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Testovsky 🍪
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Testovsky 🍪
@testovsky_eth
quality officer at @cookie3 and @cookiedotfun 🍪
Inscrit le Mart 2021
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Question - what do you think of $LIT at 0.96 USD here (22 Mar 2026)?
- comment below
Xtine Fang@XtineFang
Market Sentiment on @Lighter_xyz (collected by xtine) Question – what do you think of $LIT at 1.80 USD here (15 Jan 2026)? • Solo Trader (usually bear) – I don’t see any real source of new demand for LIT; the metrics keep deteriorating. Vlad is tweeting in a way that’s -ev. There’s likely to be a big overhang of breakeven sellers. For me it’s probably a no‑trade until a potential Robinhood listing, then maybe a short into that. I already covered everything at 2 USD. • Solo Trader (usually bull) – Right now we’re basically just betting on a Robinhood listing. It’s been underperforming badly and the revenue numbers don’t look great. From what I recall, maybe ~75% of the airdrop sellers are already out. That said, they still have dry powder to push the token if they want. I’m on the sidelines for LIT; sold most around 2.7–3.0 usd and have been trading XMR and BCH instead. Ref: qwantify.io/app/lighter/ai… • Liquid Fund Analyst (usually bull) – I don’t like that LIT got dumped even when there was a bunch of good news. I think the real bottom will be when it starts getting dumped on bad news, and that’s when I’d be interested in buying. • Liquid Fund Analyst (usually bull) – As a long‑term bet I’d rather own HYPE, to be honest; I prefer backing founders who actually pay for their pros. Short term you can maybe play it for a bounce toward ~2.50, but it’s hard to see this doing a clean 2–3x from here. • Liquid Fund PM (neutral) - Overall, I don’t really want to own it: valuation is at best fair and arguably expensive, the community isn’t as strong as HL so they’ve been selling aggressively, there’s meaningful VC overhang, and the revenue‑share terms still haven’t been disclosed. Feedback from Lighter affiliate: • Lighter Farmer – I received a decent‑sized airdrop, but it’s down six figures over the past three days and I regret not selling. Most of the Lighter whale community is v disappointed – they were expecting a HYPE 2.0‑style chart, so most ppl didnt sell.
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why Extended won’t cut deals
every week I get proposals for “special arrangements”.
extra points pools, special trading budgets, requests to be placed in the highest league without trading. sometimes the numbers are big enough that saying no in the moment feels painful, especially when you’re responsible for growth and naturally think about how much faster things could move if you just agreed.
but over time I've only become more convinced that saying no is the only correct decision.
the first problem with deals like this is ethical. if a project publicly claims fairness while quietly making exceptions behind the scenes, it will eventually come out. it always does. when that happens, the reputational damage is much larger than whatever benefit the deal produced.
the second problem is economic. most deals look attractive in isolation but stop making sense once you consider the system as a whole.
take special points allocations. if you give someone an additional points pool, they are probably not the only one receiving it. a few more people get similar arrangements and suddenly no one is actually privileged - everyone just dilutes the overall distribution without even realizing it.
or traders asking for budgets. when someone says: “give me $100k to trade or I won’t trade on your exchange.” my answer is usually simple: thank you for your time. a few days later I will probably see them trading on a competitor. that doesn’t make me sad that we lost them - it makes me sad that another exchange accepted the deal. traders who only show up because they are being paid to do so don’t care about your product, your token, or the long-term success of what you’re building. once the incentives disappear, they disappear too.
another common request is to change the rules of the system. for example, people asking to be placed in the highest league to earn the extra APR without actually trading. besides being unfair, it breaks the economics. league rewards exist because active traders generate fees on the platform. if the people receiving that yield are not trading, there is no source of yield in the first place.
the main cost of refusing deals is slower growth. it would definitely be easier to inflate metrics in the short term by making exceptions and distributing budgets. but if the goal is to build something that lasts, the rules have to be the same for everyone.
Extended is not trying to grow as fast as possible. we are trying to build an exchange that traders continue using once incentives disappear, and that only happens if the system is fair and the economics actually make sense.
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Real-time prediction market intelligence. AI analysis, quantitative models, whale tracking, order books, sector barometers, and AI trading agents. All built on live Polymarket data together with Elon's dedicated dashboard for tracking Musk's X posting activity vs Polymarket tweet-count brackets. Heatmaps, projections, bracket markets, AI analysis, Monte Carlo sims.
If you want access coment below. Im looking for credible feedback and savvy beta testers.
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@infinitybanyan 5 seconds of research would save you from writing this embarrassing tweet, but it looks like cheap clickbait is still in the game
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he may be down 8 figures from trading on a platform with thin books but at least he saved $200 in trading fees
kirbycrypto@kirbyongeo
gLighter
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@2lambro Wondering if it is one of those that can make it all back with one god-tier trades
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I wish I have the mental strength of machi for realz
Lookonchain@lookonchain
The market just crashed, and Machi(@machibigbrother) was partly liquidated again. But he keeps adding to his $ETH long position. He now holds 1,700 $ETH($3.21M), with a liquidation price of $1,818.74. His total loss has passed $28.8M. app.hyperliquid.xyz/tradeHistory/0…
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or maybe it will happen lower lol
Testovsky 🍪@testovsky_eth
Shortly 1 $SOL = 1 $HYPE should be around $55-60
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@degenrave @Foomclub_ szkoda, że nie posłuchałem z full depo, a wszedłem małą pozycją dokładnie na x2 lol
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Znacie zespół Kryzys? To jeden z pierwszych polskich punkowych wkurwionych zespołów. Z okazji spadków na ETH odświeżyłem ich energię.
Dla wszystkich którzy mają dość.
Rozum mówi odpuść, serce mówi BUY FULL DEPO 2x dźwignia.
Kryzys & Degen Rave - mam dość
more soon @Foomclub_
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As we roll out new features for Lighter, a quick metrics update: today we had the highest revenue day since TGE, processed (and generated ZK proofs of) over 500M orders, no downtime, latency down to 200ms.
Best of luck to all our traders navigating this rough volatility period!
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@zachxbt @jerallaire always wondering if they are so "dumb" or it is done with purpose
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