Dan Miller

Someone is trying to community note my post below saying I declared 'the war is over 6 times in the last month' I take that as a compliment 😂 Here's the full breakdown of my prediction posts: April 2 (before Trump's address to the Nation): "The war is close to ending" (At that time everyone was expecting the U.S. to invade Iran, calling it 'imminent'. I saw it as a bluff to pressure Iran to end the war, as an invasion made no sense to me, and all military experts I spoke to agreed) April 2 (after Trump’s address to the Nation): "I REPEAT, THE WAR IS CLOSE TO ENDING" (The markets crashed and oil spiked after the speech as everyone thought he was escalating when he said he will bomb Iran "back to the Stone Ages", but I saw it as the clear beginning of the off-ramp) April 5: "Trump’s threats are a bluff" (This is when Trump began threatening to bomb Iran's infrastructure, including their power plants and bridges, and posted "Open the Fin' Strait, you crazy b***s, or you'll be living in Hell — JUST WATCH!". Again, I saw it as a very clear off-ramp, as these threats constituted a war crime, and I did not think Trump was insane) April 6: "Both Trump and Iran want to end the war, the only question is - on who’s terms" (Trump continued his posts, reaffirming my belief the war was aboutn to end) April 7: "off-ramp incoming" ; "A good leader knows when to walk away" ; "Trump will not nuke Iran" (Hours before the deadline, Trump posted "Open the F***in’ Strait... or you’ll be living in Hell" and "a whole civilization will die tonight". While people like Tucker freaked out pleading with Trump's advisors to take away the nuclear codes, I saw this as the perfect execution of the "Madman Theory") April 8: THE WAR IS CLOSE TO ENDING (I made this statement as the deadline was approaching. Hours later we were the first to break the news globally that a ceasefire was signed) April 9: Expect Lebanon to get a ceasefire (This is when the U.S. and Iran were at odds on whether Lebanon was included in the ceasefire. I knew Iran would get their way, they won the war and would therefore not abandon their proxy Hezbollah as they did in 2024-25) April 9: Lebanon war ends that week (As Netanyahu said the war against Hezbollah will continue and Lebanon is not part of the ceasefire, I knew he would eventually have to capitulate to Trump's demands. I've always said: Israel has too much influence over the U.S., but they do not have the final say, especially not with Trump) April 9: Ceasefire will hold, war is over (Many expected the Iran ceasefire to break down because of Israeli actions and rhetoric in Lebanon) April 9: Lebanon war is over (right after Israel bombed Lebanon very hard) (Many expected Israel's very heavy bombardment of Lebanon that day was an attempt to break the ceasefire, while I saw it as Netanyahu's last ditch attempt to cause Hezbollah as much damage as possible before having to abide by Trump's ceasefire) April 14: War is over (I made it clear I expect the ceasefire to hold. I repeated this statement yesterday, as you can see below, as the U.S. fired at and boarded an Iranian ship) WHY I THINK THE WAR IS OVER: The reason I've made all these optimistic posts is simple: I know Trump didn't want a long war, I know he doesn't want the global economy to collapse, I'm also well aware of the limited munition stockpiles the U.S. has, and I also don't think Iran want to keep seeing their country bombarded. It was clear to me all along that this war, one I thought would never happen, was one big stupid miscalculation. I also didn't think Trump just went insane as some people feared. That was too lazy and illogical of an explanation. The "Madman Theory" made a lot more sense to me considering his actions and words throughout this war. Now does that mean I am certain the war is over? Absolutely not. There's still a high risk that both sides don't reach a deal, Iran is emboldened by their successes this past month, and Trump does not want to get embarrassed, so there are many ways this can go wrong. Iran's IRGC need to accept some conscessions to give Trump a POLITICAL win. Trump has already accepted Iran won the war, and that they will come out in a stronger regional position at the detriment of Israel, and I think he's fine with that, as long as it's not embarrassing for him politically. I do however believe more pragmatic heads will prevail, and at most we will only see limited strikes before a permanent peace deal. I included all the links to my posts above in the comments below, and you can also see them in the HIGHLIGHTS section of my account, I keep them all. Hope this helps

🇺🇸🇫🇷 Trump praised Brigitte Macron during the G7 summit in France: “This is so beautiful. We thank the President, and Brigitte is an amazing woman. Thank you all very much.” A genuinely warm moment between 2 nation leaders 😉 Writers: Claudio, Daniel

🇺🇸🇮🇷 JD Vance is selling the Iran war as a three-part win: “Number 1, gas prices are going to come down. Number 2, Iran will never have a nuclear weapon. And number 3, every single one of you will be safer.” Writer: Sol

who have you been compared to in terms of looks?

An old friend of mine has just informed me that a small group of people we went to high school with are “not speaking” to me because I’m a “dangerous right wing extremist.” I have not spoken to any of these people in almost 15 years, lol.

🇺🇸 FBI dropped details on the terror plot they stopped against UFC Freedom 250 night. Explosive drones to hit buildings, trigger chaos, then snipers waiting for the crowd; straight nightmare fuel. A 19-year-old suspect’s mom saw the private chats and sounded the alarm. Multiple suspects arrested nationwide, more coming. Writer: Lucas