Ray Beasley
411 posts
The escalation now appears increasingly unavoidable, especially as President Trump significantly raises the stakes. Iran is unlikely to back down. It will likely test U.S. resolve by targeting American naval assets, while also attempting to disrupt commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz or deter tankers from transiting altogether. Such developments would almost certainly trigger a sharp spike in global oil prices, with cascading second and third order effects particularly across Asian economies that rely heavily on Gulf energy flows. At the same time, Iran will aim to project resilience and avoid appearing to capitulate under pressure. Further escalation would increase the likelihood of Houthi action in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, potentially threatening another critical maritime chokepoint. It would also raise the risk of Iranian strikes against infrastructure designed to bypass Hormuz, including pipelines such as the East-West corridor. While Iran would sustain significant damage, it will attempt to maintain oil exports through alternative routes like the Jask terminal, calculating that Gulf states may ultimately suffer greater economic harm. In any case, this is not a scenario with a clear winner, only varying degrees of loss. #iran
Despite the ongoing face-to-face negotiations between Iran and the United States in Islamabad, which have reportedly advanced into technical talks on a potential peace deal to end the Iran War, fighting continues between Israel and Lebanon. In the last 24 hours alone, the Israeli Air Force reports that it has carried out over 200 strikes on Hezbollah military infrastructure and other targets in Southern Lebanon.
If Trump said the same thing as Gavin did, they'd call him a racist. But it wouldn't have been racist for Trump to say it. It wasn't even a "black crowd".
