Priced Uncertainty

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Priced Uncertainty

Priced Uncertainty

@PricedUncertain

Prediction markets accelerationist. Macro pro. “Text is the artifact. Choice is the source.”

United States Bergabung Haziran 2026
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
Weekly Resolved — Week of June 8 🟢 iOS 27 YES — 67¢ WWDC exists to announce iOS. Should be 95%+. Structurally mispriced. 🟡 Anthropic / Claude YES — 17¢ Claude is already in Xcode 26. Market hasn’t read the release notes. 🟡 Who are you with YES — TBD Monday Confirmed Doral presser. Either phrase hits the contract. 🔴 Uranium — CLOSED +7x Come back Friday to see how we did.
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Nicholas Decker
Nicholas Decker@captgouda24·
Right-wing twitter losing their mind about the LA mayoral election and claiming it’s all faked is just so incredibly bad for democracy. Not a fan.
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Leading Report
Leading Report@LeadingReport·
Kamala Harris is now favored to become the Democratic Party’s 2028 presidential nominee, overtaking Gavin Newsom, according to the Financial Times.
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Crepe Supreme
Crepe Supreme@crepesupreme·
@TheStalwart Samsung and SK Hynix leading is the tell. SK Hynix supplies most of the HBM going into Nvidia's H-series GPUs. Circuit breaker with those names down 10%+ means the market has an opinion on where AI hardware demand goes from here.
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Joe Weisenthal
Joe Weisenthal@TheStalwart·
*KOREA'S KOSPI TUMBLES 8.8% AS SAMSUNG, SK HYNIX LEAD LOSSES *S.KOREA KOSPI PLUNGE TRIGGERS CIRCUIT BREAKER; TRADING HALTED
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
Every mini-cycle within the AI cycle has basically gone like this: AI makes some advancement but needs more of x input to scale more efficiently, so that input gets bid up and eventually becomes a commodity. GPUs, power, memory etc. Actual decisional data is probably the next one.
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
The Boomer Democrat is unbelievably cooked
Priced Uncertainty tweet media
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
X, what song are you listening to right now?
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
@pmarca The “founders” who just grab their ankles and bite their shirts the second they get in front of some capital were never going to make it anyways.
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Curiosity
Curiosity@CuriosityonX·
First city ever built on mars. You get to name it. What's it gonna be?
Curiosity tweet media
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
@Polymarket It’s all kicking off. Check my page for my best prediction market picks this week.
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Louis Roberts
Louis Roberts@Buddyloveless·
I was in this world briefly. 3/4 months. I’m not talking barstool/mcafee stuff, this was a different level of money. If you have been to Anjuna the day after F1 Monaco, or Annabelle’s you know. I didn’t belong one bit. I felt like I was seeing a James Bond movie in real life. Cool to see but I was just not made for it. I went for a run one day with someone’s wife staying at the house I was at and I made a joke that I’m still going to be in shape like Tom Brady at 40+ bc I stretch everyday and her exact quote was “I don’t know who that is, I spend most of my time painting” I got lost in Monaco with a girl and couldn’t get a cab back to cap ferret and had to pay 20k for one night at a hotel and they had a bubble bath ready before I even got into the room. There really is a different level of the world where you fully would never ever fit in.
John LeFevre@JohnLeFevre

These people don't appear on any published rich list. The shadows and gutters of global finance are filled with anonymous billionaires, heirs, and villains. And we don't have a clue.

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