Semper (🌽,🌾)

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Semper (🌽,🌾)

Semper (🌽,🌾)

@AltiusSemper

Higher Se unió Nisan 2022
4.6K Siguiendo1.1K Seguidores
Citrini
Citrini@citrini·
The people have voted, we are sending someone to the strait.
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Semper (🌽,🌾)
Semper (🌽,🌾)@AltiusSemper·
@jnconkle you keeping any of ur oilies, looking at collars for some but i think some others just tight stops and gtfo if hit
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Semper (🌽,🌾)
Semper (🌽,🌾)@AltiusSemper·
CATAN MARKET
Ole S Hansen@Ole_S_Hansen

#Agriculture: Beyond the energy sector - where a tight, supply-driven surge has attracted strong demand from leveraged funds - the grains sector has staged a strong revival. The move is being supported by a potent combination of deteriorating US winter wheat conditions, following a prolonged period of heat and drought across the Plains, and escalating geopolitical disruption. The Iran war has impeded both energy flows and fertilizer trade, prompting farmers globally to scramble for critical inputs. Year-to-date, a 12% gain in the Bloomberg Grains Subindex has forced a covering of entrenched short positions in wheat, while long positions in corn, soybean meal, and soybean oil have climbed beyond 12-month highs. Collectively, this has driven a sharp shift in managed money positioning across six key futures contracts - from a net short of 258k contracts in late January to a four-year high net long of 720k in the latest reporting week. The surge in input costs—particularly diesel and fertilizers - raises the risk of reduced planting or lower yields, ultimately increasing the likelihood of tighter supply and higher global food prices. #wheat #soybeans #corn

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Semper (🌽,🌾)
Semper (🌽,🌾)@AltiusSemper·
ahhhhhhhh i’ve clicked on too many japanese accounts
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Semper (🌽,🌾) retuiteado
ʎllǝuuop ʇuǝɹq
ʎllǝuuop ʇuǝɹq@donnelly_brent·
Welcome to the golden age of dashboards
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Citrini
Citrini@citrini·
Likely going to put in a bottom on Monday…in the short term, at least.
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🏴‍☠️
🏴‍☠️@calvinfroedge·
Before having a conversation with an industrial logistics expert on the Strait of Hormuz closure, please read this book
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Jared L Kubin
Jared L Kubin@JaredKubin·
LIQUIDATION NATION eow 3/27: *Frankly my dear, I don't give a damn... markets emo right now on headlines* **VIOLENT ... but orderly stagflationary type week... the problem is positioning heavily the opposite** ***MACRO PULSE for the win*** ****Remember... "take all you can eat, but EAT all you take"**** Btw did you hear Don's view on Chemicals? Go listen.... Top 10 and Bottom 10 movers "make sense" this week if you take a step back. Distribution of outcomes have gotten very wide... books have been FORCED de-grossed... and you have an inflationary impulse throwing gas right now. HIGH BETA and speculative asset ... liquid MAG7 ... all the first sold and shorted. Inflation levered asset bid... what are the potential catalysts over the coming weeks? Qualitative weekend work.. 1. Where are your portfolio pain points? 2. Where is it MORE volatile than you would have thought? 3. Is there anything you are too big in? 4. Are you making any aggregate implicit bets? multiple names acting like 1? 5. What's on your WISH LIST? Any name, you are dying to buy, that are at reasonable levels? maybe time to take a look on a longer term time horizon... Next week we will drill down on quantitative work to start drilling down on RISK MANAGEMENT SERIES ep 2. Have a good weekend. Manage Risk.
Jared L Kubin tweet mediaJared L Kubin tweet media
Jared L Kubin@JaredKubin

RISK MANAGEMENT 101 | EPISODE 1: Science Meets Chaos This is a beginner series. We will go deeper one episode at a time (20min) Practitioners will know much of this already... good. Episode 1 covers the building blocks: why the bell curve breaks, what is driving the chaos, who the players are, and why modern markets move faster and hit harder than most investors realize. Next episode... now that we know what the monster is... how do we survive and size? 02:21 Structural Changes in Markets 06:50 Who are the main players? 09:29 5 foundational elements to risk management 14:24 Intro to Factor Models 16:20 How much Chaos am I willing to own? 17:00 Sizing is a risk decision not a capital decision

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