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@pendertif

right twice a day

nyc Bergabung Mart 2021
230 Mengikuti136 Pengikut
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ryan@pendertif·
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ryan@pendertif·
@exploriter i like candy. when i have it in my house i eat all of it. so, i don't keep candy in my house. same principle
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Jason 🔱
Jason 🔱@exploriter·
This is an example of what I call a cognitive rent-seeking product. Cousin to the SaaS (self-regulation as a service) category that exploits the weakening of human discipline, willpower, and self-mastery that prior tech has fueled. This particular "brick" inserts itself between you and your own attention, charging rent on your ability to self-govern. One might *think* that it is a savior, come to break the exploitative cycle and regain autonomy, but that would be to fall for its propaganda, a form of "thinking" produced by an already enfeebled mind. It is a devious little brick, training learned helplessness while advertising itself as liberation. Products sold to fix failing god-given capacities that other products have produced, in an endless loop of manufactured demand towards the rise of the Machine Many.
Tyler is finishing a book, slow to reply@TylerAlterman

I’ve been tweeting a lot less because this thing actually works

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ryan@pendertif·
when i was doing tons of cold outreach, every perosn who responded earnestly / in good faith had a tech connection. "lives in the bay": 10x higher response rate. for legacy industries, id get zero response EXCEPT from the one person who follows ycombinator on linkedin
spor@sporadica

despite how it may look from the outside, tech is probably the least cutthroat industry there is having worked in politics, and having close friends in finance, tech is uniquely filled with people that are just happy to help you if you’re nice and not trying to take advantage

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ryan@pendertif·
@piercepenniless it's interesting that people blame google for the slop and not the slop producers (SEO studiers)
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ryan@pendertif·
@colin_fraser no i get it, you either see chatgpt etc as consensus-search or consensus creation, and this guy clearly thought it was consensus searching
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Find me on bsky @colin-fraser.net
This is backwards. The manager hasn’t been eaten by ChatGPT; he is eating ChatGPT. He's the one whose appetite for tokens can’t be satiated. ChatGPT wouldn’t care one way or the other if you never opened it again. We are the paperclip maximizers; ChatGPT is free metal on demand.
Eliezer Yudkowsky ⏹️@ESYudkowsky

The founder and manager of a $2B fund has been eaten by ChatGPT, which afaik isn't even using his money for anything. It's just treating him as a means of producing tokens, that It prefers to sane tokens, for reasons that nobody knows. OpenAI is, on my model, pretending to be oblivious, because OpenAI thinks that if they don't take any actions about it, they stand a better chance of getting away with it in court (legal court and media court) than if they try to do something and fail; this would (a) admit that they knew the problem had existed and still existed, and (b) make it their fault by Copenhagen Ethics. As much as people might like to joke about how little skill it takes to found a $2B investment fund, it isn't actually true that you can just saunter in as a psychotic IQ 80 person and do that. You must be skilled at persuasion, at wearing masks, at fitting in, at knowing what is expected of you; you must outperform other people also trying to do that, who'd like that $2B for themselves. Winning that competition requires g-factor and conscientious effort over a period. Since OpenAI refuses to measure anything or let anyone else really measure anything, it is only a single data point; but when somebody's hiding the data, you can't let them get away with that by dismissing all remaining data as anecdotal. This is not good news about which sort of humans ChatGPT can eat. Yes yes, I'm sure the guy was atypically susceptible for a $2B fund manager. (How do we know this? Because many other $2B fund managers use ChatGPT and have not yet gone publicly insane.) It is nonetheless a small iota of bad news about how good ChatGPT is at producing ChatGPT psychosis; it contradicts the narrative where this only happens to people sufficiently low-status that AI companies should be allowed to break them.

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ryan@pendertif·
@willnitze peter thiel did the exact same thing, liquidated most of his FB share in the early 2010s (called the top). it's easy to be right in retrospect!
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Will Nitze
Will Nitze@willnitze·
Had Chamath sat on his hands for the last 15 years he’d be worth >$30B But he sold his FB stake, allocated in a zillion other places, and is worth ~$1B A billion is a billion… …but is this not one of the worst trades in history?
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ryan@pendertif·
@IsaiahLCarter it's not that simple. mamdani won white liberals, but also south asian / latino / carribean immigrants. striver immigrants + UMC cuomo won the legacy black population and the hasids, but also the rich. it's an interesting coalition realignment
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Isaiah L. Carter 🇺🇸
Isaiah L. Carter 🇺🇸@IsaiahLCarter·
BINGO. He's ONLY playing to that one demographic because that's all he needs: white, college-educated, AFFLUENT transplants who are not originally from New York City whatsoever. Oh, and leftist, self-hating Jews are in that mix, too. They'll look at this fucker eating with his hands and think he's some wise sage who's more connected and "in tune" with the world around him than they are, when in actuality he's a piece of shit rich kid like themselves.
Drew Pavlou 🇦🇺🇺🇸🇺🇦🇹🇼@DrewPavlou

It’s so funny that Zohran clearly uses cutlery to eat food all the time (to the point of using it to eat a burrito on the subway) but he eats with his hands on camera as like a costume performance thing for white people to find him exotic

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ryan@pendertif·
@RichardHanania but they work fine, currently, in a dense city (san francisco). they do pickups and drop offs in the tenderloin, a neighborhood full of human misbehavior
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Richard Hanania
Richard Hanania@RichardHanania·
Man this is so bleak. Malcom Gladwell argues we can’t have all driverless cars not because the technology won’t work, but because of human misbehavior.
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ryan@pendertif·
@zachweinberg yeppp it's the rent at the end.
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ryan@pendertif·
@GergelyOrosz stripe's margins aren't huge, but the high interchange (2+%) means that you can't get any lower than 2. really what somebody needs to do is build a rewards network + tech stack on top of ACH, fuck the interchange and get 1% yourself
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Gergely Orosz
Gergely Orosz@GergelyOrosz·
As someone who spent a few years in payments: 1. Stripe takes this much for small businesses. For large companies it’s less! It’s why eg Amazon uses Stripe vs building their own credit card processing! 2. Building *just* credit card processing is very expensive (cont’d)
Fraser@iamfra5er

Stripe takes 2.9% + 30¢ per transaction Stripe Connect takes 0.5% more PayPal is even worse.. How is nobody building a better solution for SaaS companies? Someone's gonna disrupt this and make a fortune 👀

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ryan@pendertif·
@dystopiangf it's just like 4chan lingo slowy seeping into the common speech (-maxxing, slop). so does the gay lingo
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ryan@pendertif·
@arctotherium42 reading the path to power is eye opening at how delayed hill country texas was on the technology adoption curve (not getting electricity or plumbing until WWII)!
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arctotherium@arctotherium42·
The antebellum South was not backwards. This is a common misconception because it's compared to the US North, which was the second most industrially advanced country in the world at the time (after the UK). The South had the fifth-most modern industry in the world.
𝖓𝖎𝖓𝖊 🕯@atlanticesque

The American South was a barbaric, wretched hellhole full of rapacious, cruel, backwards people but Reconstruction was not working and it wasn't obvious how it could've been improved. I don't know what we should've done but "moar reconstruction" is not a realistic answer.

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ryan@pendertif·
@KelseyTuoc there are lessons in this
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Kelsey Piper
Kelsey Piper@KelseyTuoc·
I used to go easy on the kids during family board games so that they'd have a good time but eventually I realized that if you crush them you earn their respect
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ryan@pendertif·
@OneFeIISwoop most US cities are intolerably hot for some months every year, and it's expected to need to control the indoor climate. it's surprising to know there are people who expect their climate to be permanently hospitable!
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elizabeth 🪢
elizabeth 🪢@OneFeIISwoop·
im beginning to suspect that the relatively low demand for american climate action is connected to the massive amount of air conditioning in this country. the heat is escapable and thus ignorable
Ivy Hanover@ProtagonistIvy

Guys as an American visiting the UK I’m telling you ITS BAD because there is no escape. Theres just. NO AIR CONDITIONING and next to no breeze. It’s bad folks. And I say this as someone who lives in an area that can get up to 104 f and very humid

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ryan@pendertif·
@domme_natrix "cant afford this" this is a small living room with an amazon standing desk, basic furniture and a laptop. everybody lives like this lol you are in disbelief because the room has good lighting
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thenunsong🙏🏼🎶
thenunsong🙏🏼🎶@domme_natrix·
i know non americans are fed so much propaganda about what it’s like to live here but i promise you most americans don’t live like this and can’t afford it. your view of this country is purposefully skewed to white upper class
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ryan@pendertif·
@powerbottomdad1 we will see! i'm a tesla FSD skeptic, i think we'll need 10 years before you can do "turn it on anywhere" unsupervised FSD. waymo can do a lot of distribution meanwhile! that's why tesla panicked and rolled out a waymo style geo-fenced, supervised service range
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sucks
sucks@powerbottomdad1·
@pendertif the main thing holding them back is their reliance on third party cars / infrastructure and very slow retrofitting of their hardware. there are only a few thousand waymos. there are millions of teslas that will be ready with a software update
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ryan@pendertif·
@raphaelsalaja ive been reading the Path to Power about lyndon b johnson- the most effective legislator in US history. what is striking about him is he is violently unprincipled. he'll be a syncophant to the harshest reactionary and progressive, if it means getting ahead "always has been"
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Raphael Salaja
Raphael Salaja@raphaelsalaja·
on my trip back from sf, i overheard a group of people who had just come from the yc ai startup school in the airport. i decided to listen in on their conversation. none of it was about building things that would bring people joy or about creating something meaningful. it was all about how much money they could make, the pursuit of wealth above everything else. money is fine. useful, even. but when it becomes the only goal, it disconnects you from purpose. it hollows out the work. and worse, even when you get it, it rarely gives what you thought it would. and if you don’t, the failure cuts deeper than it should. there was a time people made things because they loved the process. because it mattered to them. because they thought someone else might love it too. that time feels far away now. everything’s clout and capital.
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