willo2
270 posts


The Mental Gymnastics required to believe that Polymarket made the right call are ridiculous. Polymarket, fix this.

This is an open message to Polymarket, its CEO, and its institutional backers. @shayne_coplan @Polymarket @ICE_Markets @NYSE Polymarket already has enough regulatory history. Do not create another one. The CFTC previously ordered Polymarket to pay $1.4M and cease violating CFTC rules. Reuters later reported an FBI raid on Shayne Coplan’s home in connection with a DOJ investigation. Now traders are asking a simple question: where did the written rule say MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin sale had to be publicly disclosed by May 31? It did not. I bought 49,695.76 YES shares because the written rule said YES if MicroStrategy sold any Bitcoin by May 31. It did not say “publicly disclosed by May 31.” If an unwritten disclosure requirement can be added after the outcome, then no prediction market is safe. This is no longer just about one trader or one market. It is about market integrity, consumer protection, and whether institutional investors should tolerate post-outcome rule reinterpretation. I am preserving all evidence for journalists, lawyers, regulators, and affected traders. If Polymarket chooses to ignore the written rule, I am prepared to commit every resource I lawfully can to pursue this matter for as long as necessary. This will not disappear quietly. I am prepared for a long legal, regulatory, and public accountability process if that is what it takes to defend the rights of affected traders. Do the right thing. Resolve by the written rule. Rule before trade.




someone lost $527k on polymarket today trying to arb a resolved market strategy announced they sold BTC the YES market was still open at 80c looked like free money polymarket rule: bets placed after public announcement = void or loss. he didn't know. put in half a million someone else made $35k on the same market just knowing saylor never sells two trades. one market. different homework winner: @atlantislq/?r=bobaonee" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@atlantislq/?r…
loser: @willo2/?r=bobaonee" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@willo2/?r=bob…



Feed's full of people supporting Willo2?? My brother in Christ, he aped 650k shares into an uncertain market and is now blaming Polymarket for the outcome. how about checking Discord where traders were discussing precedent, or spending two minutes reading the market comments?










The key weakness: "Additional context" (no confirmation outside timeframe qualifies) was added June 1 — after the May 31 period and after heavy trading at 70-80¢ Yes. Original rules: Resolves Yes if MSTR sells any BTC by 11:59 PM ET May 31. Primary sources = MSTR info + on-chain data. Strategy's own filing (covering exactly May 26-31) states 32 BTC sold. On-chain confirms movements. The sale occurred per the company's disclosure for that window. Precedent is relevant but secondary when the explicit timing restriction wasn't in the published rules at bet time. Late addition + no pre-May 31 clarification (despite requests) created the ambiguity. Resolving strictly on confirmation timing favors one reading after the fact. Literal reading supports Yes; platform risk from unclear rules is real.


No hate to the badge people, but defending this like it was obvious from day one feels unserious Strategy sold BTC before the deadline That part is not fake, not speculation, not “greedy trader cope.” The only debate is whether Polymarket should count evidence published after the deadline Fine, that’s a valid debate But then write that clearly in the rules Don’t make traders discover the real interpretation from precedent, Discord, or UMA drama after money is already on the line Bad wording should not become trader punishment If YES loses here, the problem is not only the trader The problem is the market design @Polymarket @UMAprotocol @shayne_coplan @mustafap0ly



I was just scammed for $500K by Polymarket. I am "willo2", the top holder of YES on "MicroStrategy sells Bitcoin by May 31st". Here's what happened:














