One Observator

@policytensor @jabol240 @pati_marins64 you're assuming that they are following game theory also Israel being wiped out is NOT game over for the jews so your entire premise of them being terrified of that possibility is invalidated However a nuclear holocaust for Iran would be almost existential

How can they be certain? Will Bibi risk the very existence of Israel on even a high confidence Mossad assumption. In game theory, there is a notion of ‘trembling hand perfect equilibrium’. Any attack on a nuclear armed state’s arsenal premised on the assumption of complete knowledge of the whereabouts of the enemy’s arsenal is not trembling hand perfect. If you miss even one, you lose Tel Aviv.

Two corrections and a counter, @pati_marins64. First, the Saudis do not have the skills and knowhow to proliferate. They have an arrangement with the Pakistanis that, in the event of Iranian breakout, the latter would send in a nuclear fire brigade for deployment in KSA. That plan will be immediately activated if it becomes known that Iran has the bomb. Second, the South Africans conducted a joint test with the Israelis in the southern Indian ocean in 1979, near Prince Edward Island. The signature double flash was picked up by the US Vela satellite (and no doubt Soviet satellites as well). This was reported by Sy Hersh in Samson Option. CBS News also reported on the test in Feb 1980. Since then the episode has been memory-holed, a familiar Western media practice. One reason you should reconsider your scenario is that Iran has a perfectly plausible option here if they indeed have achieved breakout. All they need to do is carry out a test. They don’t even need to declare that they have the bomb. The Israelis understand very well that any nuclear attack on Iran then would invite a retaliatory strike that will wipe Israel off the map for all practical purposes. In fact, a test would almost certainly bring the war to a close overnight. The entire war is premised on the assumption that Iran does not have the bomb. If it does, there is really nothing that the US and Israel can do about it, and there is no point in prosecuting this war any more.

@DareDeviltheCat @JuanGutiCA714 @LegendaryEnergy I mean he's wrong about Epstein only having sex with 14-17y olds but if indeed that were the case then are you saying that being attracted to 14-17y olds is pedo?

@JuanGutiCA714 @LegendaryEnergy I thought he was one of the better ones. it really is all of them. damn.

Do you plan on running to Israel anytime soon? Just curious. Since you see it as your ethnic homeland & safety spot. And do you think deep down your loyalty is to America or your homeland?

@PrepperCanadian they're a shithole country unprecendented brain drain anything that's still working is relics from the stolen soviet past

The level of attrition imposed on Russia’s oil and gas sector over the past two weeks is truly unprecedented. Moscow cannot absorb this pace of strategic damage for much longer without escalating in an attempt to reestablish deterrence.

@LucinehK_ he wasn't: "before Abraham was I AM" Jesus sound like he was before Abraham (who was Armenian by the way)

On the other hand, he was Jewish; sent to restore the house of Israel. So it’s also probable that he would side with Israel.

@LucinehK_ lol he created both Iran and Israel

Jesus was a rebel, he would probably challenge the imperial authority and side with Iran.

@LucinehK_ lol, it's not even regional — it's a shithole

Russia is nothing but a larping superpower.

@D27357 @pati_marins64 yeah, I think they are playing smart — the likelihood of Israel nuking them is non 0 especially when they're losing both militarily and in terms of public opinion and have literally nothing much to lose right now

@pati_marins64 What's the point of owning nukes though if you don't use them for deterrence? Or is the idea that they don't yet own enough, so could trigger preemptive strikes while having insufficient capacity to respond?

The possible nuclear dimension of the war cannot be overlooked And if Iran had not yet produced a weapon by February, after that it would have every reason to do so, and with the technology it possesses and North Korean assistance, it would be a relatively quick. I recently wrote about the possibility of Iran already possessing a nuclear weapon and the risks that this could lead to various outcomes. One of them: ‘That would completely upend the Middle East board, starting with Saudi launching its own program, as it has repeatedly said it would do if Iran ever developed a nuclear weapon.’ But if Iran already has a nuclear weapon, why hasn’t it revealed it? The answer might lie in the fact that they are uncertain about the reactions from Israel and the U.S., who could claim the necessity of a preemptive nuclear strike. Based on various lines of evidence, I have a strong intuition that Iran already possesses this weapon. Furthermore, the intensity of U.S. and Israeli operations, marked by nearly 900 strikes on the Natanz and Fordow complexes, suggests a deliberate attempt to trigger a nuclear disaster. This is further evidenced by four hits on the Bushehr nuclear power plant, as well as attacks on a heavy water reactor associated with plutonium production and a uranium facility in Yazd. Iran knows it occupies a privileged strategic position, and bombs will not reverse this situation. The U.S. and Israel have few options left on this board, while political and economic pressure increases daily. This lack of alternatives may be creating a scenario where it is becoming increasingly likely that a nuclear disaster will occur. IF that happens, Iran will likely respond by attacking the Dimona reactor in Israel, which will trigger a nuclear war, with Israel fulfilling its ‘dream’ of nuking Iran. The outcome is that this could trigger the same response from Iran, and I will explain how this would occur. Iran’s nuclear program began in the 1950s but took on a military dimension in the 1980s-2000s through the AMAD project. U.S. intelligence assessed a formal suspension in 2003, yet in the two decades since, Iran has had more than enough time to make steady investments, longer than it took Pakistan (10-15 years). After the U.S. withdrawal from the JCPOA in 2018, Iran sharply accelerated its efforts, and by 2025 it had the capability to produce a weapon in days or weeks. Read the full article: open.substack.com/pub/global21/p…

@mr_nothing_pm @pati_marins64 imagine thinking that the country with an averge iq among the top 5 globally would be in short supply of nuclear scientists

@pati_marins64 Do you think with Israeli assasinations of scientists and key personnel they still possess such a capability? Seems extremely unlikely.

@10Kidus I see you're fluent in Koine greek as well? yes, I apologize, you ARE superior I will submit mysef to your superior and exclusive knowledge of Koine greek bc I cannot othewise interpret my translated plebs Bible version without your superior Koine input

@OneObservator Do you feel dumb hearing basic Greek theological terms? And then is that my fault that you feel that way? And is it also my fault that you’re ignorant and that it gives you an inferiority complex?

Currently, the Armenian Apostolic Church (which is not Orthodox, as they refuse to recognize Christ as a man, but as God in human form, just like the Syriacs) enjoys greater freedom in Iran than in Armenia herself. For centuries, Iran has been a refuge for all true Christians

@Arcadian1770 you can call me that — but I don't identify as one — most protestants today are even more gay and jewish than the catholic/orthodox/apostolic bunch at least a few of them believe in John 3:16

@OneObservator You sound spiritually protestant

@Orthodoxe @Arcadian1770 there is only ONE holy father fuck your other holy fathers

@Arcadian1770 @OneObservator I think nowadays the pre-Chalcedonians, especially the Kopts, are dogmatically in agreement with Orthodox, even if not yet formally declared. But unfortunately, Armenian Church continues to be strongly opposed to the definition given by the Holy Fathers

@lightoftruth25 @Orthodoxe sure yeah—I'm a bot. Why would any human use "gondonneri havaqacu" to refer to cock sucking pedos?

@OneObservator @Orthodoxe You’re a bot. Dumb bot opinions don’t matter.

@Arcadian1770 @Orthodoxe ok my bad, but you should know that people usually use that expression to deny the dual nature and the trinity.

@OneObservator @Orthodoxe You’re the one who had a problem with the term “human form” when it’s literally in the Bible not me 🤣

@Arcadian1770 @Orthodoxe so then why are you calling me a "dunce" if you also believe in the dual nature of Christ as in both fully God and fully Human?

@OneObservator @Orthodoxe Wut. God in human form means that the Word literally became human

@Arcadian1770 @Orthodoxe so you're interpreting that passage to say that Jesus was not human but only "in likeness"?

@OneObservator @Orthodoxe The Bible literally says he is God in human form you dunce

@10Kidus @Orthodoxe lol the "chutspah" of using words like Homousios and calling others arrogant and I only use the word chutspah given that you're probably both circumcised

@Orthodoxe @OneObservator Interesting you say that as your initial tweet was rude and arrogant.

@Arcadian1770 @Orthodoxe he's not god in human form lol he's god plain an simple he's also man as in he was literally born of Mary who's a human being and referred to himself as "son of man"

@Orthodoxe We also believe he is God in human form…

@lightoftruth25 @Orthodoxe older but just as corrupt if not more gondonneri havaqacu

@Orthodoxe Why would you disparage the Armenian Apostolic faith in such a backhanded way? You don’t just condemn the treasonous regime in charge of Armenia, but cunningly disparage the faith. The Armenian church is only several centuries older than Russian Orthodoxy

@Orthodoxe @10Kidus you both have no idea how stupid you sound to any normal human being homo... stfu, just use normal words everyone understands

@10Kidus @OneObservator Chalcedon focused on the two natures in Christ

@cirnosad why would you censor the word fuck? God uses stronger words than fuck in the Bible cesnorship is part of the pussification I'm sure you oppose

US president Trump to Iran: "Open the F**kin' Strait, you crazy bastards" This is a verbatim quote for the history books. This is the end of the United States. Yes, he literally dropped the F bomb and I'm censoring it, he didn't.