark my words. These 5 stocks will create millionaires by 2028:
$SOFI at $16 - Digital bank crossing $1B quarterly revenue. CEO just bought $1.5M in shares.
$HOOD at $70 - $4.5B revenue. 52% YoY growth. 750K international customers and scaling.
$IREN at $33 - $9.7B Microsoft contract. 4.5 GW data center pipeline. BTC-to-AI pivot.
$ASTS at $80 -$1.2B backlog. 3B potential subscribers. Verizon, AT&T, STC deals.. 60 satellites by year-end. Path to $1B revenue by 2027
$SYM at $50 - AI-powered robotics disrupting a $100B+ warehouse industry $22.3B backlog. Walmart, Medline, Albertsons deals
Most of these are down 30-50% from their highs.
Bookmark this. Come back in 2028.




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@nickgerli1 They’re building smaller homes that are less expensive.
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Lennar, America's 2nd largest builder, has cut prices 24% from peak.
Their price on new deliveries hit $491k in 2022.
But they've cut by over $110k since then, through price reductions and mortgage buydowns.
The result is a $374k net price in 2026, down -8% YoY and -24% from peak.
This is the cheapest we've seen in a decade, even lower than the pre-pandemic norms.
This is actually great news for homebuyers. Housing deflation is setting in, and Lennar is leading the charge for builders in returning affordability to buyers.

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@hamptonism This is one of the best times to buy a home in modern history
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I've told you all until I was blue in the face:
House prices are most definitely going to correct. Significantly.
Darth Powell@VladTheInflator
LLLLLLLLLLLLLFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGGOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO US New Home Sales Collapse By Most In 13 Years In January - ZH
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@doyerfan55 @usnavycmdr @BrnovichMel Longtime shareholder here and very familiar with the players in our Fannie/Freddie saga.
It's legit. Ackman follows Navy and reposts him frequently. Being that they follow each other, they have DM capabilities.
Navy's not going to put anything bogus out there. He's a real one.
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Fannie and Freddie Shares Tank as Doubt Swirls About Trump Plans
March 18, 2026
news.bloomberglaw.com/banking-law/fa…
Lake San Marcos, CA 🇺🇸 English

@StealthQE4 1. Oakland is a shithole
2. Prices ain’t dropping with lower rates, lol
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Looks about right on target.
Don’t expect this drop to slow anytime soon.
Wolf Richter@wolfofwolfst
The Most Splendid Housing Bubbles in America: Price Drops & Gains in 33 Big Expensive Cities, February 2026. Each city has its own housing market. In some, home prices have dropped a lot; in others, prices have hit new highs wolfstreet.com/2026/03/17/the…
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@VladTheInflator No. Mortgage rates will dip and home prices will skyrocket.
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@HorsemanCountry Yep! I doubt he pulls it off though. I don’t see him as a deal maker.
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$FNMA $FMCC
Well done, @pulte!
Speaking of easing, an uplist to the NYSE would ease some massive bleeding for Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac shareholders.
We're hemorrhaging…but you could be our Moses and deliver us from the bondage of pink sheet prison!
Whadaya say?
Pulte@pulte
Fannie and Freddie ease insurance rules: mpamag.com/us/mortgage-in…
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@jonbrooks @jasonjosephlee Move to CA John. It’s white hot here. More busy than 2021.
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@jasonjosephlee Yep. Widespread.
Even RE investors, flippers, etc are just depressed. And it hasn’t even started yet
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@jasonjosephlee lol, RE is white hot here in CA. Everyone broker I’ve spoken too has to much business.
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@jonbrooks lol that was 2022. RE is white hot here in SoCal.
Not shocked ghetto markets like TX and FL are struggling
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As the housing market starts to correct and prices come down, there will be fantastic opportunities to pick up real estate prices from distressed sellers at discounted prices...
However, it takes YEARS for the market to correct, this is not going to happen overnight.
Revisit this in 2-3 years.
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Some food highlight for Opening Day at Dodger Stadium:
- Loco Moco Bowl
- Cochinita Pibil Bone Marrow Tacos
- Char Siu Pork Loaded Fries
- Watermelon Habanero Margarita
Credit to @levyrestaurants for the photos.




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@BrittanyinTexas Sad to see mental illness in a hot chick. They’re typically very ugly.
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@jonbrooks I wish I had a Time Machine to go back and buy at those prices
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Reminder: In bubble-heavy Sun Belt markets, homes were underwater for a decade+ after the GFC.
Phoenix
• Prices peaked in 2006
• Didn’t regain nominal highs until ~2017
→ ~11 years underwater
Las Vegas
• One of the worst housing crashes ever
• Nominal recovery took ~10–11 years
• Inflation-adjusted? Even longer
Florida
• Prices peaked 2006–07
• Bottomed 2011–12
• Many markets didn’t regain nominal highs until 2016–18
In real terms, parts of the Sun Belt spent ~10–14 years underwater.
“Housing always bounces back quickly” is a myth.
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