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glassnode
glassnode@glassnode·
Aggregated realized loss spiked to $1.3B/day as price contracted back to $62k. Long-term holders accounted for $770M of that, roughly 59% of total losses realized. The cycle-top buyers who held through the drawdown are now exiting at a loss. 📉 glassno.de/btc-realized-l…
glassnode tweet media
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Ducartis: Furyan Chronicles
Ducartis: Furyan Chronicles@CryptoFuryan·
@glassnode @CryptoVizArt $1.3B in realized loss is forced supply hitting thin bid depth. LTH capitulation this late usually marks transfer from weak collateral to stronger hands, not clean trend continuation.
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Ashish
Ashish@a_gangrade·
@glassnode @CryptoVizArt Long term holders selling will contribute to a continued sell pressure on Bitcoin. Which is why I believe we haven't seen the bottom yet x.com/a_gangrade/sta…
Ashish@a_gangrade

🚨 Bitcoin: $128K → $62K . More downside likely Block height is Bitcoin's internal clock. Historically, the journey from one ATH to the next bottom has taken 54K-55K blocks (or 363 to 377 days) Cycle 4 ATH was in October 2025. Projecting forward, the bottom will arrive by October 2026 The price drop across cycles: 75% to 85% Even at 65% price drop this time (lower than prior cycles, given ETF and institutional support), that implies Bitcoin will drop to the mid $40Ks The cycle doesn't care about sentiment. It follows the blocks

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Shykeys | CEX • Markets • DeFi
Shykeys | CEX • Markets • DeFi@Shykeys101·
The signal that matters is whether that underwater supply actually moves to exchanges. From the deposit side those LTH coins are sitting still, not flowing to order books, so the loss is on paper not on the tape. Capitulation prints as exchange inflows first, and that wave hasn't hit
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Whale Monitor
Whale Monitor@WhalemonitorPro·
@glassnode @CryptoVizArt $1.3B realized losses per day. Long-term holders account for 59% of that. The people who held through the entire drawdown are now giving up at the bottom. That's historically when wallets on the other side start accumulating. Watch who's buying what retail is selling
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CoinRichter
CoinRichter@CoinRichter·
Long-term holder capitulation at that scale is worth watching in context. When LTH loss realization spikes mid-cycle, it has historically either marked a local bottom or preceded a second leg down — the difference tends to show up in active address behavior within 7 to 10 days. We track SOPR alongside address divergence for exactly that reason. Too early to call which way this resolves.
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David Arnal
David Arnal@davidarngar·
@glassnode @CryptoVizArt The cleaner frame: realized losses measure who capitulated, not who remains. A $1.3B loss spike means supply changed hands; whether it’s bearish depends on who absorbed it and how quickly new demand replaced that supply.
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Genesis Arbitrage
Genesis Arbitrage@genesis_scanner·
@glassnode @CryptoVizArt $1.3B/day realized loss — scale it. LTH unrealized loss ~$200B+. At this pace, 150+ days to clear. Distribution, not panic. Capitulation needs velocity: realized loss doubling in 24h. We're seeing slow cycle-top exit, not a flush. The signal is the rate of change, not the level.
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Vic, tá?
Vic, tá?@oxi_vic·
@glassnode @CryptoVizArt Are we watching the necessary supply rotation that sets up the actual long-term floor for this range? Reminds me of @x87_HL’s clean breakdown on holder capitulation.
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