@SeanTrende this is an underrated advantage of the EC. it localizes vote-counting disputes that could get out of hand otherwise.
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Chiltern Hundred
894 posts
I wonder how states would handle a disputed popular vote under the NPVC. If a national popular vote count is very close, but there are questions about vote counts in, say, Dallas, Miami and LA sufficient to flip the result either way, how does PA decide to allocate its electors?
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@deanwball It seems like a fairly specific term to me? Destruction of all AI systems, followed by banning of thinking machines.
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Not to get into the semiotics of it all (semiotic fidgeting being the typical purview of Pause AI), but I hate when people use the phrase “Butlerian Jihad.” It’s a symbol meant to communicate radical acts against AI without being specific about it. Ironically enough, the suspected would-be Altman-family arsonist used “Butlerian Jihadist” in his online handles.
It’s a nudge-nudge wink-wink kind of thing in this context.
Ok, enough meditations on the interrelationship of discursive objects. I will re-cede that turf to the pausers.
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@MattZeitlin is that the past or the imperative tense
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@saffronhuang there's a lot of handwaving here. how is AI going to reduce regulatory burdens on construction? what are these programs that "reshuffle" people?
this basically looks like an economy in which you are either an executive or in low-/medium-end services. not clear wages will rise.
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Here's a plausible positive scenario that doesn't require many further AI advancements. I wanted to clearly paint the path "from here to there" instead of hand-waving so it starts out negative but ends positive (I swear):
A recession leads to slowed hiring and a breakdown of the early-career ladder. The political window opens for industrial policy on AI: governments encourage firms to launch apprenticeship programs to bridge the training gap between junior and senior white-collar roles, instilling discernment and judgment of AI outputs. Programs help reshuffle people with clerical jobs into education (especially elementary and middle school 1-1 tutoring) or nursing (and given AI tools to upskill into providing clinical care). Those with a risk-taking or strategic bent become entrepreneurs and executives overseeing AI agents. Industrial policy is important, but AI also helps to decrease regulatory and compliance burdens on construction; this sector expands, and the built environment starts improving (e.g. high speed rail becomes more possible).
Later on, material abundance (robot manufacturing) means that goods are cheap and easier to manufacture domestically. Most people's spending is therefore on human-led services, today's luxuries. For example, high quality education: schooling in many places (including the US) has historically been low quality for most, with many knock-on effects. 1-1 personal attention by human teachers (for younger students) + AI personalized tutoring (for older students) bridges this gap. Everyone is healthy: cheap AI triaging of medical issues lowers the barrier to preventative as well as life-saving care. Entrepreneurship is enabled by easy access to AI agents. The bar for customer service is raised all-round (high-end retail and hospitality services, like what you see in Japan). Everyone works 3-4 days a week. Baumol's cost disease is a feature not a bug: the relative expense of human services stops being a budget problem and starts being a labor market solution. That is where the jobs are, and they're jobs worth having.
Ethan Mollick@emollick
The AI labs have actually done a bad job explaining what the future they are building towards will actually look like for most of us. Even “Machines of Loving Grace” has very few well-articulated visions of what Anthropic hopes life will be like if they succeed at their goals.
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@OldNewYork1664 a trading post is not really a settlement; the first real settlers were puritan in the 1630s
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To understand where New Yorkers think New England starts, you have to go back to the boundaries of New Netherland. The Puritan folkway begins at the “Versche Rivier,” or Fresh River, where the Dutch established “Goede Hoop,” or the House of Good Hope, which later became Hartford. The modern Yankees–Red Sox broadcast regions align remarkably well with the boundaries set in 1654.
𝖓𝖎𝖓𝖊 🕯@atlanticesque
When I talk about "New England," I might be thinking of the Boston metro, or I might be thinking of little college towns in New Hampshire and Vermont, or maybe the Maine coastline, or Cape Cod When New Yorkers talk about "New England" they mean the Connecticut fucking panhandle
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So far, every episode in this series -- sometimes by providing an inverse example -- proves what is non-ideologically popular in NYC -- if you have a full-time job (any job) or are retired from such, you can afford some type of reasonable-quality housing in NYC, with kids or without.
Nicole@nicolegelinas
This series continues to be great but for the opposite reason than the intuitive one ... once again, there is no "crisis" to see here. This guy has a good-paying job that he likes and has an apartment that he likes and can spend plenty on extras. And if he decided he want to get married and have kids or whatever, guess what? There would be two people to pay! He would splurge less! He could get to $3,000 and $3,500 for a two-bedroom in the same area and same housing quality. But, it's like, what is the problem here? There is none! nytimes.com/interactive/20…
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@sam_d_1995 this is not a more impressive skyline than boston from the cambridge side, with the bricks of beacon hill overshadowed by the skyscrapers beyond
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@Empty_America don't think so - the dutch often look like this
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Getting enough sunshine at a young age seems to help this.
The pinched "English Face" seems related to growing up without any UV (and perhaps poor diet), the Australians and S. Africans often look very different/better.
Magnus Vigsø@MagnusVigso
Girls with a natural wide palate is becoming a rare species One of the best biomarkers of elite health
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@bankertobuilder does anyone have a suggestion for a slur to describe these buildings
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Most towns outlaw apartments in single family neighborhoods
But it can be done tastefully
We just wrapped up this beautiful project
16 old houses became 280 apartments that blend in seamlessly with the existing neighborhood
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@AndrewDesiderio Do they really feel they can't get 8 Dems on board?
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Thune has been cool to the idea of a second reconciliation package, but lots of Republicans think this may be the only way to pass an Iran-focused supplemental…
Jake Sherman@JakeSherman
NEWS — @SpeakerJohnson INCHES CLOSER to war funding in reconciliation “As you know, I'm very insistent upon a reconciliation package, and we're trying to find the final provisions of it everybody can agree to. I think defense spending could be a part of that, but we have to wait. You know the details are coming together.”
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The Secret History being an extremely good book is a hill I’m willing to die on.
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@TheStalwart on the CS subreddits, developers very much view AI-generated code as poorly styled, often far too long, using overly-complex mechanics
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I’ve seen this exact question asked a thousand times, and yet I’ve never seen anyone establish that the underlying premise is actually true. Has there been some poll?
Noam Brown@polynoamial
@kevinroose Why do you think coders are generally okay with AI-generated code, but writers seem to generally not be okay with AI-generated writing? Assuming both are reviewed by humans.
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@HighyieldHarry this also describes graduate students!
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They go to the gym around 10am-11:30am.
mubiouš@Mubarak_mubious
what is the clearest sign that someone is genuinely doing well in life ??
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@petereharrell On point 3, this does not apply to goods that have had final liquidation, correct?
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Quick take on the CIT's order this afternoon directing CBP to offer full IEEPA tariff refunds to all importers:
1. The CIT's swift action reflects the fact that the courts do not want delays on refunds. The government asserted in multiple court filings over the last year that it would offer refunds if IEEPA tariffs were ruled illegal, and now the courts expect the government to honor that pledge.
2. The government will of course appeal this ruling. But I expect that appeals will move quickly and, on balance, that an order directing refunds will probably be upheld. (That said, this is speculative; we will see, especially on timing).
3. For all unliquidated tariffs, the CIT ordered liquidation *without* IEEPA tariffs applied. For already liquidated tariffs, the CIT ordered re-liquidation without IEEPA tariffs applied.
4. Importers who have paid IEEPA tariffs can probably stand pat for a bit and see how the appeals process plays out/what CBP does in response.
5. Court hearing on Friday to discuss plans.
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@isosteph many concerns of would-be parents relate to sleep and exhaustion, so it makes sense to target your “why you should be a parent” piece to toddler parenting
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@rohanaras @mattyglesias Were these added after the new Senate text came out earlier this week?
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