
Lee "Scratch" Peri-Peri
996 posts

Lee "Scratch" Peri-Peri
@Plugspark
Music, media, politics, food, poker, gym, biking, the Buffalo Bills. Broadcast/IT engineer
DC Bergabung Haziran 2009
1.6K Mengikuti98 Pengikut

@Shadzey1 Do you understand what a software engineer does? What are you implying here? That he hacked into a computer to make the company he works for expand in a place it already does business during a new Mideast war that seems to have no chance of ending soon
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@GrayBrendle @NelwynToes @kyledcheney That's like, your opinion, man. It's not a violation of free speech or free expression. He can go out right now anywhere he wants and speak about it. Just not as a lawyer in the voluntary, non-public guild that he accepted the rules of by joining.
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@GrayBrendle @NelwynToes @kyledcheney And he still has the freedom to speak on this. Just no longer has the *privilege* to engage in the legal profession, a decision made through an orderly and thorough process set by that profession
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@Daniel_Rank67 @ajlamesa We should never accept unconstitutional orders. That just erodes our social contract even further, makes our government *less* functional and, in this case, wastes half a billion dollars a year when we could just fund MPD and DC city services and work collaboratively to do that
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@Plugspark @ajlamesa Like I said. Federal/State/City collaboration is best for sure. Hopefully more is done by all citizens/businesses and gov officials at all levels to improve things. Maybe not an emergency but there is always room to improve and we should never accept just ‘ok’
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It's a shame that people are attacking Randy Clarke over this post. Donald Trump deployed the National Guard to DC and they're not going away -- Clarke has to make the best of the situation. And, obviously, having them in metro stations is a deterrent to both crime and terrorism.
Randy Clarke@wmataGM
Late night check in & appreciate how our @wmata team & @DCGuard1802 have built a positive relationship during their shifts. Our station manager was so happy to get a challenge coin from General Blanchard who was out personally checking in on his team. People supporting people.
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@Daniel_Rank67 @ajlamesa The fact that you or anyone else treat this as a non-political or in any way good faith effort by the president and GOP is a massive problem in our society and a huge reason that nothing is functional.
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@Daniel_Rank67 @ajlamesa I think this should be an act of Congress and that the president is abusing the "emergency" part. There was no emergency here in DC. Constitutionality shouldn't be political, and this was done by force rather than collaboration.
If DJT wanted to collaborate, GOP could fund MPD.
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@Daniel_Rank67 @ajlamesa Ok, but that's not a national police force and not what Nat'l Guard trains for or is made for. If you're saying EU countries with nat'l police have better stats, we should start with their policies on crime and social matters in general first as those will have much more impact
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@Plugspark @ajlamesa Sorta true, we have had federal agencies assist local law enforcement since our founding. And other countries, especially in Europe, certainly have better crime stats in their major cities.
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@Daniel_Rank67 @ajlamesa We don't have a national police force in the United States, by design.
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@Rafa_Mangual @ajlamesa Thanks I'll review those. But if the number of police is correlated to crime in a statistically significant way, why do we see a very significant drop in crime rate in DC over the last 3 years (-20%+ YoY) while MPD officer numbers dropped by over 10% during the same period?

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You mean the trove of natural experiments, RCTs, and other econometric analyses consistently finding that more policing reduces crime? This is literally one of the single most consistent and robust findings in the criminological literature.
Here’s a (very) small sampling for you:
law.upenn.edu/live/files/894…
journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/42…
eml.berkeley.edu/~jmccrary/chal…
nber.org/system/files/w…
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10…
ungated.research.bowdoin.edu/article/4561
pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC49…
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…
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@LesterJMilton @ajlamesa If I missed the Swift component of the flogging from a short article of his and that he wasn't NYPD (despite writing a book lauding them for the reduction in crime rate in the 90s) I'll, uh, cop to that
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@Plugspark @ajlamesa To be fair, he's a former Baltimore officer and his short book used flogging as a comparison to illustrate how terrible prison is and the need to reform it.
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@Plugspark @ajlamesa lol Who told you that? And how many bridges did they manage to sell you?
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@noisycontrarian @digging4fire @ajlamesa My point was that the preponderance of evidence shows that a change in the number of police active in a community doesn't equate to a statistically significant change in crime rate. Sorry if I missed the word "change" in there to make that clear that I didn't mean zero literally
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@digging4fire @Plugspark @ajlamesa Well if you do not think police officers deter crime, let's abolish the police. Of course, you might already think that in which case I am debating with a moron.
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@LesterJMilton @ajlamesa Not a fan of that former NYPD officer - he believes in flogging instead of prison(!). I simply think the state shouldn't engage in unconstitutional physical violence against its subjects, and that his "best study" as proof of number of police impacting crime significantly is poor
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@Plugspark @ajlamesa I appreciate the reasonable response and the links. The data, it seems, is somewhat mixed, though less so in DC? I go back-and-forth depending on what I read, so I should probably try to resist the impulse to have a very strong opinion on it!
petermoskos.com/police-researc…
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@PeterMoskos If the number of police is correlated to crime in a statistically significant way, why do we see a very significant drop in crime rate in DC over the last 3 years (-20%+ YoY) while MPD officer numbers dropped by over 10% during the same period?

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I always feel I'm being gaslit when people tell me "Nobody believes police don't affect crime. You're attacking a strawman. Why are you [meaning: "me"] so hung up on that?"
It's like a whole friggin' subfield of criminology! And these people simply do not stop.

Lee "Scratch" Peri-Peri@Plugspark
@ajlamesa it's a shame that people excuse the normalization of this and don't know a single thing about the crime rate in DC and how the number of police or national guard has no actual affect on the crime rate
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@PeterMoskos I don't have access to this paper but I would posit that this study is not likely a "best study" of # of police vs. crime rate as post 9/11 terror warnings likely reduced the number of people going out and therefore the crime rate would reduce. Did they control for this?
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There is some irony is that one of the best studies of even simple police presence deterring crime is from... DC. petermoskos.com/police-researc…

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@PeterMoskos I simply disagree with the position that the specific number of police is statistically significantly linked to the crime rate, based on evidence: scholarworks.alaska.edu/bitstream/hand…
link.springer.com/article/10.100…
cjcj.org/reports-public…
stripes.com/theaters/us/20…
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@LesterJMilton @ajlamesa I simply disagree, based on evidence: scholarworks.alaska.edu/bitstream/hand…
link.springer.com/article/10.100…
cjcj.org/reports-public…
stripes.com/theaters/us/20…
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@Plugspark @ajlamesa Just as one doesn't need to absolve pharmaceutical companies of their avarice to accept that vaccines are safe & effective, one doesn't have to have a Thin Blue Line flag hanging on their porch to accept that the data is pretty clear on the effects of more police on crime.
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@DisposablEnsign I've been around a long time, I have never before seen someone drink water like this. Considering he showed up boozie at the HOC with bags of McD burgers after a fundraiser, it's not a far stretch to be suspicious.
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@TLogic13 @MrB1080 @PenguinSix False. Adult crimes are majority. Schwalb was sworn in in 2023 had 73%, 72%, and 84% prosecution rates.
On bail, evidence shows that bail reform has very little impact on crime. DC residents don't want/have room for a Rikers, and can't fund it, either. brennancenter.org/our-work/resea…

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@Plugspark @MrB1080 @PenguinSix Her powers are limited. You are right about the adult crimes, but they are almost nonexistent in D.C. now. The crimes we see now mostly involve juveniles. Shapiro can't do anything about juveniles.
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@TLogic13 @MrB1080 @PenguinSix Trump/fed. appointee Jeanine Pirro is the US attorney AND local DC DA for all serious crimes in DC, not the council.
The locally-elected AG office (Brian Schwalb) doesn’t handle serious crimes and prosecutes 93% of cases his office gets that aren’t traffic or civil litigation.

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@MrB1080 @PenguinSix I don't know how Trump could have fixed the no-bail policies and the liberal D.C. Council that releases every violent criminal in DC.
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