IntoTheNight

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IntoTheNight

IntoTheNight

@UnseenNight

I do not give financial advice. I will never DM you. Crypto, NFTs, and good food/drink for fun.

Se unió Temmuz 2009
128 Siguiendo3.4K Seguidores
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
Deployed 80% of remaining cash today. I feel 80% confident we will not see anything lower than my previous ladders of ~$16,790, ~$15,640, ~17,000, and today at ~$17,450.
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
@axios Here's a novel idea- Iran closes the straight but Iranian ships can pass? Bomb the Iranian ships. Tit for tat. All ships pass or none.
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Axios
Axios@axios·
U.S.-Iran talks end with no agreement, Vance says trib.al/CEbaYf0
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Crypto King
Crypto King@Cryptoking·
FINAL DAY!!! I am chip leader with 17 people left… Drop ur best piece of advice 🙏🤝
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Arthur Hayes
Arthur Hayes@CryptoHayes·
I’ll believe Iran is charging a toll in $BTC when I see a tx linked to a vessel’s toll payment. Otherwise it’s just the IRGC trolling the western filthy fiat financial system.
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
@nic_carter Yeah, the "bitcoiners" should just post they are upgrading in 2029. Everything solved.
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nic carter
nic carter@nic_carter·
Personally, I think bitcoiners are being quite stupid by making this their cause celebre. There’s 0 reason to die on this hill. Every internet and tech company will make an announcement like this or just quietly transition without a fuss in the next couple years. Soon bitcoin will be the only piece of critical infrastructure without a PQ transition. And it will look like brittle, obsolete tech. How could you possibly persuade someone to invest in it then?
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
You are too far gone. Nothing can be said to change your mind because you are incapable of learning or accepting anything new. I think you are just salty AF you missed the biggest wealth transfer in history. You try to convince other people to be as dumb as you were because you can't stand seeing other people win. You cling on for dear life to a 5,000 year old asset that will eventually be a paperweight. Sell the boomer rocks, buy Bitcoin, and go into hiding for 5 years. Come back 10x richer and 10x less despised. This would be your best career move yet.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
@westfortbitcoin @saylor He's acknowledged it many time. In fact, he mentioned my name twice during his keynote at the Bitcoin coference in Las Vagas last year, yet refused to debate me at that same conference.
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Peter Schiff
Peter Schiff@PeterSchiff·
Over the past five years, the price of Bitcoin is up by just 12%. Over the same time period, the NASDAQ is up 57.4%, the S&P 500 is up 59.4%, gold is up 163%, and silver is up 181%. If the appeal of Bitcoin is its superior long-term performance, why should anyone keep HODLing it?
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Hannah Hughes
Hannah Hughes@hannahhughes·
Tell me how long you’ve been in crypto without telling me how long you’ve been in crypto
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
@nic_carter @neha Your articles are generally click bait. The quote was from the @neha article (which she fixed). Clearly, you didnt read it.
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nic carter
nic carter@nic_carter·
@UnseenNight @neha Which article is it that you dislike? Seems like your hallucinating a quote
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Neha Narula
Neha Narula@neha·
My take on Bitcoin and quantum computing: nehanarula.org/2026/04/03/bit… tl;dr: I think the risk is high enough to warrant prioritizing designing, implementing, and evaluating post-quantum signature schemes and consensus upgrades in Bitcoin now.
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IntoTheNight retuiteado
TFTC
TFTC@TFTC21·
Block is bringing back the bitcoin faucet. The original, launched by Gavin Andresen in 2010, gave away 5 BTC to anyone who solved a CAPTCHA. That's $500,000 per person at today's prices. The new version goes live April 6 at btc.day.
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
"My personal guess is sometime in the 2030-2035 range." Readers should know this is your speculation. Not facts. 1. The Google and Oratomic authors cite no such dates 2. Most quantum hardware experts would laugh at a 2030 timeline 3. You're not an expert in this field
nic carter@nic_carter

@UnseenNight AI slop

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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
Reminder to all that his q-day to 2030-2035 revision is just a personal update. The papers themselves provide zero calendar dates or hardware predictions. 10k–500k high-fidelity, error-corrected physical qubits with the required connectivity, magic-state factories, and decoders is still an enormous leap from today's ~1,000 noisy qubits (even Google's Willow-scale demos). Oratomic's neutral-atom path relies on unproven scaling of reconfigurable arrays and high-rate codes at crypto relevant depths. The papers are cautious and explicit about the gaps.
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
8/ April 2026 update: Monthly payment: 0.0188 BTC Total received: .08189722 BTC Current value: $5,489 Return: -12% Total credit card rewards: 0.02936967 BTC Current value: $1,968.12 Return: -17.60% 19 payments to go!
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
7/ March 2026 update: Monthly payment: 0.01820689 BTC Total received: .06309788 BTC Current value: $4,251.22 Return: -15% Total credit card rewards: 0.02060578 Current value: $1,394.36 Return: -22.22% 20 payments to go!
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
1/ Back in November, @coinbase ran a Coinbase One member promo: Send them qualifying crypto and get 3% matched in BTC, paid out monthly over 2 years. I was skeptical, read every line of the terms, then sent $1M in BTC anyway. First payout just hit. Here’s how it’s going so far
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
@MrBeast Good idea. I heard they are no longer allowing videos.
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MrBeast
MrBeast@MrBeast·
I’m deleting my YouTube channel
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
Hey @grok can you explain to this guy why he is worrying too much about quantum? He doesn't listen to anyone else maybe you can get through to him.
nic carter@nic_carter

>> how concerned are BTC devs about quantum risk? see for yourself (prompt) << I wrote an article in feb entitled "Bitcoin developers are mostly not concerned about quantum risk", to make the point that, in my opinion, the key gatekeepers and opinion leaders are largely silent or unconcerned about quantum risk. several developers like matt corrallo and jonas schnelli have pushed back and said no, the main bitcoin developers are concerned and working on it (even if they have not publicly stated their concern. who is right? well, you can see for yourself. I have written a prompt that you can put into Claude or ChatGPT (thinking mode MUST be on) to do this analysis yourself in a few minutes. you do not have to trust my assessment. you can ignore me entirely. just run the prompt. (I tested it with the elite tier openai, anthropic, and google models, but gemini's analysis wasn't good enough so I wouldn't use it. claude did the best). copy and paste this into your AI model (feel free to modify if you like): ---- prompt follows ----- can you do a staged deep dive on the following subject: I want to assess the most important Bitcoin developers and technical thought leaders on the topic of upgrading Bitcoin to quantum-resistant cryptography stage 1: carefully examine the power centers in bitcoin, in terms of who are the devs who seem to have the most influence over whether a soft fork gets merged in - look at all prior soft forks, with a bias towards more recent ones. then look at the organizations that the devs work for, and determine who controls or leads those organizations. lastly, look at the bitcoin core maintainers. make sure all of your information is up to date as of april 2026. once you have completed this, make an assessment of which devs are most critical in pushing through a real change to the bitcoin protocol. create a ranked list of the 50 most important from this. make sure you get the affiliations correct and double-check them. the dev affiliations change all the time. consider individuals that are not developers per se, but have meaningful influence within the technical bitcoin ecosystem. stage 2: carefully find the most relevant statements regarding their personal assessment of quantum risk and urgency made by these most elite devs on the main fora of discussion. bitcoin dev mailing list (most important), X/twitter, reddit, delving bitcoin, IRC, in person conferences, academia, white papers, BIPs and so on. rate academic contributions and BIPs extremely highly. make sure you are extremely thorough with regards to the bitcoin dev mailing list - do not rely on summaries of what other people have said about mailing list posts, look at the posts directly. rate highly responses to the BIP360 proposal. stage 3: based on that list, create a score for each individual developer regarding their perceived urgency of an upgrade to PQ crypto. ranging from no known view, to acknowledges risk but believes it is not urgent, to acknowledges risk and thinks bitcoin should upgrade imminently. (categories at your discretion - suggested score 1-5). output that list, dev names, affiliations, and summary of views on quantum risk. be extremely careful and thorough. take as much time as you need stage 4: create a visualization that compresses the data from the table into a simple graph that demonstrates to the viewer the array of developer views on the quantum risk and necessity (or lack thereof) to upgrade. the dataviz should have "quantum urgency score" on the y axis, "influence rank" on the x axis (most powerful = 1), color-coded quantum urgency score, and bubble size corresponding to quantum of work on the topic of PQ. important guidelines: * do not take Nic Carter's early 2026 analysis on the matter as gospel. you need to do your own independent analysis rather than just reprinting what he wrote in his article * weight extremely highly recent comments, especially anything that has come out in recent days (late march 2026 or early april 2026). look at X posts and the mailing list specifically on march 31 2026 and april 1 2026 * look thoroughly at mailing list comments. consider all alternative venues in which developers may have expressed views, even podcasts and in-person conferences (consider for example the presidio bitcoin conference). * be extremely careful about getting developer affiliations right, as they change frequently ------ prompt ends ------ remember you need to turn on "extended thinking" in claude and "heavy thinking" in ChatGPT

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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
@EricBalchunas People are actually smarter you think. No such machine exists today (and still a chance it NEVER will).
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Eric Balchunas
Eric Balchunas@EricBalchunas·
Google: quantum could break bitcoin sooner than expected Bitcoin: +2.6%
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
@nic_carter I cant wait until Google starts trying to hack bitcoin wallets
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
Treat these as interesting signals from credible teams and not settled science. Wait for peer review, reproductions, and critiques before rewriting security models. Hype machines gonna hype. -Neither paper is peer-reviewed. -Google's "ZK proof" verifies they compiled some circuit meeting those qubit/gate counts... but the actual optimized details stay secret (responsible disclosure, they say) -These are pure theory. Resource estimates on idealized future hardware. No one has run Shor's on cryptographically relevant scales. We're still orders of magnitude away from fault-tolerant machines with hundreds of logical qubits that stay stable. -History reminder: Quantum crypto-breaking timelines have been "5-10 years away" for decades.
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Justin Drake
Justin Drake@drakefjustin·
Today is a monumentous day for quantum computing and cryptography. Two breakthrough papers just landed (links in next tweet). Both papers improve Shor's algorithm, infamous for cracking RSA and elliptic curve cryptography. The two results compound, optimising separate layers of the quantum stack. The results are shocking. I expect a narrative shift and a further R&D boost toward post-quantum cryptography. The first paper is by Google Quantum AI. They tackle the (logical) Shor algorithm, tailoring it to crack Bitcoin and Ethereum signatures. The algorithm runs on ~1K logical qubits for the 256-bit elliptic curve secp256k1. Due to the low circuit depth, a fast superconducting computer would recover private keys in minutes. I'm grateful to have joined as a late paper co-author, in large part for the chance to interact with experts and the alpha gleaned from internal discussions. The second paper is by a stealthy startup called Oratomic, with ex-Google and prominent Caltech faculty. Their starting point is Google's improvements to the logical quantum circuit. They then apply improvements at the physical layer, with tricks specific to neutral atom quantum computers. The result estimates that 26,000 atomic qubits are sufficient to break 256-bit elliptic curve signatures. This would be roughly a 40x improvement in physical qubit count over previous state-of-the-art. On the flip side, a single Shor run would take ~10 days due to the relatively slow speed of neutral atoms. Below are my key takeaways. As a disclaimer, I am not a quantum expert. Time is needed for the results to be properly vetted. Based on my interactions with the team, I have faith the Google Quantum AI results are conservative. The Oratomic paper is much harder for me to assess, especially because of the use of more exotic qLDPC codes. I will take it with a grain of salt until the dust settles. → q-day: My confidence in q-day by 2032 has shot up significantly. IMO there's at least a 10% chance that by 2032 a quantum computer recovers a secp256k1 ECDSA private key from an exposed public key. While a cryptographically-relevant quantum computer (CRQC) before 2030 still feels unlikely, now is undoubtedly the time to start preparing. → censorship: The Google paper uses a zero-knowledge (ZK) proof to demonstrate the algorithm's existence without leaking actual optimisations. From now on, assume state-of-the-art algorithms will be censored. There may be self-censorship for moral or commercial reasons, or because of government pressure. A blackout in academic publications would be a tell-tale sign. → cracking time: A superconducting quantum computer, the type Google is building, could crack keys in minutes. This is because the optimised quantum circuit is just 100M Toffoli gates, which is surprisingly shallow. (Toffoli gates are hard because they require production of so-called "magic states".) Toffoli gates would consume ~10 microseconds on a superconducting platform, totalling ~1,000 sec of Shor runtime. → latency optimisations: Two latency optimisations bring key cracking time to single-digit minutes. The first parallelises computation across quantum devices. The second involves feeding the pubkey to the quantum computer mid-flight, after a generic setup phase. → fast- and slow-clock: At first approximation there are two families of quantum computers. The fast-clock flavour, which includes superconducting and photonic architectures, runs at roughly 100 kHz. The slow-clock flavour, which includes trapped ion and neutral atom architectures, runs roughly 1,000x slower (~100 Hz, or ~1 week to crack a single key). → qubit count: The size-optimised variant of the algorithm runs on 1,200 logical qubits. On a superconducting computer with surface code error correction that's roughly 500K physical qubits, a 400:1 physical-to-logical ratio. The surface code is conservative, assuming only four-way nearest-neighbour grid connectivity. It was demonstrated last year by Google on a real quantum computer. → future gains: Low-hanging fruit is still being picked, with at least one of the Google optimisations resulting from a surprisingly simple observation. Interestingly, AI was not (yet!) tasked to find optimisations. This was also the first time authors such as Craig Gidney attacked elliptic curves (as opposed to RSA). Shor logical qubit count could plausibly go under 1K soonish. → error correction: The physical-to-logical ratio for superconducting computers could go under 100:1. For superconducting computers that would be mean ~100K physical qubits for a CRQC, two orders of magnitude away from state of the art. Neutral atoms quantum computers are amenable to error correcting codes other than the surface code. While much slower to run, they can bring down the physical to logical qubit ratio closer to 10:1. → Bitcoin PoW: Commercially-viable Bitcoin PoW via Grover's algorithm is not happening any time soon. We're talking decades, possibly centuries away. This observation should help focus the discussion on ECDSA and Schnorr. (Side note: as unofficial Bitcoin security researcher, I still believe Bitcoin PoW is cooked due to the dwindling security budget.) → team quality: The folks at Google Quantum AI are the real deal. Craig Gidney (@CraigGidney) is arguably the world's top quantum circuit optimisooor. Just last year he squeezed 10x out of Shor for RSA, bringing the physical qubit count down from 10M to 1M. Special thanks to the Google team for patiently answering all my newb questions with detailed, fact-based answers. I was expecting some hype, but found none.
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Crypto King
Crypto King@Cryptoking·
Have this 1/1 @ShoheiOhtaniHQ Auto + Patch + 1/1… No prior sales data, any guess it’s worth?! Any interested buyers, DMs open
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IntoTheNight
IntoTheNight@UnseenNight·
You @SenLummis have been one of the strongest advocates for crypto in the Senate, and many of us appreciate your leadership on the Clarity Act. However, the latest draft still bans stablecoin issuers and platforms from paying any passive yield to users simply for holding their tokens. Even when that yield comes directly from interest earned on the reserves backing the stablecoin. To many in the industry, this looks like the traditional banking lobby has once again succeeded in writing the rules to protect their deposit base at the expense of competition and innovation. My straightforward question is this: Why will you and your colleagues not simply allow a stablecoin issuer to pay a legitimate, transparent yield earned from their own reserves to American users? What is the actual policy reason for blocking this, beyond shielding legacy banks from fair market competition?
Senator Cynthia Lummis@SenLummis

Don't believe the FUD-- we have worked on a bipartisan basis for the last few weeks to make changes to Title 3 that make this bill the strongest protection for DeFi and developers ever enacted. We have to pass the Clarity Act to get these protections.

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