Partisan Brain Rot

This chart would change very rapidly in the early days of the war. There's absolutely nothing to indicate that the Chinese could do any more to prevent US air superiority than the Iranians. While the US failed to achieve its (ridiculous) political objectives, it's military dominance in Iran was overwhelming.

The ONLY way that the United States could defeat China if it secures such a stunning victory on the opening battle, effectively knocked out of the war. Why? Because if it fails to do that, the war becomes a battle of endurance which China is as better equipped than the US to fight as the US was to fight happen in 1941. The fact the US could not achieve a quick knockout blow against Iran should show that it has exactly zero chance of it against China. Think about the strategic implications of this for a moment.

You're right, it's not a great situation, but the difference in quality of immigrants to the US vs. Europe is night and day. I'm not worried about convincing you- get on board with your only hope of continue to stick your head in the sand and cede you millennia of culture and history to retards who actively despise all of it.

@PartisanRot @akarlin America is >50% third world if you stop classifying Persians and Latinos as white. What you're saying makes no sense. Take Rubio and Vance's family as an example. They won't be saving Europe.

Iran War Winners/Losers Tier List As noted, I don't think the ceasefire lasts, but for the purposes of this exercise, assume it does. S China - exempted from Hormuz toll; Iran reconstruction contracts; gathered data on US military; renewed impulse to accelerate decarbonization benefits it as leading battery and EV producer. W on W! A Iran - regime-legitimizing victory; big new source of foreign currency funds via Hormuz tolls ($7B a year); but has incurred a lot of damage. SEA countries - some get a Hormuz exemption; stand to benefit bigly from Gulf states' immolation. B Russia - big (but temporary) boost to oil revenue; ample new rhetorical opportunities for whataboutism (for what they're worth) to legitimize Ukraine War. Ukraine - strong new relationships with the Gulf states, might result in investments. India - underlines and validates its policy of strategic autonomy C USA - somewhat humiliated but MENA isn't a core US interest; Euro relationship further weakened (but US no longer cares so that's a wash); net petroleum exporter, Hormuz tolls are quite irrelevant to it. D EU countries - as usual have to stew in their own impotence; damaged more than the US who started it, also have to pay more to clean it up, get labeled as anti-Western traitors by the US anyway. E Israel - failed to secure core strategic objectives; Iranian nuclear program remains broadly intact; decline in US popular support for Israel now likely to accelerate. F Gulf states - the Hormuz toll effectively raises their oil production costs by $2 so they will effectively be paying Iran reparations for a war the Americans and Israelis started (LOL); loss of their safe haven status - only true regime change in Iran can reverse that, otherwise, many will now consider SEA; restive Shia minority in Bahrain emboldened; will now have to spend more money both on repairing oil and gas facilities, and on expanding pipelines that avoid Hormuz. They're the war's bagholders. Obviously, this rating applies to the states and regimes in question, not necessarily their denizens.

EU as we understand it has no "long term." EU has no way to change track. Will be increasingly irrelevant and will be overrun by illiterate third worlders by 2060. Embracing their right wing and deepening ties with American cons is the only way to stem that tide, and this is a Big L for that hope.

@akarlin Agreed for the most part. I think EU can be bumped up one spot as rift with the USA is a big long term win.

Horrendous conclusion for multiple reasons. (1) There is a huge difference in the eyes of the American public between defending an ally and an unnecessary war of choice where we are the clear aggressor. (2) Despite failure to achieve broad (and stupid) strategic objectives, this conflict was one of the most one-sided in the history of warfare from a military perspective. US military dominance is unquestionable. "China is a different beast"- that's what people were saying about Iran right up to 2 months ago.

@akarlin This totally collapses us deterrence against china Clearly shows we won’t fight over Taiwan for more than a month if it imposes economic costs, also would have orders of magnitude more casualties and military damage, we surrendered despite having fewer than 20 dead

Both sides are taking maximalist positions to begin a negotiation. This is textbook Trump and an adversary a actually playing his game back at him. Which idk why Iran would trust US/Israel after the way they opened the war (when Iran was offering far better concessions than they are now), but that's obviously what's happening atm.

@TheSalonDon It’s too early to say what shall happen.. yes, there is plenty of Taco Bell .. but can America and Iran truely accept the terms and conditions (10 pt plan) in full?! It smells like a momentary pause for more brinkmanship.

I was wrong Lost money and credibility And I’m very sorry for all of my followers that trusted me I’ll never understand how Trump agreed to the $2m toll, removing sanctions, and enriching uranium My whole bet was that he would never agree to that But that doesn’t matter What matters is things can happen that don’t make sense Never bet more than you can afford to lose PS. I still think the strait stays closed and I’m right but at this point I can no longer trust my own thoughts on this subject

@circlecrules @AustinJustice He was Mayor of SF from 2004-2011 lol, all the bad stuff from 2012 to 2022 were the follow on effects of his policies. What a stupid thing to say.

@AustinJustice Its a shame people dont realize how much better SF really has become under Newsom as mayor and governor now. It is worth understanding bc not sure Newsom is REALLY all that or if it would transfer as well to ATX. But worth understanding- just how bad SF was 2012 - 2022ish

San Francisco is now a model for how to fight crime. A few years ago it averaged 86 car break-ins per day. Today: 15. SF did two things: 1. Got a DA that prosecutes criminals: Following the successful recall of Chesa Boudin, DA Brooke Jenkins started prosecuting prolific offenders and said so loudly. Crime dropped every year since she took office. 2. Put tech to use: In 2024, SF activated 400 license plate readers and deployed 80 drones citywide. This tech feeds officers live intelligence on suspects in motion. Drones alone have assisted in 1,000+ arrests since then. The technology lets authorities solve crimes as they happen rather than depend on much more intensive, legally perilous post hoc investigations (which ironically are often more intrusive than using tech). The results: - Car break-ins down 85% - Robbery down 30% - Burglary down 33%. - Homicides hit their lowest level since 1954. Plate readers, drones, a prosecutor who prosecutes. That's the whole formula! Austin has the opposite approach. License plate cameras are effectively banned. Jail bookings are down despite repeat offenders victimizing innocent people regularly. Bond violations went from 37 in 2020 to 250 last year. SF proved crime is a choice. Austin, so far, keeps making a different one.

@avidseries The people dragging down the IQ score for 2 are also the most violent people in the country. I've got 2 winning in a landslide if we're just taking everyone as they are and not organizing them into batallions or something.

Assuming it was purely a civilian conflict without any US military involvement, 3 would win. It has more economic and financial power, and a smarter population (its mean IQ is somewhere between 5 to 10 IQ points higher than that of 2).

@blu_eyecinema @SaP011 Courts in Europe don't offer a path to justice.

@SaP011 If true, this is horrific on every level but posts like this often lack full context or verification. Serious crimes deserve facts, not emotionally charged storytelling. Justice should come through the courts, not narratives designed to inflame people.

Sweden 🇸🇪: Eritrean immigrant taxi driver rapes a 15-year-old girl. Her boyfriend organizes with his 3 older brothers, they trick the foreigner into a nature reserve with the promise of sexual favors, overpower him, strangle him and hang his body from a tree in the forest (trying to stage it as suicide). Arrested. The oldest of the 4 brothers (18 at the time) gets life sentence. The other three brothers and the girl herself get between 3 and 4 years in closed youth detention (the girl and her 15-year-old boyfriend got 3.5 years each for aiding and abetting, as they weren’t at the scene). In appeal, three brothers acquitted of murder, the oldest one gets 7 years instead of life, the others get closed youth care.

@cryptopunk7213 Because they know it's going to put them out of a job and they have no skills. So for now it's a way for people to virtue signal on social media. It won't matter to the average consumer, if a game is good and it's made with AI support, people will still play it en masse.

genuine question: why are the arts and gaming communities so fucking touchy about ai? i get that 99% of examples are slop but we’re reaching a point where ai-generated media is indistinguishable for 90% of the world that shouldn’t go un-acknowledged just because you want to hide behind a professional identity ai isn’t going away, it’s getting (a lot) better, so why not try and figure out how to work with it to your advantage? isn’t that what a bunch of hollywood is realising now? doomer: “NO THIS IS NOWHERE CLOSE TO PIXAR GRADE” 8 year old (target audience): “haha that’s awesome” what am i missing?

Anti American historical revisionism with zero basis in fact. There's not a credible historian anywhere that genuinely believes the "Soviet invasion" lie. I won't waste my time casting pearls before swine but urge you to do even a modicum of legitimate study before posting this tripe.

Japanese surrender to the Allies 6 days after the US dropped Fat Man on Nagasaki has enshrined nuclear weapons as a panacea in the minds of Western warpigs for the last 81 years. They gleefully pat themselves on the back for their “gracious restraint” while forever reminding the enemy that they “could end this war today if they really wanted to.” In reality, Japan had suffered over 2.1 military deaths between 1937-1945. Faced with certain defeat upon the Soviets declaring war against them on August 9, 1945, (just hours before the Americans dropped its second nuke on civilians) Japan convened its security council and made the decision to surrender. They had *literally* been at war for 8 full years at that point. Nuclear weapons didn’t break them- almost a decade of war did. You cannot bomb your way to victory. That’s not how war works. You would think after 2.5 years of bombing Gaza nonstop to no avail these fools would understand that by now.

@BITC_minimalist @StealthQE4 Trump 2 has been the complete opposite of Trump 1. Only hand-wringing morons with no actual understanding of politics say shit like this.

@StealthQE4 Morally we have reelected Trump after having seen him in the first term. We said that the end justifies the means. Not much moral ground left.

Morally I have a severe problem with this. I don’t think we are the “good guys” anymore. We’ve gone full rogue. The events I’m watching are things that I never thought I’d see us ever do to anyone. It’s really disturbing

Lmao yeah buddy I'm sure they'll get it fixed any day now, just need another few hundred billion and they'll definitely fix it this time! It's just another Dem scam exactly like HSR and the idiots just eat it up. You're just voting to set other people's money on fire for NOTHING and refusing to see why everyone hates you for it.

@PartisanRot @4MissedFTs @JeffreyLuscombe They are working on it, and its liberals doing it. They will start with housing as that's the immediate need.

Why do Conservatives hate this so much? Anyone?

I will once all those things you listed are fixed. There's no possibility of having any nice things without doing that first and supporting those initiatives is doing literally nothing except enabling Democrats to steal another **$100 billion** of taxpayer funds for their friends and bureaucrat allies.

@PartisanRot @4MissedFTs @JeffreyLuscombe That's a laws and labor problem though, which can be fixed and improved. So why not have a position where you supported high speed rail where useful if we could more efficiently build it? Why assume rot is eternal? Why has a deep nihilism etched itself into your very soul?

I live in Tokyo. I ride the train every day and am happy for my tax dollars to fund it. I would vehemently oppose the same initiatives in the US because American leftists are the most incompetent force in the history of western civilization when it comes to actually building anything. Look at the HSR in California. PATHETIC.

@JeffreyLuscombe Because they’re all incredibly selfish and don’t want their tax dollars going to anything other than stuff that they might not use, but will benefit society as a whole

@ItIsHoeMath Remember when they sent a jewish guy onto his show to tell him, right there on the air, that they had his bank info.

Lol, Iraq missile launches are down 95% since the start of the war. Both sides are heavily engaging in propaganda at the moment. US isnt achieving it's strategic objectives (bc Trump is an idiot and they never should have gone in) but the actual military conflict is one of the most lopsided conflicts in the history of warfare.

@PartisanRot @Harrisbro777 The US moved it's ships out of missile range for a reason.

@Ohdannyboyd @Harrisbro777 You're out of your mind. Closing the strait is much easier than opening it. Even crippled, depleted Iran can do it through great effort. The US could do it with a tweet.

@PartisanRot @Harrisbro777 The US couldnt close its own fucking eyes

@Ostrov_A Today is the anniversary of the day your people crucified Christ. No surprise that Synagogue of _____ considers it a high holiday.

🚨 It’s 03AM in Israel, during Passover - one of the most holy periods of the Jewish year - and Iran is raining missiles down on Tel Aviv. World outrage? Nope. Just DEAFENING SILENCE!

@JoeySalads @Alex_Oloyede2 The US is far better at this, both in terms of numbers and in terms of the quality of the migrants. When Europe is 40% minorities in a few decades it will be a literal wasteland.

@Alex_Oloyede2 The EU is better at importing 3rd world migrants. Perhaps the best in all of human history

Mention one thing the EU is better at than the US and China.