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I’m long $NOK
$NOK not being up at least 30% on this news just lets me know most people are missing the turnaround story, the geopolitical angle and the bet on America.
Nokia is 10x-ing photonic chip packaging capacity at its Allentown, Pennsylvania facility. Commercially available by end of Q3.
The numbers confirmed from the June 16 release:
-- ~$30M Nokia capex, plus ~$4M Pennsylvania state aid and ~$10M federal CHIPS investment tax credit
-- 500+ new jobs, nearly doubling the PA workforce
-- $500M+ projected economic impact over 5 years
-- Part of Nokia's broader $4B US R&D and manufacturing commitment
Less than 2% of global semiconductor advanced test and packaging happens in the US. Nokia's Allentown plant is one of the only domestic sites packaging photonic chips into optical modules for AI data centers. Their optical tech can cut energy usage by as much as 75%.
This facility came from Infinera. Nokia acquired Infinera in February 2025.
Allentown traces directly back to Infinera's decades of work in photonic integrated circuits, coherent optical technology, and domestic optical manufacturing.
When people look at $NOK and see a sleepy European telecom equipment maker, they are missing that Nokia absorbed one of the most important US-based photonics manufacturing assets in existence and is now scaling it 10x with government money behind it.
The market is still pricing the legacy telecom company. It is not pricing the domestic photonics infrastructure play that Nokia built through the Infinera deal.
Reshoring is its own thesis now, and it has government money and a Q3 deadline attached to it.
When less than 2% of global ATP happens domestically and Washington wants that number to climb, the few companies that already own US photonics packaging capacity become strategically valuable in a way that has nothing to do with quarterly telecom revenue.
It is a $20B+ telecom giant and the Allentown expansion is a small piece of the total business.
For a name the market still prices as legacy telecom, getting a domestic photonics packaging franchise with CHIPS Act backing essentially for free inside the valuation is the kind of mispricing I like.
The market is misreading this headline. I rather trade the supply chain.
Bullish AF $NOK


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