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César Sabas

@CesarSabas

Geopolitics 🌎 Security Policy @Univ_Toulouse Political Science USB International Studies UCV

Toulouse, Francia Se unió Eylül 2009
1.2K Siguiendo3K Seguidores
César Sabas retuiteado
Thomas Juneau
Thomas Juneau@thomasjuneau·
Iran is launching large-scale information operations. Transparency & the truth should be democracies' biggest strategic advantage to counter authoritarian disinformation. But Trump's systematic lying is causing long-term damage to US resilience & defences against disinfo.
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César Sabas
César Sabas@CesarSabas·
@GegeRpz A mí muy pequeño me enseñaron: "el dinero lo puede comprar casi todo, menos lo verdaderamente importante".
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César Sabas
César Sabas@CesarSabas·
@Lucho2321 Para mí es indistinto si un colombiano gobierna a Venezuela o un venezolano gobierna Colombia. Somos casi lo mismo. Lo que me importan son SUS IDEAS y el desarrollo que pueda aportar.
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César Sabas
César Sabas@CesarSabas·
En realidad eso es falso. La Gran Colombia no duró porque seamos "muy diferentes" sino por razones geográficas. Las mismas razones que pierden vigencia con las nuevas tecnologías.
Esponja@GanteDialo22

@CesarSabas Como colombiano creo que sería bueno trabajar en equipo pero sin renunciar a nuestra independencia, la Gran Colombia solo duró 11 años precisamente porque nuestros países son muy diferentes. Además, los estados pequeños son más eficientes que los estados grandes.

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César Sabas retuiteado
Nicole Grajewski
Nicole Grajewski@NicoleGrajewski·
My comments in this @Reuters exclusive: Even after weeks of strikes, Iran continues launching from sites that have been heavily targeted. That suggests U.S. assessments may be overstating degradation.
Nicole Grajewski tweet media
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César Sabas
César Sabas@CesarSabas·
@thomasjuneau It depends; if they retain control of the strait, no. In that case, they would emerge much stronger.
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Thomas Juneau
Thomas Juneau@thomasjuneau·
Many say the Islamic Republic "wins by not losing" - by merely surviving, it wins. That is true, but only in a narrow sense. It is also true that while it will likely not collapse from the war, it will emerge with its military and security capabilities significantly degraded.
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César Sabas
César Sabas@CesarSabas·
@DrSergioK Bueno, si a los inversores les parece que la Venezuela de Delcy no es estable, ahí tienen en el Medio Oriente muchos pozos petroleros "estables" en los que invertir. Con su respectiva lluvia diaria de drones y misiles iraníes.
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Sergio Krausse, MD
Sergio Krausse, MD@DrSergioK·
Estabilidad significa elegir nuevas autoridades en Venezuela. Y los inversores lo saben.
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César Sabas retuiteado
Collingwood 🇬🇧
Collingwood 🇬🇧@admcollingwood·
This was exactly the scenario the Prioritisers in Washington, such as @ElbridgeColby, warned about. They were wafted away almost disdainfully. And remember, folks, we're not even talking about what's left to defend against China, the US's most important rival. It's over. It took the neocons only 25 years to squander a near impregnable geopolitical position, in which the United States was more stronger than its rivals than any great power had been in history, and, as William Wohlforth wrote in 1999, was the first nation in history to be decisively stronger in every individual aspect of power -- military, economic, technological and geopolitical -- than any of its rivals. And they took only a quarter of a century to destroy that position. They will be judged by future historians to have been contemptible dilettantes, disgracefully selfish and monstrously hubristic, driven by their emotions rather than their minds, unwilling to account for consequences, and blunderingly malfeasant. They took the greatest geopolitical, economic, social, political and technological heritage in the history of the world and squandered it within only a quarter of a century.
Rob Lee@RALee85

"The Pentagon is considering whether to divert weapons intended for Ukraine to the Middle East as the war in Iran depletes some of the U.S. military’s most critical munitions, according to three people familiar with the matter. Although a final decision to redirect the equipment has not yet been made, the shift would highlight the growing trade-offs required to sustain the war with Iran, where U.S. Central Command has hit more than 9,000 targets in just under four weeks of fighting. The weapons that could be diverted away from Ukraine include air defense interceptor missiles, ordered through a NATO program launched last year in which partner countries buy U.S. arms for Kyiv, the three people said, speaking on the condition of anonymity to describe the Pentagon’s sensitive deliberations... Since last summer, the official said, the [PURL] initiative has supplied 75 percent of the missiles for Ukraine’s Patriot batteries and nearly all of the ammunition used in its other air defense systems." @noahjrobertson @ellen_fra washingtonpost.com/national-secur…

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César Sabas retuiteado
Rosemary Kelanic
Rosemary Kelanic@RKelanic·
Haaretz: After initial sprint, Iran missile attacks settling into marathon pace. Similar trend to strikes in the Gulf documented by @ka_grieco. Bad news, but unsurprising -- Iran's missile capacity steady after a *full month* of US/Isr war. haaretz.com/israel-news/se…
Rosemary Kelanic tweet media
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César Sabas
César Sabas@CesarSabas·
Lo que está haciendo Irán en el Estrecho de Ormuz es completamente ILEGAL. Ahora bien, ¿no fue lo mismo que hizo EEUU en la costa Venezolana en enero y ahora en Cuba? Destruir el derecho internacional marítimo conlleva todas éstas cosas.
USA en Español@USAenEspanol

SECRETARIO RUBIO: El Estrecho de Ormuz podría abrirse mañana si Irán deja de amenazar el transporte global, lo cual es una indignación y una violación del derecho internacional. A los países que les importa el derecho internacional deberían tomar medidas. x.com/StateDept/stat…

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Imdat Oner
Imdat Oner@imdat_oner·
This👇 The war with Iran would likely benefit the Delcy administration more than any other country in the world. While she already enjoys Trump’s strong support, the rising oil price would also bring an economic boom and, in turn, increased popular support for the Chavismo 3.0.
Caracas Chronicles@CaracasChron

🫓 Delcy, Delcy everywhere. Trump treats The Branch 🇻🇪 as his biggest foreign policy success, according to @bloggingsbyboz, and now wants other allies to behave like Delcy. Some comments on how the 2026 global energy crisis might affect Trump's pretensions👇

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César Sabas
César Sabas@CesarSabas·
@imdat_oner That's why the Rodríguez brothers are closer to Türkiye and Qatar than to Iran. Without democracy, but with stability. Not Western, but not enemies either.
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Imdat Oner
Imdat Oner@imdat_oner·
@CesarSabas Yeah, exactly. That's why I referred to it as Chavismo 3.0. No democracy but economic stability.
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