Rob
5.2K posts
Rob
@offlinerob
I post a daily #BTC report that helps 🫵 identify macro tops and bottoms. *My posts are NOT financial advice*
Joined Nisan 2015
99 Following537 Followers
4. Summary
The question on everyone's mind is: Did #BTC bottom already, and if not, when will it and at what price?
While it is possible that $60k in early February was the bottom, it's not my base case. I'm targeting a lower low sometime later this year.
Here's why:
1. Bear market bottoms typically happen ~12 months after the prior high.
2. Price typically bottoms below the 200W SMA (currently $59k).
3. Price typically bottoms around the balanced and realized prices (currently $39k & $54k).
4. Price typically bottoms in the 0 - 0.2 risk bands (currently $35k - $48k).
5. Factoring in diminished returns, a 65% - 70% decline is a reasonable expectation, which would be $38k - $44k.
One reasonable argument for the bottom being in already is the fact that not a single top indicator flashed when Bitcoin topped back in October 2025. It is possible that we see a similarly muted bottom, which may have happened already.
Assuming $60k was NOT the bottom though, everything is pointing towards a bottom somewhere between $38k - $50k later this year.
See you next time 🙂
Chart credit: @intocryptoverse
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Quarterly candle view of the Bitcoin 4 Year Cycle. Just like all prior Cycles, despite the relentless narrative changes you hear.
Don't get hung up on price. Time matters more than Price. Time gives structure.
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@DrProfitCrypto Hey, Doctor, the news you’ve brought back is really bad
If the target is below 50,000, what are the driving factors
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The bottom for BTC was not in
More and more down we go
Expecting targets below 50k
The bear leads with full strength
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@DrProfitCrypto “full strength bear”
you’d expect panic and forced selling
this just feels like a grind lower
not sure that’s the same thing
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Tron is one of the B.E.S.T.
TRON DAO@trondao
.@Anchorage, home to America’s first federally chartered crypto bank, today announced that it will now support the TRON Network, bringing secure, institutional-grade custody and infrastructure to one of the largest and most widely used networks in crypto. Through this integration, institutions will be able to custody TRX, the native utility token of the TRON network, on Anchorage Digital’s regulated platform. More details from @TheBlockCo 👇 theblock.co/post/395200/an…
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4. Summary
The question on everyone's mind is: Did #BTC bottom already, and if not, when will it and at what price?
While it is possible that $60k in early February was the bottom, it's not my base case. I'm targeting a lower low sometime later this year.
Here's why:
1. Bear market bottoms typically happen ~12 months after the prior high.
2. Price typically bottoms below the 200W SMA (currently $58k).
3. Price typically bottoms around the balanced and realized prices (currently $39k & $54k).
4. Price typically bottoms in the 0 - 0.2 risk bands (currently $35k - $50k).
5. Factoring in diminished returns, a 65% - 70% decline is a reasonable expectation, which would be $38k - $44k.
One reasonable argument for the bottom being in already is the fact that not a single top indicator flashed when Bitcoin topped back in October 2025. It is completely possible that we see a similarly muted bottom, which may have happened already.
Assuming $60k was NOT the bottom though, everything is pointing towards a bottom somewhere between $38k - $50k later this year.
See you next time 🙂
Chart credit: @intocryptoverse
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@intocryptoverse 🎯 Be careful chasing yield, folks. We all know how that turned out last cycle!
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If you have to ask where the yield comes from, it means you are the yield
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