Scott

@tradermatt What if we ran it back to 87k...

bitcoin daily chart small range formed at the bigger range low expecting more chop for the next week. i have been saying that the worst case scenario would be for a retrace back up because it will just mean we chop for weeks on end nuke it and put the bear market to sleep

@tradermatt Actually think we get a push higher into 86.5 area. But your targets after that.

sol h4 looking for a close below $76 for a retrace of the first week of july's bull market down to $68

@MrBeast 7,842,915

First person to reply with the exact number of pennies in this room win $10,000

@ThinkingUSD A gift to sell at.

These prices are a gift

@decodejar @PeterLBrandt I believe you are correct here

@PeterLBrandt EUR/USD, Bearish.

OK chartists, ID the market Name the pattern Describe the default implications

STRC is at $95.20 right now. That matters, and here’s why. This is the security Saylor sells as stable, trades near $100. But it doesn’t sit near $100 by magic. $95.20 is right down in the zone where, by their own framework, management says they’d recommend cranking the dividend back up to drag the price toward par again. So let’s talk about that mechanism, because anyone holding this stuff really needs to understand it. It’s called “the ratchet.” When STRC slips below par, the only real lever they’ve got is the dividend. Fatten the yield, pull buyers back in, nudge the price back toward $100. Sounds clever. Here’s the problem. Every crank is basically permanent. You can’t quietly un-raise a dividend, because the price will drop, and you’re back at square one. So the annual cash bill just keeps climbing. And it’s already been hiked seven times since launch. 9% all the way to 11.5%. Now ask where the cash for that growing bill comes from. They don’t make money from operations. So it comes from one of two places: issuing more stock, or selling Bitcoin. See the trap? Price falls, they hike the dividend to defend par, the bill grows, bigger bill means more pressure to issue or sell. In a real downturn that’s not a flywheel. It’s a whirlpool. And now watch the words, because this is where it gets Orwellian. Saylor used to say “I’ll never sell Bitcoin.” Full stop. Now it’s “I’ll never be a net seller.” Spot the move? Net seller means he can absolutely sell. He just has to buy more than he sells, BUT AND HERE IS THE IMPORTANT BIT, Oney whatever period he decides to measure, which could be over the last 5 years, or the next twenty. So the promise already got quietly reworded once to fit what they’re actually doing. The question is simple: does he hold even this watered-down version? Or do we get the next rewrite, where “net seller” becomes some fresh phrase that conveniently fits whatever the structure forces on them that month? We’ve seen this film before. The words keep changing to match the situation. And here’s the kicker. Even the dividend hike isn’t a promise. It’s a “framework” where management says they’ll recommend a raise, subject to the board, and they can suspend or change it whenever they want. Saylor said it himself about the $100 peg: no legal obligation under the security, it’s just the company’s “number one business objective.” An objective. Not a guarantee. Look, if you’re going to put money you worked hard for into these perpetual preferreds, at least understand what you’re actually holding. I wrote a full 78-page report breaking down the real risks of these things in proper detail. It’s linked in the first comment below. Read it before you buy, not after. Read the full length report. These are your savings, money you worked hard for.

Not many people are talking about the YEN, but watch out.

Pay attention to what people measure.

Winston Churchill fought his depression with bricks. He'd lay them for hours at his country home in Kent. He joined the bricklayers' union. And in 1921 he wrote about why it worked. It took psychology another 75 years to catch up. He called his depression the "Black Dog." It followed him for decades. His method for fighting it back was as basic as it sounds: laying brick after brick, hour after hour. Churchill spelled out his theory in a long essay for The Strand Magazine. People who think for a living, he wrote, can't fix a tired brain just by resting it. They have to use a different part of themselves. The part that moves the eyes and the hands. Woodworking, chemistry, bookbinding, bricklaying, painting. Anything that drags the body into a problem the mind can't solve by itself. Modern psychology now calls this behavioral activation. It's one of the most-studied depression treatments out there. Depression sets a behavior trap. You feel bad, so you stop doing things, and doing less means less to feel good about. Feeling worse makes you do even less. The loop tightens until you can't breathe inside it. Behavioral activation breaks the loop from the action side. You schedule the activity first, even when every part of you doesn't want to. Doing it produces small rewards: a wall gets straighter, a painting fills in, a messy room gets clean. Those small rewards slowly rewire the brain. Action comes first, and the feeling follows. Researchers at the University of Washington put this to the test in 2006. They studied 241 adults with major depression and compared three treatments: behavioral activation, regular talk therapy, and antidepressants. For the people who were most severely depressed, behavioral activation matched the drugs. It beat the talk therapy. A 2014 review of more than 1,500 patients across 26 trials backed up the result. Physical work like bricklaying does something extra on top of this. It crowds out rumination, the looping bad thoughts that grind people down during the worst stretches of depression. Bricklaying needs both hands and gives feedback brick by brick: each one is straight or crooked. After an hour you can see exactly how much wall you built. No room left for the mental chewing. The line George Mack used in his post, "depression hates a moving target," is good poetry. The science behind it is sharper. Depression hates a brain that has somewhere else to be.

If you’re a dad with young kids and you’re healthy and fit. And you’ve got a steady job/career and a roof over your head. And a great wife. Please recognize this: you are living the dream life. The “good old days” are literally happening to you right now.

Warren Buffett: “In investing, I’m in a no-called-strike business, which is the best business you can be in. I can look at a thousand different companies, and I don’t have to swing at any of them.” “The only way I get a strike called on me is if I swing at a pitch and I miss. So I can wait there and look at thousands of companies day after day, and only when I see one that is really in my sweet spot — where I understand the business, and I like the management, and the price is attractive — only then do I swing.” “And if it’s not, I can just let it go by. You don’t have to have an opinion on every pitch. And that’s a huge advantage in investing.”

@TheOneLanceB Love this post. I've realized I'm not smart enough to know what's going on, or what is causing it. I then realized, I don't need to be.

I TRADE CHARTS, NOT VIEWS I can’t believe that the market is ripping to ATH so quickly. I can’t believe that oil is back to $80. Both don’t make sense to me. How much have I lost short the market? $0 How much have I lost long oil? $0 It’s because I’m not trading my views. I know my views are total shit and useless. I trade hyper-specific chart patterns that have proven statistical edge. If my view aligns with it, that might help me size it. But never is a view ever sufficient for me to put risk on without the technicals backing it up.

“In the end, it’s all pattern recognition. And mathematics is the ultimate pattern recognition machine.” — Jim Simons

California is trying to pass a bill that would criminalize investigative journalism with misdemeanors, $10,000 fines, imprisonment, and content takedown. The proposed bill is titled AB 2624 and was made after I exposed mass fraud by immigrant groups in America. Under AB 2624, government-funded entities like the Somali “Learing” Daycare centers would be protected from being exposed if they operated inside California. The enemy truly is within. When our politicians would rather protect fraudsters and illegal migrants, it’s time for us to stand up or face mass oppression from the traitors who “rule” over us.

If you've never negotiated to buy a Persian rug in the Middle East, you probably don't understand what's going on right now😂

@RoyLMattox I certainly think those names and energy outperform other sectors.

Energy is a buy on the pullback. We haven't pulled the trigger yet but we expect to in the foreseeable future. When we do, we will with $Xle, $Oih, and $Xop. These 3 can double in the next 2 years. As we mentioned before, energy is like gold $Gld 2 years ago. The question is do you have the patience to sit?

TACO vs FAFO

THIS MAN'S UNCLE HAD A MYSTERY ILLNESS FOR 25 YEARS. EVERY DOCTOR MISSED IT. CLAUDE FIGURED IT OUT IN ONE CONVERSATION. his 62 year old uncle had kidney failure, diabetes, hypertension, a stroke, and severe migraines that ONLY happened when lying down to sleep. neurologists couldn't explain it. nephrologists couldn't explain it. brain MRI showed nothing obvious. so he brought everything to Claude. Claude caught what every doctor missed: the headaches are positional. lying down triggers them. that's a textbook sleep apnea signal. > pulled research showing 40-57% of dialysis patients have undiagnosed sleep apnea > read his brain MRI report and flagged findings other doctors overlooked > asked about snoring. answer: loud snoring for 25 years > calculated his sleep apnea risk score: 6-7 out of 8 they got the sleep study done. results were terrifying: > breathing stops 119 times per night > oxygen drops to 78% (dangerously low) > 47 oxygen desaturations per hour > 28 minutes per night below safe oxygen levels they put him on a CPAP machine. headaches gone. 25 years of loud snoring and daily exhaustion. every doctor said "dialysis fatigue" or "just getting old." it was sleep apnea the entire time. potentially causing his hypertension, contributing to his stroke, and definitely causing his migraines. Claude even translated the full home care plan and CPAP instructions for his family. AI didn't replace his doctors but it connected dots across nephrology, neurology, pulmonology, and ENT that no single specialist was doing.

🇰🇼 🇮🇱 Rare moment of truth at the UN from brave Kuwaiti dissident @JJJuraid, invited by UN Watch: “Mr. Chair, I heard the term “colonizers.” But who are the real colonizers? A Jewish Kingdom ruled in Judea for a thousand years. We, the Arabs, took this land. Who Arabized Egyptians, Phoenicians, Persians and Amazighs? It was us, the Arabs. So why does the council enshrine a lie by keeping a permanent agenda item on Palestine, while ignoring the indigenous heart of Israel returning home? Let us be clear about who is actually defending our sovereignty. Today, Israel is a fighter for peaceful nations, freeing Gaza from Hamas terrorists and saving Iranians from the Islamic Republic. What Israel is doing to the IRGC — stopping a genocidal regime from acquiring nuclear weapons — is a gift to humanity. There are 57 Islamic countries and only one Jewish state, Israel. Despite the ongoing hateful desire to eliminate it, Israel has not only survived, it has thrived. I don’t believe in miracles, but this is one. So I ask the UN: when will you end the ritual of condemning Israel? Is it not time, instead, to learn from Israel? How to defeat terror, defend free societies, and pursue peace. Thank you.” What a refreshing act of integrity and truth. Stay connected, follow @MOSSADil.