Beyond Expected

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Beyond Expected

Beyond Expected

@BeyondXGoals

Bridging the gap between the eye test and advanced analytics. Primarily for The Detroit Red Wings but I will cover games from other teams occasionally.

Se unió Şubat 2026
31 Siguiendo7 Seguidores
Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
I think the entire hockey community is skewed when it comes to player development. Plante is likely only a 30 to 40 point NHL player right now. Especially at his size. It's a success bias. We look back at success stories. We don't look back at the average. And this isn't a shot at Plante. Players his age who score 30 to 40 points in the NHL often become 60 to 80 point players. The main issue is strength. It helps that Plante is in the NCAA over juniors. But even the NCAA is MUCH weaker than the NHL. That being said. 30 to 40 points would put him 6th on the team. So it would be a boost for the Wings. But on the other hand there are also success stories for players of Max's caliber staying in the NCAA. Johnny Gaudreau. The most important thing for the wings to do is to help Max achieve his height in the NHL. Which is probably a point per game in his prime years. And if he ends up falling short and becoming a middle 6 player with 40 to 60 points most years, that's still a huge success for a 2nd round player.
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Max Bultman
Max Bultman@m_bultman·
@CassellDawg17 The org is well aware of Max Plante's success, I promise you. That's why I keep telling you, it is his call. If he signs or not, I don't know, but it'll be his call. They're aware. I promise.
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Darth Ray-der’s Vigil
Darth Ray-der’s Vigil@CassellDawg17·
Incentive with his brothers sure But I don’t care about size and he’s not Jimmy Vesey getting the award because hes a 5th year, he’s a sophomore The wings not getting this guy into the line up AT LEAST by next year would suck. No hobey baker winner stayed back in 20 years
Max Bultman@m_bultman

@TlingitPatriot Some missing context there. Plante had a better season for sure Martone's a year younger (which matters judging stats) and 4 inches taller, which affects translation to NHL. I do think Detroit will try to sign Plante, but he also has incentive to stay and play with his brother

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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
What do you expect out of Max Plante in the future?
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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
This is much less of a reason than everything else brought up, but it seems like there would be incentive to not burn a year of his ELC. He isn't even slide eligible so from my understanding all of these players would need to be signed in the same off-season: Compher Rasmussen Finnie Albert Johansson Docker MBN Danielson ASP Anton Johansson And Plante? I don't think money will be an issue. And the writing is probably on the wall for Compher and Ras. But depending on performance from Finnie, Danielson, and ASP. staggering contracts might be beneficial.
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Red Wings Prospects
Red Wings Prospects@LGRWProspects·
My personal belief is that Max goes back. UMD will likely have a really strong team next year and the idea of being able to play with both your brothers for a year is too tantalizing. It would likely be the only time that can happen in their careers.
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Stranger Wings
Stranger Wings@aseparatemind·
On average, only 15-20 percent of drafted players become impact players. After the 1st round, less than 25% of those drafted play more than 300 games. Over half of 1st overall picks score 500+ points, but that drops to 31% by the time you hit the 3rd pick. So, no.
NT@Nntarno555

@aseparatemind Can you judge him off only 3 of his draft picks having an impact in the NHL?

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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
Faulk has to be better there. Can't play that loose on your guy.
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Degenirito
Degenirito@degenirito·
Flame me, but I’d run this JVR - Larkin - Raymond Cat - Copp - Kane Kasper - Finnie - Mazur Perron - Compher - Shine Edv - Sieder Chariot - Faulk Johansson - JDB (I wish ASP) Scratch Apple
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Stranger Wings
Stranger Wings@aseparatemind·
@bshebib39 @BeyondXGoals @AKTimAdams @jdunn31673 Well, seeing as the goal is to avoid being a perpetual bottom feeder, I think we’re on the right track. If we wanted to speed up things we have the assets to do it, but there’s no reason to do it.
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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
@Tim_Bro13 That's the identity the Wings need to develop. At minimum they need to work their ass off and be difficult to play against. We draft big defensemen and 200 foot forwards for a reason.
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TimBro13
TimBro13@Tim_Bro13·
Won't say a great period but that's a 1st period I want the Wings to play if they come out slow every game
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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
You can't even tell me his plan or the identity he wants even after I pointed it out to you. This is just embarrassing at this point. I show you a video where Yzerman outlines that he wants to build in the draft and he doesn't know how long it will take. I show you the identity and style he wants to build by giving you clear examples in the draft. I show you how other teams like Dallas built their teams in similar fashion. I show you that we have made progress almost every season. (39 points, 48 points, 74 points, 80 points, 91 points, 86 points, and 96 points projected). I show you all of that and you discount it all.
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Bradley Shebib
Bradley Shebib@bshebib39·
@BeyondXGoals @AKTimAdams @jdunn31673 @aseparatemind And yet neither are actually happening in real time. Look i get it you're all in on another 1/2 decade minimum of the Yzer-plan. That much is clear. And you'll keep moving the time frame each time it's about to run out. You don't have standards I do. Thats on you
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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
His style is so well known that everyone knows who he's going to draft before he even drafts them. Big defensive defensemen (Seider, Edvinsson, Wallinder, Keenan). Strong two way forwards (Kasper, Danielson, MBN, Bear) The overwhelming majority of the fanbase knows exactly the style Yzerman wants. Also they've quite literally progressed in points pretty much every year. This year will be no different.
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Bradley Shebib
Bradley Shebib@bshebib39·
@BeyondXGoals @AKTimAdams @jdunn31673 @aseparatemind Again. What type of team does he want? What style? What does it look like? You can't answer that. Because it doesn't exist. Just draft and hope They've regressed. They have no heart, no leadership Drafting prospects doesn't fix that. One day you'll realize it
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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
His style is so well known that everyone knows who he's going to draft before he even drafts them. Big defensive defensemen (Seider, Edvinsson, Wallinder, Keenan). Strong two way forwards (Kasper, Danielson, MBN, Bear) The overwhelming majority of the fanbase knows exactly the style Yzerman wants. Also they've quite literally progressed in points pretty much every year. This year will be no different.
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Beyond Expected
Beyond Expected@BeyondXGoals·
@RyanHanaWWP For anyone wondering these are the 8 games. @ flyers @ Rangers Wild Jackets Flyers Devils @ Tampa @ Florida Bonus points for wins against the Flyers and Jackets.
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Ryan Hana
Ryan Hana@RyanHanaWWP·
Update on this: WC2 points pace is currently 96, so setting Detroit's target at 97 means they need 11/16 remaining points. That would be a record of: 3-0-5 4-1-3 5-2-1 or better over their last 8 games. #LGRW
Ryan Hana tweet media
Ryan Hana@RyanHanaWWP

Detroit probably needs 15/22 remaining points to make the playoffs. Games upcoming: BUF PHI PIT PHI NYR* MIN CBJ PHI NJD* TBL FLA* SHOULD be able to beat the *'d teams (6), CBJ likely a must-win (2), probably have to split vs. PHI (3) = 11. So all of that + 4 more points. #LGRW

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