Aram Attar

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Aram Attar

Aram Attar

@TheVCFactory

Mindset-Based Investor in Emerging VC Managers.

Austin, TX Inscrit le Şubat 2018
385 Abonnements518 Abonnés
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
Last Friday, I presented my report “Emerging VCs: Selection Through Mindset” to a select group of LPs and GPs in Austin.

The report shows how current LP evaluation methods can significantly benefit from incorporating a structured analysis of Emerging GPs’ mindset: how they think, build their firm, and make investment decisions. 

It offers a practical framework for what I call Mindset-Based Investing. 

This approach acknowledges that exceptional outcomes in Venture Capital emerge not just from analyzing market dynamics or portfolio construction mechanics – though those elements are crucial – but from a GP’s fundamental approach to risk, their ability to spot opportunity, and the way they see the world.

If you’re an LP pondering whether you should invest in Emerging GPs, this report will offer a fresh lens to identify and foster future outperformers.

If you’re a GP at an emerging or established firm, you will find concrete illustrations on the mindset underpinning exceptional fund performance. I’ll share more insights from the report and upcoming interviews with leading LPs and GPs in the next few weeks.
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@thejesonlee They may legitimately believe that since they’re honest, they should keep it up. They fail to realize that asking/applying for it is already a negative signal. I’m sure I’m in availability bias mode, but most successful Founders I can think of look for clients, not accolades.
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Jeson Lee
Jeson Lee@thejesonlee·
Whoever has Forbes 30U30 on their X or LinkedIn bio and still decide to not take it down by now is a huge negative signal
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TBPN
TBPN@tbpn·
Sequoia's @carl_eschenbach on the founder traits that matter most when scaling a company: "One of the things I absolutely look for is self-awareness in founders, and are they honest about what they’re good at? Because a lot of these founders are just incredibly intelligent human beings, and sometimes they think they can do everything. Do they have the self-awareness to say, 'I need to go get other people as part of the company to help me scale so I can focus on what I’m really good at?'" "There are attributes and characteristics of people that I look for that are way beyond the intelligence side of the equation. You can’t teach grit. You can’t teach drive. You can’t teach a great attitude. You can’t teach determination." "All of those are things that are innate and part of people, and you want to see that in these founders. When you find someone who has that passion, drive, desire, and relentless ability to fight through challenges, issues, and opportunities — and then they have the intellectual horsepower on the other side — when that comes together, that’s a beautiful thing."
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
“We cannot change what we are not aware of, and once we are aware, we cannot help but change.” — @sherylsandberg
TBPN@tbpn

Sequoia's @carl_eschenbach on the founder traits that matter most when scaling a company: "One of the things I absolutely look for is self-awareness in founders, and are they honest about what they’re good at? Because a lot of these founders are just incredibly intelligent human beings, and sometimes they think they can do everything. Do they have the self-awareness to say, 'I need to go get other people as part of the company to help me scale so I can focus on what I’m really good at?'" "There are attributes and characteristics of people that I look for that are way beyond the intelligence side of the equation. You can’t teach grit. You can’t teach drive. You can’t teach a great attitude. You can’t teach determination." "All of those are things that are innate and part of people, and you want to see that in these founders. When you find someone who has that passion, drive, desire, and relentless ability to fight through challenges, issues, and opportunities — and then they have the intellectual horsepower on the other side — when that comes together, that’s a beautiful thing."

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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@chamath Also something I call “proxy DD:” if xyz did the A, means they checked everything. Good enough for us. Cf everyone after Walgreens “invested” in Theranos.
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Chamath Palihapitiya
I don’t know if there is anything shady going on here or not, but I will say, more generally, that VCs prefer social proof than actual diligence: “XYZ did the A, we must get into the B” or “ARR is growing so fast, we need to get in”. In the final telling, there will be a lot of zeroes in the AI complex as some companies have spectacular rises and falls. When we look back, the reason above will largely explain why.
Aakash Gupta@aakashgupta

Cursor is raising at a $50 billion valuation on the claim that its “in-house models generate more code than almost any other LLMs in the world.” Less than 24 hours after launching Composer 2, a developer found the model ID in the API response: kimi-k2p5-rl-0317-s515-fast. That’s Moonshot AI’s Kimi K2.5 with reinforcement learning appended. A developer named Fynn was testing Cursor’s OpenAI-compatible base URL when the identifier leaked through the response headers. Moonshot’s head of pretraining, Yulun Du, confirmed on X that the tokenizer is identical to Kimi’s and questioned Cursor’s license compliance. Two other Moonshot employees posted confirmations. All three posts have since been deleted. This is the second time. When Cursor launched Composer 1 in October 2025, users across multiple countries reported the model spontaneously switching its inner monologue to Chinese mid-session. Kenneth Auchenberg, a partner at Alley Corp, posted a screenshot calling it a smoking gun. KR-Asia and 36Kr confirmed both Cursor and Windsurf were running fine-tuned Chinese open-weight models underneath. Cursor never disclosed what Composer 1 was built on. They shipped Composer 1.5 in February and moved on. The pattern: take a Chinese open-weight model, run RL on coding tasks, ship it as a proprietary breakthrough, publish a cost-performance chart comparing yourself against Opus 4.6 and GPT-5.4 without disclosing that your base model was free, then raise another round. That chart from the Composer 2 announcement deserves its own paragraph. Cursor plotted Composer 2 against frontier models on a price-vs-quality axis to argue they’d hit a superior tradeoff. What the chart doesn’t show is that Anthropic and OpenAI trained their models from scratch. Cursor took an open-weight model that Moonshot spent hundreds of millions developing, ran RL on top, and presented the output as evidence of in-house research. That’s margin arbitrage on someone else’s R&D dressed up as a benchmark slide. The license makes this more than an attribution oversight. Kimi K2.5 ships under a Modified MIT License with one clause designed for exactly this scenario: if your product exceeds $20 million in monthly revenue, you must prominently display “Kimi K2.5” on the user interface. Cursor’s ARR crossed $2 billion in February. That’s roughly $167 million per month, 8x the threshold. The clause covers derivative works explicitly. Cursor is valued at $29.3 billion and raising at $50 billion. Moonshot’s last reported valuation was $4.3 billion. The company worth 12x more took the smaller company’s model and shipped it as proprietary technology to justify a valuation built on the frontier lab narrative. Three Composer releases in five months. Composer 1 caught speaking Chinese. Composer 2 caught with a Kimi model ID in the API. A P0 incident this year. And a benchmark chart that compares an RL fine-tune against models requiring billions in training compute without disclosing the base was free. The question for investors in the $50 billion round: what exactly are you buying? A VS Code fork with strong distribution, or a frontier research lab? The model ID in the API answers that. If Moonshot doesn’t enforce this license against a company generating $2 billion annually from a derivative of their model, the attribution clause becomes decoration for every future open-weight release. Every AI lab watching this is running the same math: why open-source your model if companies with better distribution can strip attribution, call it proprietary, and raise at 12x your valuation? kimi-k2p5-rl-0317-s515-fast is the most expensive model ID leak in the history of AI licensing.

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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@iPaulLee Also, too many Emerging GPs spend time with lawyers & LPs vs talking to Founders and validating their thesis.
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Paul Lee
Paul Lee@iPaulLee·
Hard truth for emerging managers: You’re not competing on how good your deals are. You’re competing on whether an LP needs you in their portfolio. 🧵
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Brian Halligan
Brian Halligan@bhalligan·
Most successful entrepreneurs you talk to, if they're being honest, would say something along the lines of, "If I knew everything I know now, I would not have done it." The kind of people who decide they want to be founders because they think it is cool always fail. They fail because it's a deeply painful and lonely journey, and those people will jump ship. Maybe they are the smart ones. For the rest of you, it's a Long Strange Trip...
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Peter Walker
Peter Walker@PeterJ_Walker·
How many VC funds have $1 of DPI? And how many have 1x DPI? Damn this thing takes forever.
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@mwseibel “A reliable way to make people believe in falsehoods is frequent repetition, because familiarity is not easily distinguished from truth.” — Daniel Kahneman
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Michael Seibel
Michael Seibel@mwseibel·
It's never been easier to invent your own version of history. Say something online enough, have a big enough audience, and for a lot of people your version of the facts becomes the truth. Our politicians must be careful when using this power.
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@tarakeeney No? I mean, Hathaway’s work-life imbalance was pretty much on point.
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Tara Keeney
Tara Keeney@tarakeeney·
@TheVCFactory Literally my favourite but I wouldn’t call it entrepreneurship movie
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Tara Keeney
Tara Keeney@tarakeeney·
There needs to be more positive entrepreneurship movies
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
Golden.
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Peter H. Diamandis, MD
Peter H. Diamandis, MD@PeterDiamandis·
The only career you can rely on is entrepreneurship. But 80% of people aren't cut out for it.
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Aram Attar retweeté
Samuel Spitz
Samuel Spitz@samuel_spitz·
Me as a founder talking to VCs: “These idiots are price sensitive and want to see revenue? I’m literally building the future.” Me as an investor: “These idiots think their idea is worth $30M with no revenue?“
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@nbaschez Try this. You’ll thank me later. (Even better than the movie, and that’s saying something)
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andrew chen
andrew chen@andrewchen·
AI isn’t about replacing people. It’s about replacing the parts of people that can be replaced, so that we can focus all our time on doing new stuff
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@pitdesi YouTube comments on Chuck Norris videos are one of the best things the internet has brought us.
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Sheel Mohnot
Sheel Mohnot@pitdesi·
A lot of young people are about to discover Chuck Norris jokes for the first time Chuck Norris doesn’t rest in peace. Peace rests in Chuck Norris.
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James Lucas
James Lucas@JamesLucasIT·
In 1984 a German reporter in Paris explains how to cross Place de la Concorde: "Walk steadily across and never look at the drivers. If you do, they'll think you've seen them and won't stop."
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Aram Attar
Aram Attar@TheVCFactory·
@micahjay1 Age. The teenager next to me last night watched movies/shows on his phone for 8 hours straight. (Powered by Starlink).
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Micah Rosenbloom
Micah Rosenbloom@micahjay1·
why didn’t use your own device on airplanes never take off - people much preferred the seat back display despite we all have multiple screens - form factor issue, psychology or something else?
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