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@ChadMMD

Financial Markets and Politics.

Ireland 参加日 Ocak 2021
2.6K フォロー中411 フォロワー
Epic Maps 🗺️
Epic Maps 🗺️@theepicmap·
% of people who think their culture is superior to others : 🇬🇷 Greece — 89% 🇹🇷 Turkey — 85% 🇦🇿 Azerbaijan — 85% 🇬🇪 Georgia — 84% 🇦🇲 Armenia — 84% 🇷🇺 Russia — 69% 🇦🇱 Albania — 69% 🇭🇷 Croatia — 69% 🇷🇸 Serbia — 68% 🇲🇪 Montenegro — 68% 🇷🇴 Romania — 66% 🇨🇾 Cyprus — 66% 🇧🇦 Bosnia and Herzegovina — 65% 🇧🇬 Bulgaria — 65% 🇲🇰 North Macedonia — 65% 🇳🇴 Norway — 58% 🇵🇱 Poland — 55% 🇨🇿 Czechia — 55% 🇦🇹 Austria — 50% 🇨🇭 Switzerland — 50% 🇲🇩 Moldova — 50% 🇫🇮 Finland — 49% 🇮🇹 Italy — 47% 🇵🇹 Portugal — 47% 🇲🇹 Malta — 47% 🇬🇧 UK — 46% 🇸🇮 Slovenia — 46% 🇩🇪 Germany — 45% 🇭🇺 Hungary — 44% 🇸🇰 Slovakia — 44% 🇩🇰 Denmark — 44% 🇮🇪 Ireland — 42% 🇧🇾 Belarus — 42% 🇺🇦 Ukraine — 41% 🇫🇷 France — 36% 🇳🇱 Netherlands — 31% 🇧🇪 Belgium — 31% 🇱🇺 Luxembourg — 31% 🇱🇹 Lithuania — 37% 🇱🇻 Latvia — 28% 🇸🇪 Sweden — 26% 🇪🇪 Estonia — 23% 🇪🇸 Spain — 20% Source: Mapistics
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MMD
MMD@ChadMMD·
@ChifoiCristian where is the 2026 bitcoin and stock bear market? I think it's time for slowly start accpeting that next don't put too much emphasis on "time" in your analysis. Next is SPX 8000 by 2027.
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MMD@ChadMMD·
@ChifoiCristian Btc will not make new ath in q1 nor in q2.. q3 yes and no bear market in 2026...
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Cristian Chifoi
Cristian Chifoi@ChifoiCristian·
I see a lot of retarded discussions about the 4 year cycle If BTC does a new ATH into Q1 2026 and then rolls over to bear market lows in December 2026, is the 4y cycle still valid or nah? Vote and share⤵️
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MMD@ChadMMD·
@TradersMastery 2026 btc can be $226K Jordan?😏 makes sense to me...
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MMD@ChadMMD·
@TradersMastery A raise in December is most likely the action from BOJ. I remember you said recently that if BOJ raises, it changes the bull thesis significantly.
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
@ChadMMD I wouldn’t take the other side of that bet even if the BOJ is known for balking.
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MMD@ChadMMD·
@TradersMastery I think it was only Jordan who I know saying it can be upto 40B not just 20B. How Jordan does this? Please share the knowledge Sir!
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
My thoughts? Doesn’t matter what you call it. It’s balance sheet expansion. The new Fed cycle. $40b monthly is higher than anticipated. Risk should respond favorable as soon as liquidity stabilizes.
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
@Sonnysideup22 @AskCryptoWealth Fed expected to announce accommodations on Wednesday of $20b and as high as $45b monthly “reserve management purchases.” Last Fed cycle Powell termed it “organic balance sheet expansion.” It is accommodative and QE by another name.
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Oz
Oz@AskCryptoWealth·
We are gearing up for new ATH’s.. Change my mind..
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MMD@ChadMMD·
@TradersMastery Jordan staying one step ahead as always... question is what part of Fed cycle does btc actually break the power law to the upside
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
Power law analysts beginning to release Bitcoin is actually going to break their models to the upside as $BTC is destined to grow exponentially out of the curve.
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MMD@ChadMMD·
@TradersMastery I guess when the actual QE starts, the bear move comes. Before that in the anticipation of the QE, it's upside for risk?
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
QT officially ended yesterday, December 1. The Fed’s projected $20 billion per month in reserve-management purchases aligns closely with its actions in 2019. We’ve now entered a new phase of the Fed cycle, designed to extend the expansion for as long as possible before a return to outright QE. During this part of the cycle, risk assets tend to outperform, with leadership typically beginning in Big Tech and then moving progressively down the risk curve.
Jordan Lindsey tweet media
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RadioGenoa
RadioGenoa@RadioGenoa·
What is most dangerous threat in world?
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
They have no idea Japan just started running the printers and the rest of the world will follow.
Jordan Lindsey tweet media
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
@PepeSimonsen This was a discretionary (not system trade) triggered long at $50.2 Stop loss @ $46.2
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
IREN above $50.20 is a smash buy
Jordan Lindsey tweet media
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MMD@ChadMMD·
@OG_RogerTennis Question is how they are providing insurance cover upto 1mil? Does this also stand when the protocol gets fully hacked and can no longer function?
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0xRoger | Defi Strategist
0xRoger | Defi Strategist@OG_RogerTennis·
A brief rant on why Defi sucks! Defi's primary adaption problem has long been UI. Ironically the industry running on superior rails than tradfi can't produce a simple UI that every-day people can actually use. Defi is actually the worst user experience I have ever seen > ledgers, wallet extensions, dozens of gas tokens, bridges, chains, signing, approvals, non-stop hacks, phising, seed-phrases. And 99% of protocols don't get it as they are probably focused on extracting VC-funds asap through their zero-value governance tokens. Many times it is a get rich quick scheme for non-serious people. So we see endless iterations of hot trends (CDP, CLP, perps, prediction markets etc...) instead of actual innovation that could help onboard, you know, the 99.9% of the population that will never use a Metamask and pay gas. Aave App is the first Defi product I have ever seen that seems to actually bridge the gap. Why? - Trusted brand - No Defi-crypto mentioned - no ledgers, no signing, no gas, no swapping, no Metamask - Protection: $1mn deposit insurance - Seemless on/off ramping from your bank account It is that simple. Defi would be much more successful if protocols used blockchain as a seamless back-end, and built actual platforms that normal people can use. That is why, I think tradfi/fintech is a huge threat to OG defi protocols that want to continue to build sandcastles in their little VC-sandboxes as opposed to build consumer-friendly apps, platforms that normal people outside of the 10,000 active users (sybill, bot, capital adjusted) we have in Defi can actually use.
Aave@aave

Introducing Aave App, a smarter way to save.

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MMD@ChadMMD·
@TradersMastery Jordan you think bitcoin breaks powerlaw to the upside in the next 4-5 years?
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Jordan Lindsey
Jordan Lindsey@TradersMastery·
Someone speaking my language. This is it.
André Dragosch, PhD⚡@Andre_Dragosch

📌NOTE: #Bitcoin is a network and ultimately follows an s-curve exponential type of adoption. A power-law fit on Bitcoin’s past price implicitly assumes: •volatility drops •cycle peaks flatten •returns diminish •growth rate decreases But if a new acceleration occurs, you get: •higher-than-expected volatility •larger-than-modeled price expansion •faster network growth than historical trend •a vertical shift in the log–log regression This breaks the model in the same way that: •smartphones broke internet penetration predictions •broadband broke dial-up forecasts •mobile broke PC internet adoption curves The “outer forcing” of a new S-curve segment invalidates a single power-law fit. As @saylor used to say: „All your models will be destroyed.“

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