@RogerM69095640 That is a possibility. We will see how they act tomorrow. Friday was a bit of a pull for software
English
Ariel Hernandez
28.6K posts
Ariel Hernandez
@RealSimpleAriel
Day trader turned swing trader. Here to help others improve their trading! Join me for live streaming on Discord. https://t.co/RRhmvGkkh0
Sign up Private Discord 👉 Katılım Nisan 2020
549 Takip Edilen61.1K Takipçiler
@RealSimpleAriel Chance for rotation out of semis and memory into primarilly software/cybersecurity?
English
The worst part is the correlation. Our market is still being driven by the memory trade, which makes for a bumpy ride until we finally decouple from the Korean markets.
It begs the question: how much are you willing to chop yourself up just to find out whether $SMH and the $DRAM trade are going higher?
Personally, I’d rather wait for calmer waters
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
The worst part is our $QQQ is attached at the hip to KOSPI and $EWY. If the memory trade gets taken down then we will all be forced into Cheesecake Factory, Twist Biosciences and PulteGroup 😭
English
English
English
30min countdown until the start of Day 2! Yesterday was absolutely incredible thanks to @Upticken @PeterLBrandt and @PradeepBonde 🤝
youtube.com/live/8wZLyP5KF…
YouTube
English
Ariel Hernandez retweetledi
A high 9 distribution days through this tightening Nasdaq base per @marketsurge. This is where the discretionary side of trading comes in. I always wonder if past stats can unlock a clue here - they don't help much: Breakouts have to start working and bases need to improve. And you can still be wrong when you press, which is why scaling in incrementally from smaller exposure is the obvious play. $QQQ
English
@BlakePhoenix13 @RichardMoglen @TraderLion @Upticken @PeterLBrandt @PradeepBonde @alphatrends @Trader_mcaruso @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt 🙏 thanks Alan! Glad you were able to pick something up during that conversation
English
@RichardMoglen @TraderLion @Upticken @PeterLBrandt @PradeepBonde @RealSimpleAriel @alphatrends @Trader_mcaruso @Crowded_Mkt_Rpt Before today I didn't know who Ariel was. So glad I watched his presentation. He was dropping gold nuggets all over the place!
English
Thanks everyone for attending the first weekend of the @TraderLion conference!
Great presentations so far from:
@Upticken
@PeterLBrandt
@PradeepBonde
@RealSimpleAriel
@alphatrends
@Trader_mcaruso
@Crowded_Mkt_Rpt
Watch the Replays Here:
youtube.com/playlist?list=…
English
@RealSimpleAriel Wait, you’re telling me you don’t need a crystal ball to be a successful trader?! Lmao 😂
English
What Mir doesn’t seem to understand is the idea of strong opinions, loosely held.
I make predictions every single day. My own stats say I’m wrong 63% of the time.
If trading was about predicting the future, I’d be broke.
The idea that great traders succeed because they’re better at forecasting is complete nonsense. Great traders succeed because they react fast when the market proves them wrong.
I cut losers immediately. I press winners. And the second I get an expectation breaker, I throw my previous opinion in the trash without a second thought.
The market doesn’t pay you for being right. It pays you for managing risk and adapting.
Anyone who thinks this business is about making perfect predictions has fundamentally misunderstood what trading actually is.
Mir@mirsblog
Until 4 days ago Ariel was gloom and doom. He is a good trader no doubt but if you listen to him for what market will do a 24 hrs from now you will lose. He is not good at predicting, but great at reacting. Only @1ChartMaster for life as he is not in the business for predicting like Ariel constantly does and is often wrong.
English
@KynaKosling You got me to read all of your uploads 😅
English
I feel like a broken record when it comes to good formatting…
…but until people stop ruining great ideas with walls of text, I won’t stop banging the table about it.
Formatting is way too easy to learn, and far too impactful on your results, not to take 3 minutes for these 3 tips:
English
Presenting today for TraderLion! Will give away 3 spot spots for the Discord. Also, be sure to check out all the speakers because it’s a wealth of knowledge!
Criteria: register for the conference, retweet the giveaway tweet and replay with a word
TraderLion@TraderLion
The @TraderLion Conference starts this Weekend! We are giving away a free Masterclass! Learn from Oliver Kell, Stan Weinstein, Leif Soreide & more! To enter: ✅ Register for your VIP Pass below (100% Free) 🔁 Retweet this tweet 👇 Comment "Study" traderlion.com/2026-traderlio…
English
@BizCycles It was supposed to be a back handed comment by him but it was actually a compliment. Which means he’s actually a bozo 😂🤣
English
@RealSimpleAriel "He is not good at predicting, but great at reacting". Um, yeah, thats the entire fkn point.
English
@DoWhatchu Yeah or if you are right all the time you have a strategy which is scalping on a 1min chart. Not going to hate on that but it doesn’t scale
English
Never understood why people dont get even the all time greats get things wrong most of the time. If you are right most of the time the chances when you are wrong your account gets taken to the car wash because you ignore risk.
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
What Mir doesn’t seem to understand is the idea of strong opinions, loosely held. I make predictions every single day. My own stats say I’m wrong 63% of the time. If trading was about predicting the future, I’d be broke. The idea that great traders succeed because they’re better at forecasting is complete nonsense. Great traders succeed because they react fast when the market proves them wrong. I cut losers immediately. I press winners. And the second I get an expectation breaker, I throw my previous opinion in the trash without a second thought. The market doesn’t pay you for being right. It pays you for managing risk and adapting. Anyone who thinks this business is about making perfect predictions has fundamentally misunderstood what trading actually is.
English
@Ironflow247 Bingo. The Donald can do some predicting too 😂🤣
English
@RealSimpleAriel The Only Trader whos edge is predicting is Nancy Pelosi. The rest of us have ideas & react accordingly lmao. What a dumb post by that guy
English
@KDramaLover1119 @mirsblog @1ChartMaster Wrong KDL. You can’t change your opinion at all. If you are doom and gloom one moment you need to stay that way forever. Ohh and you must make perfect predictions 24/7 😂🤣
English
@RealSimpleAriel @mirsblog @1ChartMaster . I can go from doom and gloom to buying breakouts 48 hours later based on what stocks are doing. Everyone has the right to switch their opinions based on price action
English
Until 4 days ago Ariel was gloom and doom. He is a good trader no doubt but if you listen to him for what market will do a 24 hrs from now you will lose. He is not good at predicting, but great at reacting. Only @1ChartMaster for life as he is not in the business for predicting like Ariel constantly does and is often wrong.
Ariel Hernandez@RealSimpleAriel
$SPY $800 looks to be a real possibility
English
Completely agree, the RS stands out, and we can quantify it with data.
Here we rank stocks with RS against other semis and secondary sort with proximity to 52w highs — $AMD is showing massive RS and leadership top ranked.
My issue here is the setup, it’s still very choppy, is this really the spot? Or are we a fakeout away from some real basing?
I have a hard time buying breakouts from choppy, upwedging and short bases personally. Maybe price action will change after the breakout, just an observation.
Thoughts from the finX panel? @jfsrev @ShakePryzby1 @RealSimpleAriel @ohiain
iain@ohiain
If you're not paying attention to $AMD right now, you might understand why by tomorrow night when your feed is full of $AMD charts. The relative strength has been ridiculous + the good ole friday swing would've been a great stab! The market is starting to turn higher, $AMD hasn't wanted to leave the highs... and we all know what happens when you keep holding a beach ball underwater for 2 long. My top watch heading into next week! Chart: $AMD.
English
@mirsblog @1ChartMaster Final point. NO ONE knows what the market will do 24 hrs from now. Trying to call me out for being a “bad predictor” just shows how little you might actually know about trading. Godspeed sir
English
@rberntrades If you say my consistency, you’d likely just emulate my daily routine. And it’s something I will share in real time and in the mornings for pre and post market
English
@RealSimpleAriel Ok great. I’m transitioning from intraday trading to swing trading, and my goal is to build an independent process for finding names and creating weekend and post-market scanning routines. Is that something your group will be able to help me develop?
Thanks for responding.
English
Me sleeping at the desk and then I hear my squawk that Trump is saying something which causes some volatility! $SPY $QQQ
GIF
English
@rberntrades Yes and I’m always happy to dive in those topics further if needed. But not only do I live stream for 4hrs per day I also share a nightly watchlist. But if there is anything more people need help with I’m always there to help
English
@RealSimpleAriel Hey Ariel, I just had a quick question about your Market Pulse group.
Does your group teach the process of stock discovery, including weekend scans, nightly scans, identifying RS, leading themes, building a universe, and narrowing to a focus list?
English
@ripster47 @ZaStocks @OMillionaires @StockSavvyShay @stocktalkweekly @epictrades1 @markminervini @JonahLupton @livetradepro @ruth_capital @alphatrends @RedDogT3 @Mr_Derivatives @cfromhertz @AnthonyCrudele @Scot1andT @SunriseTrader 🤝 much love Rip. Enjoy your weekend!
English
