mike
1.8K posts
@FinanceLancelot How much you being paid to promote bear porn?
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Greatest bubble in history. Significantly worse than 1929.
Brew Markets@brewmarkets
What a chart.
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The stock markets are rising and yet anecdotally everyone I talk to seems to be struggling financially.
Can someone explain this to me like I’m 5yrs old?
#economy #recession #AI #layoffs #finance #stockmarket
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@alifarhat79 Irrationality.
There is no reason for new ATHs in times of war and overvaluation.
Don’t fall for this bubble. 🎈🪡
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It pays much more to be an optimist rather than a pessimist in the market.
Statistically stocks are more likely to go up vs. down. Just look at an all time chart of the NASDAQ or S&P500. Add in AI and this statistic is skewed even further.
Sure there will be pullbacks but looking at things through a “market/world is doomed” lens just isn’t the way to approach the market outside of the once every 20 year financial crisis.
One could view this AI fueled bull market as a bubble, scam, etc. and sit on the sidelines. Or one could view this as the most transformational technology in history and participate.
One could focus on the situation in Iran, midterms, the labor market, debt, etc. Or, one could focus on the increasing productivity, technology, profits, earnings, etc.
Noise will always be there, but the charts and history don’t lie.
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@mushtaba @CFlanders7 Position size doesnt matter to me. Its soley based on how much account equity i am willing to risk on a given trade. I can risk the same amount of dollars for any position size.
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You are an inscription for us all Boss! Just one question - some say limit sizing to 10-15% account per trade or max 10% and some say go heavy on high conviction trades almost having 50% account riding in one name - where do you stand in all this? I feel like I always size little at the start then start sizing heavy when I shouldn’t be and end up giving back a lot! So lately just sticking to 10% size max per trade!
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Mistakes I made in 2019. Don’t believe the rally is for real. Hesitate and don’t take the first few names breaking out. Try other names with excessive size to make up for the gains I should have had. Market pulls, get stopped out on some, sell or reduce the others due to pressure . Size even more on the next round of names to make up for what I should have been up in the first and second round of names, rinse repeat. Have a few early leaders start flagging, size in expecting a break out. Stop out, end up trying 3 more times inside the flag. They all stop out, each one I sized with more and more risk.
Hit risk limits for the month at various points in the rally, keep trading with larger size to dig myself out. How can i stop trading when the rally is so strong?
At the end of it, was down around 30%. If I had followed my risk rules, year would have been down less than 10% (I’d have to go back and check to get exact numbers). More importantly there would not have been the spiraling and I could have likely salvaged a profitable albeit disappointing year.
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@AretardInvestor @MirageWL8 I guess you have never met liquidity before. Shes can be a bitch in small caps.
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99.999999999% of retail investors could put all their networth into a 'small cap' 100M-1B and they wouldn't even move the stock 2%...
You could be managing over 100M and you could still make 100x returns on small caps, even 1B could make 100x returns.
99.999999999% of people will never have the money to even put a dent on a smallcap stock.
Size starts to matter when you're managing $10B - $50B but by the time you even get close to that you won't try to get 100x returns, you'll try to not get negative returns.
So no, $ amount doesn't matter for retail investors.
Oh and btw... just in case you haven't realised, a $100M business isn't a small business like the stockmarket leads you to believe, if you ever get to know someone that manages a $100M business, he's probably the wealthiest person you'll ever meet.
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Uhh, I think what actually matters is absolute dollars.
A 2x on $500k is $1M
And a 10x on $100k is $1M
The difference is in dollar amount risked in speculative assets. Most people wouldn’t go all in speculation so absolute dollars absolutely matters.
Managing $100k is vastly different than managing $1M which is vastly different than managing $50M which is vastly different than managing $1B
Also need to consider that a lot of these small market caps don’t really have liquidity to get a multibagger on big accounts unless you’re basically trying to buy the company
Hard disagree here
Serenity@aleabitoreddit
I don't post dollar amounts because they don't matter. What matters is return %. Speaking of that... YTD: 3840.39%. I'm probably the only one in the world. Who called out multiple names that 10x'd in a short timeframe. Do you remember these thesis anon? 1. $AXTI 2. $SIVE 3. $AAOI 4. $LITE 5. $IQE 6. $AEHR 7. $CRCL 8. $EWY 9. Unimicron 10. Nitto Boseki 11. $OSS 12. $GDRZF 13. $RPI 14. $SOI 15. $ALRIB 16. $SNDK 17. $SIMO 18. $VPG 19. $TSEM 20. $ARM 21. $MRVL 22. $INTC 23. $LPK 24. $NBIS 25. $MU They're all up 100-1000%+, because... 1. I post a thesis. 2. People can see how the stock performs months later. 3. They turn out right (thesis validation) because they're up hundreds of percent + hold their returns. I really dislike the traditional X influencer who shows large dollar amounts or fancy watches/cars/private jets. Then use that to get more by selling expensive subscriptions rather than through market returns. So trying to set a new trend off pure information discovery/synthesis from free thesis posts and the results that follow in terms of return percentages. TLDR: Market returns in terms of percentages matter the most to validate a thesis. Not the dollar amount made.
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I lost my job Thurs last week. Only have enough saving to pay bills for 2 months and job market looks bleak in terms of finding one to cover expenses. Blown so many accounts the last 5 years. I don't know what to do, feel like there's market opportunity.
Any suggestions?
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Consumer sentiment is at all-time lows LOL
First Squawk@FirstSquawk
HEDGE FUNDS TURN SHARPLY BEARISH ON U.S. EQUITIES AS SHORT EXPOSURE IN INDEX FUTURES, ETFs RISE TO ~13% OF TOTAL U.S. GROSS EXPOSURE
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@801010athlete @mwebster1971 1650% is ludicrous... thats over half of what spy has returned since 1993
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Oh, and did you know @mwebster1971 road the dot com bubble w a 1000+% year but he’s too humble to talk about that. They had to round it down bc he killed it so much it wasn’t believable for the book.
So, if anyone knows how to monitor bull market into a top it’s him.
PBA@801010athlete
$SPCX Space X estimated IPO around 3rd week of June. If leader names stay absurd into the IPO I’ll be selling a lot of stock as I’d imagine any blow off extensions at the time of an absurdly valued IPO like this and all the hype would require several months of basing this summer which would be totally healthy and normal. This is my expectation I’m watching for, if that doesn’t happen it’s business as usual. My opinion means nothing but it helps my process. A big thing @mwebster1971 taught me about expectation breakers. He’s always putting out historical data in so much detail. Definitely recommend following him if you don’t. I consider him one of my mentors.
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@RyanRozbiani Hollywood makeup artists wish their silicone masks looked that seamless. It’s just terrible remote studio lighting and a stiff jacket collar creating a perfect shadow illusion. The internet remains undefeated at making everything a movie 🎬💀
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Admiral Robert Harward is GOING VIRAL
Here are BOTH CLIPS UNEDITED of the interview from 5/18 and yesterday 5/21
People are saying it is NOT HIM it is someone else WEARING a mask. To me it looks and sounds like two different people, but both are of him
Watch and tell me what do you think?
Ryan Rozbiani@RyanRozbiani
THIS STORY JUST GOT WEIRDER A clip from retired Admiral Robert Harward’s Fox News interview today is going VIRAL. He appears to be wearing a face mask on the image on the RIGHT which is the interview from today. Compare it to his appearance using the image on the LEFT from an interview from three days ago and the man looks COMPLETELY DIFFERENT. Compare the faces for yourself. My fun guess is it is Stephen Miller under the mask if it is a mask…
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$NVDA says AI spending to reach $3-4 TRILLION annually
GIF
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@801010athlete These early april buys have made it so much less stressful when growth gets hit. Without them, i would be for sure overtrading right now.
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You can’t make this up. Cathy buying $CBRS on DAY 1. Have we ever seen someone worse at their job than her?This is exactly why $ARKK ETF has been a complete disaster. @CathieDWood has failed her investors. But the bigger idiots are the ones who leave money in that ETF.
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
All this hate on poor Cathy is making wish her some success. Her and I had a great run from June 2025- November. I’m sorry @CathieDWood I wish we could go back to the good ol’ days, but once you started buying $BMNR it all when to shit. Maybe one day I’ll be a proud owner of $ARKK again. Just as soon as you learn to some simple technical analysis I might come back.
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@RealSimpleAriel @mhib19q @lifelessplum I was refering only to individual traders. Fund managers are completly different.
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@mpikx12 @mhib19q @lifelessplum So I guess we should stick Stan Druckenmiller in the dipshit tier because he has only done 30% per year?
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Active money managers are panicking out of their longs while we rip higher? What am I missing
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