comfy
6.5K posts


Nice move down towards area of interest before FOMC. Decent demand in the books rn as well from current prices down towards 71k's. Looks really cooked if PA sustains below 70k after FOMC. Don't really care about the PA before it, tbh, or wicks after, even if it's a double header today (PPI + FOMC). Would expect a bunch of nonsense PA as we also have the war/oil fears at the same time. Definitely not the environment to form bias/conviction switch based on wicks. Same thing can be applied on up-moves as well. Don't get baited.

@crediblecrypto This is a great example of the phenomenon I talk about in this post. First sentence sets an example of being a bad trader. If you can’t imagine both sides find a new hobby/job. Second sentence pushes the reader to *trade against his own instincts* (BAD idea). You want your gut to work for you not against you.

total solidarity w that girl. i’ve also met men who are really sexually into me despite noticeably harbouring a belief that i am a symptom of America’s decline

Equities shorters watching the admin hide jobs reports and fabricate inflation data











$NVDA Smart— gotta take the headline vol when you get it. Started to rebuild, still thinking it likely drifts into original entry into GTC. Just too much nothing ever happens on my TL not to start.


MW is short $SOFI. We believe SOFI is a financial engineering treadmill—not a healthy origination business. GE Capital-style marks, Enron-esque off-balance-sheet structures, and relentless dilution. muddywatersresearch.com/research/2026/…


MW is short $SOFI. We believe SOFI is a financial engineering treadmill—not a healthy origination business. GE Capital-style marks, Enron-esque off-balance-sheet structures, and relentless dilution. muddywatersresearch.com/research/2026/…

Asia is the most exposed region to a shortage of LNG: ~85% of LNG transiting the Strait of Hormuz is destined for Asia, with limited rerouting options. Korea, Thailand, and Taiwan are running LNG trade deficits of -1.5% of GDP, meaning they are the most vulnerable to shortages. Japan, the world's 2nd-largest LNG importer, is also deeply exposed at -1.0% of GDP. China is the biggest importer in volume terms, but its deficit as a % of GDP is almost flat due to the size of its economy. The LNG shortage is a major energy risk for Asian economies.










