misaligned vol

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misaligned vol

misaligned vol

@AForkInLife

the risk they didn’t model. saying what I couldn’t with a badge on. trades vol. builds things. breaks patterns. probably not financial advice.

Washington, USA Bergabung Kasım 2016
302 Mengikuti1.2K Pengikut
Yuchen Jin
Yuchen Jin@Yuchenj_UW·
The wild thing about the Bay Area right now: Every Chinese restaurant I go to, the next table is debating: > “Claude Code vs. Codex” > “OpenAI vs Anthropic vs Google vs xAI, who will win” > “Is OpenClaw hype or real?” I just want to enjoy my meal… but I really couldn’t.
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misaligned vol
misaligned vol@AForkInLife·
@TechLayoffLover AI generated slop L4 gets fired without all this trouble to compare with AI agents lol
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Tech Layoff Tracker
Tech Layoff Tracker@TechLayoffLover·
L4 engineer with 6 years experience gets a calendar invite this morning: "Role Evolution Discussion" Manager pulls up a split-screen dashboard showing 90 days of output metrics Left side: his commits, PRs, story points, code review turnaround. 47 commits average per week, 2.3 day review cycle, 89 story points completed Right side: internal AI agent's performance on identical tickets from the backlog. 312 commits per week, 0.2 day cycle, 267 story points completed The agent costs $847 per month in compute. His fully loaded cost is $18,300 monthly Manager clicks through 12 specific examples where the agent's code quality scored higher on their automated metrics Shows him the A/B test results from last quarter: 3 engineers plus agents delivered 340% more features than the 8-person team they replaced "We're not eliminating your role," manager says, "we're evolving it to AI partnership specialist" Translation: 30 days to transition his entire workload to the agents, document every decision tree, record his debugging process Then he gets moved to a "high-impact AI enablement role" - aka managing the prompts that replaced him $127k salary dropping to $89k. New title: Senior AI Workflow Coordinator The agent that beat him is already being tested against L5s and L6s His Slack shows 847 engineers company-wide got the same meeting invite today
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self.dll
self.dll@seelffff·
my 16 year old brother read this article on a tuesday night wednesday morning he opened weather.gov checked the NOAA forecast for NYC: 43 degrees checked polymarket: "40-45 range" priced at $0.15 NOAA accuracy: 93%. market says 15%. somebody is very wrong he bought 200 shares at $0.15 next day temperature: 43 degrees shares resolved at $1.00 $0.15 to $1.00. 567% return. one trade. one weather forecast he didn't stop day 1: NYC weather. $170 profit day 3: London temperature. $94 day 5: Chicago high. $210 day 8: Seoul forecast. $147 day 12: back to NYC. $320 he built a routine: 7:00 AM check NOAA 7:02 AM compare with polymarket 7:03 AM buy if divergence > 30% go to school by week 6: starting capital: $400 - birthday money balance: $8,740 trades: 312 win rate: 87.4% avg profit per trade: $26.70 time per day: 3 minutes before school NOAA updates forecasts 9-15 minutes before polymarket adjusts $6 billion government supercomputer vs teenagers checking weather between tiktoks he has made more in 6 weeks than his teacher makes in 2 months the data is free. NOAA is a government website. public. updated hourly the formula is 5th grade math: EV = (0.93 x $1.00) - $0.15 = $0.78 78 cents per share on the best setups my brother doesn't know what LMSR is doesn't know what softmax is doesn't know what a neural network is he knows one thing: NOAA is right 93% of the time and polymarket hasn't figured that out yet i spent 3 months writing 4,000 lines of Rust he checks weather.gov for 3 minutes and goes to school 16 years old. $8,740. 3 minutes a day. one government website what free public data source are you not checking?
bl888m@bl888m

x.com/i/article/2033…

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Thariq
Thariq@trq212·
We just released Claude Code channels, which allows you to control your Claude Code session through select MCPs, starting with Telegram and Discord. Use this to message Claude Code directly from your phone.
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EliteOptionsTrader
EliteOptionsTrader@EliteOptions2·
7 reasons I only trade 3-5 tickers: You learn how each one moves. $SPX isn't $META. $META isn't $MU. Every ticker has a personality. Fewer options means fewer excuses to overtrade. Your focus goes deeper instead of wider. You stop spreading risk across things you don't fully understand. One great trade beats 10 mediocre ones every time. Mastery comes from repetition. You can't repeat what you keep changing. Discipline gets easier when the decision is already made. Pick your tickers. Learn them. Stick to them.
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misaligned vol
misaligned vol@AForkInLife·
@chamath All replies to the quoted post came from guys who vibe with coding side projects and claim they can be 10x. Enterprise software is completely different, and there’s no dispute that nobody is seeing 10x product delivery, not even 2x.
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Massimo
Massimo@Rainmaker1973·
Afghans preserve grapes by sealing them in mud containers for months. When opened, the grapes remain fresh, sweet, and full of flavor.
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Nate Esparza
Nate Esparza@Nate_Esparza·
if you can reply to this you might have gotten paid for posting on X Congrats 🎊
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Disclose.tv
Disclose.tv@disclosetv·
NEW - NYC's first LGBTQIA+ Affairs Commissioner speaks for the first time: "This is not a culture war. We are not the enemy. We are your neighbors."
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misaligned vol
misaligned vol@AForkInLife·
Imagine aping 50M on your cellphone and not even understanding the slippage risks. Mfs actually clicked proceed on the warning alert. 50M turns into 35k, but hey, at least he’s getting the 600k transaction fee back.
Stani.eth@StaniKulechov

Earlier today, a user attempted to buy AAVE using $50M USDT through the Aave interface. Given the unusually large size of the single order, the Aave interface, like most trading interfaces, warned the user about extraordinary slippage and required confirmation via a checkbox. The user confirmed the warning on their mobile device and proceeded with the swap, accepting the high slippage, which ultimately resulted in receiving only 324 AAVE in return. The transaction could not be moved forward without the user explicitly accepting the risk through the confirmation checkbox. The CoW Swap routers functioned as intended, and the integration followed standard industry practices. However, while the user was able to proceed with the swap, the final outcome was clearly far from optimal. Events like this do occur in DeFi, but the scale of this transaction was significantly larger than what is typically seen in the space. We sympathize with the user and will try to make a contact with the user and we will return $600K in fees collected from the transaction. The key takeaway is that while DeFi should remain open and permissionless, allowing users to perform transactions freely, there are additional guardrails the industry can build to better protect users. Our team will be investigating ways to improve these safeguards going forward.

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misaligned vol
misaligned vol@AForkInLife·
@chamath Prioritization systems are also super important. How do you differentiate your premium users’ mission critical inference requests from one off free users’ troll queries and build your serving layer with preemptive QoS, especially when GPUs are limited and load is high?
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Chamath Palihapitiya
Chamath Palihapitiya@chamath·
The next phase of AI silicon is all about cheap, abundant decode. Groq was just the appetizer…This paper is a very good guide.
Chris Laub@ChrisLaubAI

🚨 BREAKING: A Google researcher and a Turing Award winner just published a paper that exposes the real crisis in AI. It's not training. It's inference. And the hardware we're using was never designed for it. The paper is by Xiaoyu Ma and David Patterson. Accepted by IEEE Computer, 2026. No hype. No product launch. Just a cold breakdown of why serving LLMs is fundamentally broken at the hardware level. The core argument is brutal: → GPU FLOPS grew 80X from 2012 to 2022 → Memory bandwidth grew only 17X in that same period → HBM costs per GB are going UP, not down → The Decode phase is memory-bound, not compute-bound → We're building inference on chips designed for training Here's the wildest part: OpenAI lost roughly $5B on $3.7B in revenue. The bottleneck isn't model quality. It's the cost of serving every single token to every single user. Inference is bleeding these companies dry. And five trends are making it worse simultaneously: → MoE models like DeepSeek-V3 with 256 experts exploding memory → Reasoning models generating massive thought chains before answering → Multimodal inputs (image, audio, video) dwarfing text → Long-context windows straining KV caches → RAG pipelines injecting more context per request Their four proposed hardware shifts: → High Bandwidth Flash: 512GB stacks at HBM-level bandwidth, 10X more memory per node → Processing-Near-Memory: logic dies placed next to memory, not on the same chip → 3D Memory-Logic Stacking: vertical connections delivering 2-3X lower power than HBM → Low-Latency Interconnect: fewer hops, in-network compute, SRAM packet buffers Companies that tried SRAM-only chips like Cerebras and Groq already failed and had to add DRAM back. This paper doesn't sell a product. It maps the entire hardware bottleneck and says: the industry is solving the wrong problem. Paper dropped January 2026. Link in the first comment 👇

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misaligned vol
misaligned vol@AForkInLife·
@MarketingMax The only missing part is: “comment MARKETING I’ll DM the guide, must follow to message” Then you’ll get followers too, not just engagement
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MarketingMax.com
MarketingMax.com@MarketingMax·
My friend vibe coded an app. Took 2 hours. Then he had his ClawBot do all the marketing. Hit $300k MRR in just a few weeks! Without any real work on his end. 95% profit margins. Rolling in cash. The entire business is automated. He can do this a few more times and get insanely rich. The best part? This guy doesn’t exist, and I just made all of this up for engagement bait because everyone else is making up stories like these. Why shouldn't I?
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Bindu Reddy
Bindu Reddy@bindureddy·
PREDICTION - Amazon will ban all Gen-AI assisted code changes in the coming weeks! More companies will follow..... Be warned - your legacy code base, tech debt and bugs will sky-rocket if you continue to BLINDLY embrace AI
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misaligned vol
misaligned vol@AForkInLife·
@Steve8708 it definitely learnt how a senior SDE comments on the CR
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Steve (Builder.io)
Steve (Builder.io)@Steve8708·
anthropic literally charged us $25 for this
Steve (Builder.io) tweet media
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