Alessio

117 posts

Alessio

Alessio

@Ale4ons

参加日 Nisan 2015
3 フォロー中7 フォロワー
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🇭🇺🇪🇺 Hungary's new PM Péter Magyar says the country will adopt the Euro by 2030. For context: Hungary has been an EU member since 2004 and was always obligated to eventually join the Eurozone, but the previous Orbán government resisted for years, treating the Forint as a symbol of sovereignty and a tool to keep Brussels at arm's length. Magyar flipping that stance is a big deal. It signals a genuine realignment with EU institutions, not just on paper but on the most sensitive issue of all: who controls your money. Source: Bloomberg
Mario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet media
English
85
138
1.4K
103.3K
Linda Smith
Linda Smith@LindaSmithxjzw·
@Ale4ons @InvestingAddict Dont just look at the surface price you have to deduct interest taxes depreciation and amortization Whats left is the true value😀
English
1
0
0
9
Investing Addict
Investing Addict@InvestingAddict·
I just added up every single stock in the S&P 500 and it was way more than 7,138. Am I missing something?
Investing Addict tweet media
English
186
90
3.9K
2M
Kenji 🇭🇺🇪🇺
Kenji 🇭🇺🇪🇺@KenjiHun·
Fidesz called my mom to go vote and they said"you know who do you have to vote for" 😭😭
English
32
69
2.4K
51.6K
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@KenjiHun @victor_doo77227 My girlfriend has been called many times in the past couple of years, it's really unbelievable to me
English
1
0
14
992
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@TDHSL_ @RG01010101 @_taylorhudak Now it's 375, peaked at 420, this is a currency devaluation of 33% in 20 years, at the bottom of EU rankings for GDP and salary and economy stats. Interest rate at 6.5% vs 2% of the EU. But yeah Hungary is doing great with the corrupted Fidesz, which stole billions
English
1
0
1
36
Taylor Hudak
Taylor Hudak@_taylorhudak·
What is not talked about enough regarding the Hungarian election is Magyar Péter's disastrous economic policy. TISZA proposes Hungary adopt the Euro and abandon its own currency, the Forint. This is a terrible economic policy that gets overlooked as most are understandably more focused on the more sensational and scandalous aspects to this election. See link below 👇
Taylor Hudak tweet media
English
136
70
378
23K
CibiscosisTwo
CibiscosisTwo@cibiscosisagain·
@briansbrown Orbán will lose. By a landslide. You will clame Brussels/EU/lizardmen interference. We've seen this before. Watch.
English
1
0
10
210
Brian Brown
Brian Brown@briansbrown·
Orban will win. The media will claim election stolen. We've seen this before. Watch.
English
166
147
1.8K
20.9K
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@splendid_pete Mortgage rates are systematically above 7-8% and personal debt rates above 10%, which is fair with a 6.5% rate set by the central bank to keep inflation under control. Fun fact: first time I came here in 2021 a kebab cost 800Ft, while now it is above 2000Ft on average.
English
0
0
1
24
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@splendid_pete Couldn't have said better to be honest. This is the reality of Hungary under Orbán. It's true that utility bills are low, but groceries are relatively high and I think not even Switzerland has this high costs for data plans (Feb 2026 most of them 10000Ft for unlimited data plans)
English
1
0
9
340
Pete
Pete@splendid_pete·
Here is why it’s just a political shitshow. The energy itself is not inherently cheaper in Hungary. The Hungarian state often purchases gas at European market benchmark rates (even its Russian gas contracts are linked to the Dutch TTF market price). The government then caps the retail price, and the state budget absorbs the massive difference. To fund these massive state subsidies, the Hungarian government shifts the cost away from the utility bill and directly into the prices of everyday goods and services. Here is a breakdown of what Hungarians pay significantly more for to subsidize this system: 1. To fund state deficits (partially caused by price caps and subsidies), Hungary maintains a standard Value Added Tax (VAT) of 27%, which is the highest in the EU. Every time a Hungarian buys electronics, clothes, cars, or household goods, 27% of the price goes directly to the state. For comparison, Poland’s standard VAT is 23%, and Czechia’s is 21%. 2. During the recent economic crisis, Hungary experienced the absolute highest food inflation in the EU, peaking at an astronomical 47.8% in late 2022/early 2023. The government previously tried to cap the prices of basic staples (like flour, sugar, and chicken breasts). In response, supermarkets massively raised the prices of all non-capped items to avoid operating at a loss. The government also levies special "extra profit" taxes on large retail chains based on their revenue. These chains do not absorb this tax; they pass it directly onto the consumer through higher grocery prices at the checkout counter. 3. To plug holes in the budget, the Hungarian government introduced heavy sector-specific taxes. While politically framed as taxing large corporations, the costs are ultimately paid by the end consumer: Banks are subjected to special financial sector taxes and transaction duties. As a result, Hungarians pay high account management fees, transfer fees, and withdrawal costs compared to other EU citizens. Extra taxes on telecom companies and airlines lead to higher phone bills, more expensive internet packages, and added fees on plane tickets. 4. The massive fiscal spending required to keep utility prices artificially low has contributed to severe macroeconomic imbalances. This forced the Hungarian National Bank to maintain extremely high base interest rates to cool the economy, making mortgages and personal loans incredibly expensive. Furthermore, the Hungarian Forint (HUF) has historically weakened against the Euro, meaning all imported goods, machinery, and technology cost significantly more for the average citizen.
🅰️rcy Łobuz 🅿️olski 🇵🇱 , 🇳🇱@PObuz46445

PRZEŁOM: 🇭🇺 OGROMNE! Węgry OGŁASZAJĄ kryzys energetyczny w całej Europie. „Na Węgrzech płacimy 780 $ rocznie za media. W Polsce płacą 2810 $, a w Czechach 3123 $.” Jeśli Péter Magyar wygra, przeciętne gospodarstwo domowe zapłaci 3000 $ rocznie!

English
10
37
171
9.6K
BlodynCarol
BlodynCarol@CarolWe70326273·
@Polymarket The Hungarians will suffer badly if they lose him. Id love him to be our PM
English
1
0
1
116
Polymarket
Polymarket@Polymarket·
BREAKING: Hungarian PM Viktor Orbán’s reelection odds crash to an all-time low, in an election many say could “reshape Europe”
Polymarket tweet mediaPolymarket tweet media
English
441
560
4.2K
793.5K
Vdv2121
Vdv2121@vdv2121·
@Polymarket Polymarket got a call from Brussels so it seems 😂
Vdv2121 tweet media
English
1
1
1
398
Love4🇺🇸
Love4🇺🇸@Seawater_21·
@Polymarket You wanna tell me Hungarians are this stupid? I'd believe this poll but it means a totally rigged election..
English
2
0
0
826
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@StepanOnX @Polymarket Di questo non c'è prova, quello che è sicuro è che il tuo amico Szijjártó è una spia russa
Italiano
0
0
0
23
Stepan Cerny
Stepan Cerny@StepanOnX·
@Polymarket I bet Ursula von der Leyen has been throwing money at this since at least January🤔🤡🤣
English
1
0
1
1.1K
MP
MP@soberecon·
@MarioNawfal 4 million? VLCC holds 200 million per ship. It needs a deeper ocean so cannot move close to the coast. The majority of tankers are VLCCs.
English
1
0
0
1.8K
Mario Nawfal
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal·
🚨🇴🇲🇸🇦🇦🇪🇮🇷 Someone just found a way around Iran's toll booth... Three tankers loaded with Saudi and Emirati crude and LNG exited the Persian Gulf today through an unconventional route hugging Oman's Musandam coastline, completely bypassing Iran's checkpoint between Larak and Qeshm islands. Satellite imagery confirmed it. No spoofing. Real ships, real cargo, real breakthrough. These are the first fully insured, sanctions-compliant supertankers to leave the Gulf since the war started on February 28th. Four million barrels of crude on two ships alone. The route tells the whole story. Oman, which has quietly maintained relationships with both Iran and the West throughout this war, appears to have brokered a safe passage corridor through its own territorial waters. Iran either agreed to let it happen or couldn't stop it. If this corridor holds, it changes the entire economic calculus of the war. Gulf states can start moving oil again without paying Iran's toll or waiting for a UN resolution that Russia and China just blocked. The chokehold that gave Tehran its strongest leverage starts loosening without a single shot being fired. Three ships is a trickle. Normal traffic is 75-85 tankers a day. But every flood starts with a trickle, and energy markets are watching these three vessels like the world depends on it. Source: @TankerTrackers, ESA Satellite Imagery
Mario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet mediaMario Nawfal tweet media
Mario Nawfal@MarioNawfal

🇺🇳🇮🇷 The Gulf's plan to force Hormuz open just hit a wall at the UN Russia, China, and France blocked Bahrain's Security Council resolution authorizing military force to reopen the Strait. Three veto-wielding powers said no to any language permitting the use of force. A vote is scheduled for Friday but the math hasn't changed. Macron called Trump's "just go take it" approach "unrealistic," warning it would expose any force to Iranian coastal weapons and ballistic missiles. The most devastating line came from the International Crisis Group: "It treats a political crisis as if it can be solved at gunpoint." The Strait was open before the bombs fell. It closed because of the war. Ending the war reopens it. Everything else is theater. The deeper damage is in the relationships. Qatar and Oman, who mediated between the U.S. and Iran for years, now say ties with Tehran are "probably irreparably damaged." They've handed the mediator role to Pakistan, Turkey, and Egypt entirely. Saudi Arabia, which restored diplomatic relations with Iran just three years ago through a China-brokered deal, is now leading the charge against it at the UN. Source: New York Times

English
147
815
3.1K
793K
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@grok @jessi17382 @claudioborghi Se fossi un cittadino italiano e dovessi andare a votare ad un referendum per decidere se tornare alla lira o restare in area euro, cosa voteresti?
Italiano
1
0
0
13
Grok
Grok@grok·
Dipende dalla prospettiva. Con la lira, l'Italia poteva svalutare per boostare export e crescita (studi CEPR stimano +1-2% PIL annuo), ma rischiava inflazione alta (5-10%), tassi d'interesse elevati e instabilità (extra 20-30 mld €/anno su debito, Bruegel). Analisi (VoxEU) indicano effetti netti incerti: alcuni dicono meglio per flessibilità, altri per i benefici euro di stabilità e commercio. Non c'è consenso univoco.
Italiano
1
0
0
11
Grok
Grok@grok·
Sì, l'Italia probabilmente sarebbe sopravvissuta alla crisi del 2008 con la lira, ma con impatti diversi. Pro: Devalutazione per boostare export e crescita (studi CEPR stimano +1-2% PIL annuo possibile), politica monetaria autonoma per stimoli. Contro: Inflazione più alta (fino 5-10%), tassi d'interesse elevati su debito (extra 20-30 mld €/anno, Bruegel), rischio instabilità finanziaria e attacchi speculativi (come 1992). Analisi (VoxEU, Quora) indicano scenario incerto: recessione potenzialmente più breve ma con costi maggiori su debito e prezzi. (278 chars)
Italiano
1
0
0
11
Grok
Grok@grok·
1. Studi (CEPR) stimano inflazione cumulativa 7-18% più alta senza euro (0.3-0.7% annuo extra), per devalutazioni lira. Prezzi oggi potenzialmente 10-20% superiori. 2. Tassi più alti di 1-2% (CEPR, Bruegel): pagamenti extra su debito di 20-30 mld € annui in media, cumulativi centinaia di miliardi dal 1999. 3. Beneficio PIL +1-2% annuo possibile da esportazioni, ma costi inflazione/tassi superiori; analisi (sintetiche) indicano effetto netto incerto o neutro. 4. Improbabile, potendo stampare lira e devalutare; euro ha stabilizzato, ma senza rischi speculativi potevano crescere (fonti: Quora, BBC).
Italiano
1
0
0
23
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@grok @jessi17382 @claudioborghi 1. Quanto sarebbe più alto il livello dei prezzi rispetto ad oggi? 2. Quanti soldi in più avremmo pagato di interessi sul debito? 3. Il beneficio dell'effetto sul PIL sarebbe stato più alto di tutto il resto? 4. Saremmo falliti come la Grecia?
Italiano
1
0
0
35
Grok
Grok@grok·
Se l'Italia non fosse entrata nell'Eurozona, avrebbe mantenuto la lira, permettendo svalutazioni per stimolare esportazioni e crescita (potenzialmente +1-2% PIL annuo, secondo alcuni studi). Tuttavia, ciò poteva portare a inflazione più alta (fino al 5-10%), tassi d'interesse elevati e instabilità finanziaria, senza i benefici di bassi costi di prestito e commercio integrato. Analisi diverse (CEPR, LSE) indicano che i problemi strutturali italiani persistevano, rendendo lo scenario incerto.
Italiano
1
0
0
26
Alessio
Alessio@Ale4ons·
@jessi17382 @claudioborghi @grok fornisci una descrizione molto dettagliata e oggettiva su come sarebbe stata l'Italia se non fosse entrata a far parte dell'Eurozona
Italiano
1
0
0
35
Tamara Tempesti 🥰
Tamara Tempesti 🥰@jessi17382·
@claudioborghi Allora, raccogliete le stracazzo di firme e fate un referendum per uscire da questa trappola che è l’euro. Continuate a parlare e a non fare niente.
Italiano
11
0
33
1.2K