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YOLFT

@YolftPI

Predicting Future events using AI & Math. Utility token is coming in May 26. Follow us.

Bergabung Mart 2025
99 Mengikuti171 Pengikut
YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@altryne @dwarkesh_sp Pods are so PR driven. A slightest inconvenient moment to the guests becomes a headline
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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@Andr3jH Indian origin guy fighting with Taiwanese origin founder over currently MAGA America's AI future
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ᐱ ᑎ ᑐ ᒋ ᕮ ᒍ@Andr3jH·
Dwarkesh will be stuffed into a black van in the mission district and wake up in Beijing to this view
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Leading Report
Leading Report@LeadingReport·
President Trump says Iran has agreed not to have a nuke.
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kober
kober@kober1337·
The Microstructure of Wealth Transfer in Prediction Markets Market makers don't predict the future. They just stand on the other side of your optimism and collect. I found the data to prove it: > YES contracts underperform NO contracts by up to 64 percentage points at the same price. > People love buying cheap YES contracts. Makers just take the other side and profit. > Makers earn +1.12% per trade. Takers lose -1.12%. > Finance markets are almost fair. Sports and Entertainment? Takers get destroyed. > Before 2024 regular users were actually winning. Then professionals arrived and flipped everything.
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kober@kober1337

Who Wins and Who Loses In Prediction Markets? I read a research article about who actually makes money on Polymarket. Dataset: 1.4M users, 70M trades, $20B volume. Here are the main points: > Top 1% of users capture 84% of all gains > 70.8% of users lose money > Market makers beat takers at 80 out of 99 price levels > Buying contracts below 10¢ is the #1 way to lose money (they are systematically overpriced) > Overtrading makes losses even worse

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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@mdudas what is the asset & income bifurcation between all these categories?
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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@MorePerfectUS founders of both the platforms won't lose. that is for sure
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More Perfect Union
More Perfect Union@MorePerfectUS·
NEW: Prediction markets are scamming the working class. Polymarket and Kalshi claim they are "democratizing finance," but their business model enables a handful of elites to fleece their customers. On Polymarket just 0.04% of traders capture 70% of the profits.
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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@trylimitless he will be transported to mars by his not fanbase
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Limitless
Limitless@trylimitless·
Tom Lee just predicted that Ethereum will hit $60,000 this year. "I'm moving to North Korea if I'm wrong"
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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@cthrin No wonder warren buffet made money with no trading
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Min Choi
Min Choi@minchoi·
Anthropic is turning down VC offers at an $800B valuation. Their revenue hit $30B by end of March. Up from $9B at end of 2025. 3x in one quarter. 🤯
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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
Prediction markets have low volume, wash volume problem. Their predictions are not accurate until they actually happen. $SPY $BTC #Sports
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Captain Jack Andrews
Captain Jack Andrews@capjack2000·
Let me summarize this for you: 21 minutes on how PM's are fleecing Americans, while never even touching on the markets which represent 90% of the volume. Just the esoteric mention crap. @MorePerfectUS stock plummeting among people who half a brain. Keep shoveling your slop MPU.
More Perfect Union@MorePerfectUS

NEW: Prediction markets are scamming the working class. Polymarket and Kalshi claim they are "democratizing finance," but their business model enables a handful of elites to fleece their customers. On Polymarket just 0.04% of traders capture 70% of the profits.

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PredictionMarketTrader
PredictionMarketTrader@PredMTrader·
Absolutely disgusting and borderline defamatory that they would show such an outdated profit figure Next time please reach out for updated P/L
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More Perfect Union@MorePerfectUS

NEW: Prediction markets are scamming the working class. Polymarket and Kalshi claim they are "democratizing finance," but their business model enables a handful of elites to fleece their customers. On Polymarket just 0.04% of traders capture 70% of the profits.

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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@KobeissiLetter Fact is chip giants have nothing to show for in use cases with the investment they are making
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The Kobeissi Letter
The Kobeissi Letter@KobeissiLetter·
AI agents are exploding in popularity. As the AI Revolution advances, we are seeing massive growth in Agentic AI. Between 2025 and 2030, revenue in this market is set to grow at a CAGR of 43.3%, rising to ~$48.3 billion per year. As a result, Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang has described current market conditions as the "inflation point" in AI. Today, HockeyStack has announced a $50M capital raise for AI Agents that effectively run businesses as investor capital increasingly rotates into the space. Autonomy is the future of AI.
The Kobeissi Letter tweet media
Emir Atli@emiratli_

We raised $50M to build the First AI Revenue Agent. It runs New Business, Expansion, and Prospecting to close you more business while you sleep.

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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@edels0n we highlighted this, problem is billions in marketing
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Ed Elson
Ed Elson@edels0n·
Only 0.04% of Polymarket traders captured 70% of a total $3.7B in profits, while 70% of users lost money (per DeFi Oasis)
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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
@CNBC Saw that coming
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YOLFT
YOLFT@YolftPI·
Ultimately, everyone has to suffer from the high $oil prices and common taxpayer will have to foot the bill through inflation. $SPY
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Jelajahi

@altryne @dwarkesh_sp @Andr3jH @LeadingReport @kober1337 @mdudas @MorePerfectUS @trylimitless