ethnid.
134 posts

ethnid.
@ethnid
Research notes on incentives, markets, technology, and human behavior











Citadel dropping a "Tokenomics" piece with lots of common sense in it: "Adoption is therefore becoming less about what frontier models can do in principle and more about the price and scarcity of the inputs required to make AI operational at scale. Compute, power, cooling, memory bandwidth, and inference budgets are real and binding constraints". We've had every mayor AI CEO warning about this for over a year. The bottleneck is now real-world infrastructure buildout. Time to unleash US' inventiveness into building out power infrastructure and manufacturing. Otherwise, China will just leave us behind and the world will be running on their models... BTM ultra-expensive data centers are not gonna cut it imo... Time to expand the grid and add cheap renewables to the mix, otherwise we will not be competitive long term.

"Booming exports are also propping up growth, allowing China’s policymakers to delay tougher measures to restore consumer confidence, such as higher social spending or a new effort to stabilise the property market" 1/2

Producer Prices in the US rose 4.7% per year over the last 5 years and nearly 26% in total. 2% inflation is a myth. They won't do it, but the Fed should be hiking rates at the FOMC meeting next week.








