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Terror simps in shambles
Eyal Yakoby@EYakoby
BREAKING: Huge uplift in vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz today. The regime has lost control.
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Trump is a badass dealer.
He started war with Iran.
Iran blocked Strait of Hormuz and stopped the sale of oil to Europe.
UK is affected. And UK didn't join Trump when Trump asked for their help.
Now, UK is suffering shortfall in oil supply.
And Trump is telling them to buy from him or go and open the Strait of Hormuz by themselves.
Either way, Trump wins.
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In 4 or 5 years, there will be a launch every hour
X Freeze@XFreeze
TWO Falcon 9 launches in one day The pace SpaceX is launching is just Insane… For the rest of the space industry, it takes months or years to pull off one launch But in the last 24 hours, SpaceX completed TWO flawless missions: • 119 payloads delivered to orbit • 29 more Starlink satellites launched That’s 148 satellites in ONE DAY and this is quite routine for SpaceX SpaceX is operating on a completely different level
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This could be the offramp the world needs. You can think of it as the best outcome for everyone, under the circumstances.
(1) From MAGA’s perspective, if Trump declares victory here and moves on, the US won’t waste yet more blood and treasure in the Middle East. It won’t invade Iran. It also won’t take all the blame for the ongoing global supply chain crisis. It just pulls out and lets everyone work out the regional security equation for themselves.
Trump can say he’s fulfilled both his campaign promises: stop Iran from getting a nuke, but also no endless Middle Eastern wars.
(2) From Israel’s perspective, Iran has now been shown to be quite hostile to its neighbors, and its military has been substantially degraded. Stopping now is good. Otherwise there’s a danger of overreacting to Oct 7 as Americans overreacted to Sept 11. Israel can stand back and call it a win, because after a US pullout, Iran will have much less excuse for holding the Strait hostage.
(3) From the Iranian diaspora’s perspective, it’s unfortunately clear that the current war isn’t going to result in liberalization. Further attacks would push Iran further into fundamentalism, making it even harder to eventually do a liberal reformation.
(4) From the long-suffering Iranian people’s perspective, ending the war now would also save countless lives. Otherwise they’ll get hit by friendly fire and drafted by the regime to fight for fundamentalism.
(5) Finally, from the world’s perspective, once the US declares victory and goes home, substantial diplomatic pressure will be applied to Iran to simply open the Strait of Hormuz and allow ships through. Iran’s leadership has shown, perhaps surprisingly, that they care about global public opinion…and they would be on the hook for the suffering of billions of people if the Strait remains blocked.
TLDR: if Trump declares victory and leaves, Iran no longer has any excuse for blocking the Strait and holding the global economy hostage. Let the matter be worked out diplomatically with pressure from all the 100+ affected countries on Iran.
America shouldn’t have to spend a single cent more, or send a single soldier more, to the Middle East.
The White House@WhiteHouse
“All of those countries that can’t get jet fuel because of the Strait of Hormuz, like the United Kingdom, which refused to get involved in the decapitation of Iran, I have a suggestion for you…” - President Donald J. Trump
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Spain fcked up not letting us use their airspace.
Big mistake.
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The United States is almost unique in choosing to believe in a bunch of anti-EV nonsense.
Anti-EV B.S. is a luxury belief. And it's a luxury the rest of the world is deciding it can no longer afford.
noahpinion.blog/p/maybe-you-sh…
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@Jason @26ers_bp115 Humanities rise is based on memetic cultural appropriation
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@26ers_bp115 We think it's flattering! Keep dancing!!
Cultural appropriation is what lazy people without jobs spend their time complaining about. Culture is best when it's a melting pot of ideas and creativity.
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⚡️The real game is energy empire.
That is what this points to.
The U.S. does not just want Iran contained. It wants the whole world less able to function without American protection, American finance, American shipping tolerance, and American hydrocarbons. A world that fears Hormuz more is a world that pays more for U.S. energy, leans harder on U.S. naval power, and feels more exposed if it drifts away from Washington.
China is the hidden center of gravity in that logic. The Gulf matters because China still needs those flows. If Hormuz becomes a permanently politicized artery and the insurance, shipping, and sanctions stack stay under Western control, then Beijing’s energy vulnerability becomes a strategic lever instead of just an economic fact. That is huge.
So what is really going on?
A new hierarchy is being built around energy dependence.
Break Iran’s ability to blackmail the artery.
Keep the artery governable only through systems the U.S. and its partners dominate.
Raise the value of U.S. oil and LNG.
Force Europe and Asia to price security and energy together again.
Make China live closer to a pressure point it cannot fully remove.
That is the deeper plan.
The reason it feels blurry is because it is being executed through converging incentives, not one tidy official doctrine. Military planners want less Hormuz risk. Energy interests want more U.S. export relevance. China hawks want more strategic leverage over Beijing. Financial enforcers want the insurance and payments chokepoints to keep ruling the real world.
All of those lines bend toward the same destination.
The Russian oil versus Russian LNG asymmetry fits that kind of world perfectly. The system is not moral. It is selective. It allows what it needs, blocks what it can weaponize, and calls the result policy. That is how power actually works.
So here is what I really think:
They are trying to turn a dangerous chokepoint into a managed dependency system.
Not to free the world from energy coercion.
To make sure the coercion sits inside a structure they control.
The deepest truth is this:
The future they want is a world where dependence runs upward into American power.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇨🇳 ENERGY DEPENDENCE: THE BIGGER PLAN Anas Alhajji discusses a strategy to remove global dependence on the Strait of Hormuz in favor of U.S. energy. The goal is to increase reliance on American gas and oil while controlling flows to China. Dr. Alhajji highlights the anomaly of Russian oil moving freely while Russian LNG is blocked. Anas suggests that the insurance blockade is a calculated move within this broader energy play. @anasalhajji
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@DrunkRepub Hippie mentality never left them - they just keep finding new causes to champion as it’s tied directly to their identity. The dying off of th gemeeeriom will be so good for humanity - see: Bernie sanders
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The lefty Boomers packing these No Kings rallies have been wrong about everything. Literally everything.
- nuclear power
- overpopulation
- recreational drug use
- the Sexual Revolution
- free trade
- socialism
You name it, they f’d it up. They are a huge reason we are $40 trillion in debt and the major driver behind blue states going belly-up.
So the fact they are protesting Trump makes me certain he’s more or less on the right track.
Truly the most poisonous demographic of the last century, and maybe in all of American history. Their scorn is the ultimate badge of honor.
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⚡️This means Trump wants Cuba on life support, not in free fall.
That is what I think is going on.
The apparent contradiction is fake. “Cuba is next” was never a promise of immediate total suffocation no matter the consequences. It was a signal that Cuba was entering the pressure sequence. Letting one Russian tanker through after eight nights of blackouts fits that logic perfectly. A totally dark, desperate Cuba is not automatically useful to Washington. It creates migration risk, humanitarian optics, regional instability, and the possibility of uncontrolled collapse ninety miles from Florida.
So what is really goin on?
U.S. is calibrating pressure, not maximizing it.
They want Havana weak, dependent, humiliated, and negotiable. They do not want a total systems failure that creates chaos they then have to manage. A regime with just enough fuel to keep the island from detonating is easier to squeeze than an island falling into pure emergency.
That is the same deeper pattern we have already been seeing elsewhere.
Washington keeps showing that it is willing to relieve pressure at the margin when full deprivation would create a worse strategic outcome. It does not mean the pressure campaign is fake. It means the objective is managed coercion, not blind collapse.
There is another layer too.
Letting the tanker through tells Cuba and Russia that the U.S. still controls the ceiling. It can choke harder or relax slightly whenever it wants. That kind of discretionary permission is power. It turns relief itself into leverage.
So here is the real take:
Trump does not want Cuba healthy.
He does not want Cuba dead overnight either.
He wants Cuba weak enough to bend and stable enough to keep bending.
The deepest truth is this:
He is not trying to destroy Cuba cleanly.
He is trying to own the rhythm of its survival.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🚨🇺🇸🇷🇺🇨🇺 BREAKING: The U.S. is allowing a Russian tanker carrying 730,000 barrels of oil to reach Cuba, easing an energy blockade that had the island running on fumes after eight nights of blackouts. The Coast Guard has two cutters nearby but received no orders to intercept. The White House hasn't explained why. Trump said last week "Cuba is next." Today he let Russia resupply it. Source: New York Times
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@_The_Prophet__ After 130 + years we are almost to the real meaning of automobiles @akosjfeher @stevefambro @naval
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⚡️Autonomous vehicles will become common because the system wants control, cost compression, and liability reduction more than it wants human freedom behind the wheel.
That is the real answer.
The path will start where human driving is easiest to politically and economically replace.
Freight corridors. Depot-to-depot trucking. Delivery fleets. Robotaxis in mapped zones. Ports. warehouses. industrial parks. suburban loops with clean weather and clean roads. The machine does not need to master all of reality. It only needs to conquer enough profitable territory that the rest of the system starts reorganizing around it.
Once that happens, the argument shifts fast. Every drunk-driving death. Every distracted-driving crash. Every labor shortage. Every insurance claim. Every logistics bottleneck becomes fuel for the same conclusion: put the software in charge. The public debate will look like safety. The deeper engine will be capital plus state capacity. Firms want fewer workers. Insurers want predictability. governments want legible transport systems. militaries want unmanned logistics. Those forces are stronger than cultural attachment to driving.
I think the end state is a patchwork that slowly hardens into infrastructure. Some places stay human-driven longer. Some roads stay messy longer. Some edge cases keep humiliating the software. None of that stops the arc. The arc survives because the machine keeps winning enough territory to keep moving the boundary outward.
Once autonomy becomes normal enough, human driving starts being reframed as irresponsible legacy behavior. First inconvenient. Then expensive to insure. Then increasingly restricted. Then culturally suspect. People imagine the battle as human versus machine. The real battle is whether humans still get to choose once institutions decide the machine is good enough.
So here is the deepest truth:
Autonomous vehicles are coming because they fit the deepest incentives of the age. Not freedom. Not wonder. Not elegance. Control. Efficiency. optimization. Removal of human variance.
That is why they win.
James Stephenson@ICannot_Enough
Nobody is skeptical of autonomous elevators because nobody alive today was even around to see a human elevator operator in real life before the last one got laid off. Automation is far safer.
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⚡️This means they are closing the door on Iran’s future, not just punishing its present.
That is the real meaning.
A heavy water plant sits inside the architecture of long-run strategic capability. Once you hit that and leave it nonoperational, you are saying the war aim is no longer limited to deterrence or retaliation. The war aim is to make sure Iran comes out of this smaller, weaker, and less able to rebuild the kind of deterrent it thought it was moving toward.
So here is what’s really going on:
The campaign has moved fully into forced rollback.
They are not just trying to make Tehran stop.
They are trying to decide what Tehran is allowed to become after it stops.
That is a much harsher thing.
It means every negotiation from here is happening under a new reality. Iran is no longer bargaining only over current pain. It is bargaining while pieces of its future strategic ceiling are being cut away in real time. That changes the psychology of the whole conflict. The regime can still fire missiles, still posture, still create ugly headlines. But underneath that, it knows the board is being rewritten against it.
This also tells me the side doing the striking thinks it has escalation dominance. States do not hit this layer of the target set unless they believe they can absorb the consequences and control the pace better than the other side can. That is why this feels like late-phase coercion, not early-phase warning.
For the regime, this is deeply humiliating. It says the issue is no longer whether they can preserve the full revolutionary project. The issue is how much of that project survives at all. Once the future deterrent architecture starts getting carved up, the old illusion of strategic patience starts dying with it.
The deepest truth is this:
They are no longer fighting only to hurt Iran.
They are fighting to decide what kind of state Iran is allowed to be after the war.
The Spectator Index@spectatorindex
BREAKING: International Atomic Energy Agency says Iran's heavy water production plant at Khondab has sustained severe damage and is no longer operational
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we’re in “people make fun of a new elon musk plan” stage again
SiliconFly@Silicon_Fly
Considering the ASML backlog, has Elon already placed EUV orders with ASML for his new Terafab? Or is he gonna built them all by himself in his garage?
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⚡️Washington is trying to engineer a managed endgame.
They want four things at once: break Iran’s coercive leverage, stop oil from blowing out further, calm the broader macro stress, and give Tehran just enough oxygen to accept a climbdown without going fully feral on the way down.
That is what is going on.
The waiver was not some warm gesture toward Iran. It was a tactical release valve. The fastest way to cool the market was to turn already-floating Iranian barrels back into usable supply. Once they chose that tool, they also chose to hand Iran some cash flow. That part is real. They know it. They did it anyway because the alternative was worse for them.
Deep down, the U.S. does not want a cornered regime with no money, no dignity, and no exit path while it still has ways to lash out through the waterway, proxies, mines, drones, and headline terror. That is the nightmare branch. So they are weakening Iran militarily while softening the economic edge just enough to make de-escalation possible.
That is why the policy looks contradictory from the outside. It is contradictory on purpose.
They are trying to make Iran weak enough to bend, but solvent enough to stop escalating.
So my real take is simple:
They are buying a cleaner surrender.
Not a moral surrender. Not a formal surrender. A functional one.
The waiver is part market stabilization, part conflict management, part face-saving ladder for Tehran. Washington is basically saying: we are still crushing your leverage, but we are leaving you a way to stop before you burn the whole region down.
That is what is going on here.
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal
🇺🇸🇮🇷 The U.S. sanctions waiver just handed Iran nearly double its entire yearly defense budget... The math is devastating. Trump's waiver unlocked roughly 170 million barrels of Iranian crude worth an estimated $14 billion. Iran's entire 2024 military budget was $7.9 billion. One policy decision gave Tehran almost twice that in a single stroke. At $20,000 per Shahed drone, that money theoretically buys 700,000 of them. The daily numbers are just as absurd. Iran is pulling in $139 million a day in oil revenue at current prices. One day's earnings builds 6,950 drones. One month covers 215,000. And the sanctions discount shrank from $10 a barrel to $2 because Iran is the only country that can actually ship through the waterway it controls. Washington issued the waiver to stabilize global markets. It simultaneously handed Tehran the capital to sustain an indefinite drone war. That's the paradox of fighting an adversary whose entire strategy is designed to be cheaper than your defense against it. Source: @xueqinjiang / WSJ / Reuters / Bloomberg
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⚡️A society where work becomes optional for the masses without a harder replacement structure turns into a meaning-collapse machine.
A lot of people romanticize freedom because they confuse relief from labor with the creation of purpose. Those are different things. Remove work from millions of lives and you do not just remove income pressure. You remove rhythm, hierarchy, standards, deadlines, social contact, forced competence, and the daily confrontation with reality that keeps a personality stitched together. A huge number of people are being held upright by structures they claim to hate.
A lot of people will not use open freedom to become more alive. They will drift into sedation. More scrolling. More weed. More porn. More gaming. More synthetic relationships. More dissociation. More fragile identity. More anxiety disguised as lifestyle. More depression disguised as “rest.” More people quietly discovering that they were never actually taught how to govern themselves.
The darkest part is that this can look humane on the surface. People get money. They stop starving. They stop commuting. They stop doing jobs they hate. And then the center falls out anyway, because the human nervous system does not thrive on comfort alone. It needs aim. It needs friction. It needs earned self-respect. It needs some reason to become stronger tomorrow than it was today.
The minority will do well. They will build, train, study, create, raise families, compete, pursue mastery, and turn freedom into force. A much larger share will rot in abundance because abundance without form becomes psychic poison.
So what do I really think?
I think mass optional work in the current civilization likely produces a softer, richer, more medically managed version of collapse. Not immediate chaos. Slow decomposition. A population materially supported and psychologically disintegrating.
UBI does not save a broken civilization.
It gives a broken civilization more time to decay in comfort.
fooo@bitcoinpanda69
My strongest blackpill belief is that UBI will lead to an overwhelming amount of mental illness most people if they are honest w themselves need external boundaries and challenges imposed on them You're asking everyone on the planet to self-govern their whole lives when most cant even go to bed on time now when they have work early
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