
As we approach the June quarterly OPEX, the options positioning landscape is setting up for a potentially significant volatility event.
Charm exposure continues to build aggressively beneath the surface. As time decay accelerates into expiration, dealer hedging flows are becoming increasingly supportive of upside continuation. Those large out-of-the-money SPX put positions that once carried meaningful hedge pressure are rapidly bleeding delta toward zero, reducing downside dealer demand and removing a major source of market drag.
This is the type of environment where markets can transition from “grind higher” to momentum expansion very quickly.
Into quarterly OPEX:
Put deltas are collapsing
Dealer short-gamma pressure is easing
Charm flows are turning increasingly supportive
Systematic hedging demand is fading
Liquidity pockets above spot are opening
The result? A market that still appears under-positioned for how far this rally can extend.
June OPEX could become less about downside protection and more about forced upside chase as positioning resets into expiration.
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