BTC Tides

Here’s the real reason behind this equity rally that no one has been able to tell you: Positioning unwind (see thread below) + markets front-running the initial nominal revenue boost from the coming energy-driven inflation shock (Yes, inflation is coming). Prices rise first → short-term earnings look great. This is what markets are front running now. But once inflation hits costs and triggers demand destruction, equities WILL reprice lower. HARD. This is exactly why BTC WON’T see a new ATH rally anytime soon. Anyone that tells you it will, is going to cost you money. BTC has no corporate revenue, currently no options positioning tailwind to unwind, and no ability to pass on inflation. BTC price is driven PURELY by macro TIDES. I will tell you as soon as the Tide shifts from Falling to Rising = THE time to go ALL IN BTC/Crypto.

@Mincuss_AU Big time

@BTCTides Totally agree - They are all bearish short to medium term.

Show me ONE single LEGIT macro account - which deals in DATA and FACTS - that is saying BTC will hit ATH soon, or even that the bottom is in. I'll wait ... Once you realise there is NONE, ask yourself this: WHY is there none? What do they all see that you don't?

@Darky1k Only funny for those who listened …

It will be funny when Bitcoin drops to new lows 40-45k are waiting

@marc02200 Wake myself up from the nice dream 👀

If Bitcoin hits $500k this cycle what is the first thing you do?

@unusual_whales Short it!

Kamala Harris's chances to win the Democratic presidential nomination have hit an all time high on Polymarket:

@Wealthmanager My target is 85k 🤞

Another big short squeeze will happen soon! Please be careful with short positions. (Make sure to use SL.) Last warning ⚠️

@CastilloTrading Tide is Falling; has been since Aug 2025. The situation won’t change until Tide shifts again …

Altcoins are still massively underperforming literally everything right now.

@5_0Trading 21k was 33% is above the pico low. Which is fine OBVIOUSLY. BTC did a 6x from 21k, especially if you’re DCAing (which is wise). BUT for context 33% lower than today’s price is 53k; 33% lower than Feb low is 40k. Both of those levels remain possible, until a Tide shifts.

I have no invalidation. Same way I did in 2022 after starting buying from 21k on bitcoin:native MY MONEY IS WHERE MY MOUTH IS

@zerohedge Shocker

The US Military Is Running A Bitcoin Node, Admiral Paparo Reveals zerohedge.com/crypto/us-mili…

@5_0Trading @Xanderdapenguin @LayahHeilpern What would be your invalidation? What would make you change your thesis?

@Xanderdapenguin @BTCTides @LayahHeilpern I called the bottom to be at 60k last year when bitcoin was above 115k I stay confident about what I said.

Everyone thinks BTC has bottomed You know what that means...

@Bra_Hug_61 @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern 100% and even then there's connection to macro flows, which BTC is now (since ETFs launch) fully anchored to...

@BTCTides @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern totally, gotta read all the signs not just one metric

@CostcoCruiser @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Average mining costs floating around are super rough estimates anyway. Even if they could be estimated accurately, they have very little to do with exchnage price of BTC. I recommend learning more about Market Making principles.

@BTCTides @Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Mate Btc is respecting the cost to mine Period Any significant move lower is a liquidity grab and will be bought back fast

@KobeissiLetter Yes, real rates are going negative. Capital now needs to risk just to survive.

Institutional investors are rebuilding their equity exposure: The NAAIM Exposure Index has jumped +19 points over the last 4 weeks, to 79, the highest since mid-February. This index measures average US equity exposure reported by members of the National Association of Active Investment Managers, making it a key indicator of professional investor positioning. At the same time, hedge fund net leverage has risen +8 percentage points to 77%, the highest since early March. This metric shows the amount that hedge funds are betting on the market going up versus down, with higher readings indicating more aggressive positioning. Both metrics remain well below their December 2025 peaks, suggesting the positioning rebuild is not yet complete. Institutional equity exposure is quickly recovering.

@Xanderdapenguin @5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Funding rate alone is noise. What do: OI, basis (structure), spot vs perp flow, liquidations (forced moves), Taker/Maker ratio, options skew (tail risk), say? Otherwise you’re blind to where the actual pressure is.

@5_0Trading @BTCTides @LayahHeilpern Everyone thinks the bottom is in? Seriously, that can’t be a serious comment. Yes, there are people who think the bottom is in, but the overwhelmingly majority think it’s not, just look at the funding rate for example, never mind the negativity on this app.

You think I don’t want to be bullish on Bitcoin? Of course I do. Real money is made going long, not short. But right now, knowing what I know, I simply can’t. Not yet. In 3–4 months the setup might finally flip. I’ll drop the full breakdown tomorrow. ✌️

@0xNonceSense Exactly 👆

Bitcoin did this TWICE already. 2017: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom 2021: ATH taken → dump → fakeout → bottom 2025: ATH taken → dump → fakeout NOW That drop is where most people exit. The real move usually starts right after. Just to remind you, I was the only one who called the last cycle bottom and top. Turn notifications on. Most people will follow me too late.

@5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Fair. I’m very sure it isn’t. But let’s revisit this later. We both can’t be right that’s for sure haha

@BTCTides @LayahHeilpern My chart are inverted. I’m a Bull. I believe bottom is IN.

@BitcoinPulseX Why that specific number? lol

if you f*cking need $2750 just like this post.

@5_0Trading @LayahHeilpern Macro says not - aren’t you supposed to be ‘inverted’ bull anyway?

@LayahHeilpern Your followers will end up our liquidity if you don’t think so

@TonySeverinoCMT Or they’re all-in in one direction and views against that direction directly challenge their very image of future security

Well said

@DonWedge Neh we belief

bears in disbelief