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Sean T at RCP
83K posts
Sean T at RCP
@SeanTrende
Sr. Elections Analyst, @RCPolitics, Visiting Scholar, @AEI, Lecturer, @osupolisci. Recovering Attorney. Husband, Dad. Writes about elections, history and more.
Katılım Mart 2010
1K Takip Edilen70.6K Takipçiler
@MattGlassman312 On the plus side, we have a conversation about the death of mid majors specifically about Siena and maybe there is still hope
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Two hours later, this one really hurts.
I honestly thought we were going to hold on in the second half. The missed dunks and Doty twisting his ankle are going to haunt me.
Matt Glassman@MattGlassman312
My live-blog of Siena-Duke. Yes, I'm wearing my Siena sweatshirt. No, I haven't sat down since the tip.
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@SeanTrende @varadmehta Is the common view really at this point that Acton is the favorite?
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They'd have four young kids, including a toddler, which would be tough heading into a presidential campaign. But 2028 as the sitting vice president is going to be the best shot he ever has, so it would take a lot to get him to give that up, and I'm not sure young kids is enough.
Politics & Poll Tracker 📡@PollTracker2024
WaPo: JD Vance has maintained in recent private conversations that he hasn’t yet decided whether he will seek the presidential nomination for 2028. One of those people cited Vance’s fourth child, due this summer, and said the vice president has put a priority on his family life and is unlikely to make a final decision until he and Usha Vance see how another baby affects their lives.
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@varadmehta He will know the answer to that before he decides what to do in 2028
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@SeanTrende @varadmehta I would. I don't think 2028 is shaping up to be a good year for the GOP nominee.
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UPenn might have drained the first mid range jumper of the tourney
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She’s not really looney left, but yeah.
captive dreamer@captive_dreamer
Kent lost a reliably red seat twice to some looney Democrat after primarying the Republican incumbent
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@BriannaWu @eduardo_mo22093 I have brought this very thing up with people who might surprise you, and there are more people who agree with you on this than you would think.
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I’m not a super spiritual woo-woo person. But on some level, I feel antisemitism is about the forces of darkness trying to eliminate light in the world.
I didn’t feel this way until I went to Jerusalem last year - there is something about that place I cannot stop thinking about.
Three of the world’s religions came from there. At Golgotha, I touched the stone where Jesus’s cross was planted in this hole.
I’m a Christian, not a Jew. And I have plenty of rational, national security reasons for supporting Israel. But on a spiritual level, I think antisemitism exists because evil exists in men, and for whatever reason, Jews and Israel are sitting very close to the light.
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Sean T at RCP retweetledi
Something I find interesting in Lindy-West-Gate: when “More” (the last big poly memoir) came out, it got nearly uniform glowing praise. Two years later, West’s poly memoir is universally panned. More was a *much* more disturbing book than Adult Braces. The winds have shifted.
The Atlantic@TheAtlantic
In her memoir, Lindy West describes how she went from resisting polyamory to embracing it—but her version of it is strangely politicized, @Tyler_A_Harper argues. theatlantic.com/family/2026/03…
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@SeanTrende @TonerousHyus You've been saying Texas is going blue for a decade
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It's worth exploring why this stuff (Talarico's Vegan Campaign) matters. Talarico has a lot of things going for him but if he has a superpower, its that he codes as "Moderate Normal Dude." It's (partly) why people thought (wrongly) he was more moderate than Crockett. 1/
MCUfeld@MCUfeld
@SeanTrende You keep highlighting these lame culture war GOP attacks on Talarico hoping they’ll stick but most folks just don’t care about them right now.
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Traveling right now… What exactly is happening to do? Did they just go cold or are they falling apart without their point guard? Or foul trouble? Or just a rough patch where they’re probably revert to mean and pull it out?
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@jarvis_best I have so many questions. This may be the greatest poly story ever told.
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I’ve only ever known one poly couple ever in real life. Here’s what happened. I’m not making this up.
1. Guy goes to his much hotter wife and says he wants an open marriage. She reluctantly agrees.
2. She immediately goes out and bangs some guy.
3. He gets all pissed off.
4. He invites me out for coffee and wants me to commiserate with him. Like he’s OUTRAGED. He wants me to agree with him that she was way out of line for … something, I dunno what. I’m like man i feel for you but … to be fair …
5. He divorces her.
Jesse Singal@jessesingal
Extree extree! Hot of the presses! Fifteen new stories about polyamory!
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@JamesTxLege Right. This stuff helps persuade peripheral voters but mainly serves to soften up weak GOP voters for the general election stuff on Talarico policy. Scaring them on policy is more difficult when he has a modest, genial public affect.
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@SeanTrende I don’t even think peripheral voters are key here. The Texas election is likely to hinge on how many GOP voters show up. And the GOP professionals want to give them a reason to show up to vote against Talarico.
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Sean T at RCP retweetledi
once again, while i know political nerds love prediction markets they actually should be banned, and you should definitely not bet in them.
Mike Levin@MikeLevin
This is totally insane. A war correspondent just received death threats from online gamblers who wanted him to change his reporting on an Iranian missile strike so they could collect a payout. One bettor had $900,000 riding on the outcome. He told the journalist he knew where he lived and who his family members were. This is what prediction markets on life and death actually look like in practice. This is exactly why I introduced the DEATH BETS Act with Senator @AdamSchiff. The DEATH BETS Act would ban contracts on assassinations, deaths of world leaders, and acts of war on platforms like Polymarket. This story shows exactly why that matters. When you let people place million-dollar bets on whether a missile kills someone, you create a financial incentive to threaten journalists, manipulate information, and profit from human suffering. washingtonpost.com/technology/202…
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@jarvis_best Wait, like literally the conversation ended an an hour later she went out to a bar and picked a guy up, and then was like "honey I'm home, I could get into this poly thing!"???
HAHAHAHAHAHAHA
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@LarryPDonnelly Because none of this stuff hurts in a Democratic primary.
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Also worth exploring why Crockett’s campaign didn’t get some of this stuff out there during the primary to fight back on the electability issue.
Sean T at RCP@SeanTrende
It's worth exploring why this stuff (Talarico's Vegan Campaign) matters. Talarico has a lot of things going for him but if he has a superpower, its that he codes as "Moderate Normal Dude." It's (partly) why people thought (wrongly) he was more moderate than Crockett. 1/
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@RobGeorge Need to be careful about torpedoing our relationship with Japan.
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