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Crypticpunks.algo

Crypticpunks.algo

@CrypticPunks

10k Futuristic Punks. 👽 Coded in Python. 🐍 On Algorand Since 2021. ⏳

Algoverse 参加日 Kasım 2021
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Crypticpunks.algo
Crypticpunks.algo@CrypticPunks·
Our Story - The punks time travelled and landed on the blockchain of the future, Algorand. 👽 🧵
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Crypticpunks.algo
Crypticpunks.algo@CrypticPunks·
@cypherpunktech "In September 2023, the Zcash network faced a potential 51% attack risk when a single mining pool, ViaBTC, seized control of over half of the network's hashing power." All the best 👍
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Cypherpunk ($CYPH)
Cypherpunk ($CYPH)@cypherpunk·
Cypherpunk has accumulated an additional 29,869 ZEC for $18 million at an average price of ~$603 per ZEC. As of 11/18/25, we ZODL ~1.43% of the network. Onward.
Cypherpunk ($CYPH) tweet media
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bullish
bullish@gangstakitties·
Quantum resistant vs Vibe coding victim... Who wins? $algo $ada
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Crypticpunks.algo
Crypticpunks.algo@CrypticPunks·
@ColinTCrypto @CryptoErwinNL Great I do wonder though what's your take on the macro cycle Ray dalio thinks the times are similar to 1930s Michael Burry seems to indicate something similar BTC hasn't seen a recession/depression yet, how do you think that affects us in 2026
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𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙
@CrypticPunks @CryptoErwinNL What if there was no euphora because of this: x.com/ColinTCrypto/s…
𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙@ColinTCrypto

Here's an updated BTC vs ISM (the business cycle) chart. Also shown is the "US Kansas Fed Manufacturing Index", which may be giving us a clue as to the next direction of the ISM. It seems to move a little sooner than the ISM. Bitcoin never saw true euphoria this cycle. Maybe the reason is because the Bitcoin cycle was actually following ISM the whole time, and since the ISM is currently extended, BTC is too. It would explain the lack of euphoria as the regular person doesn't have tons of excess cash as when the ISM is heading up, steeply. How this might play out: An earlier next top than usual (think: late 2026 or 2027) with actual euphoria accompanying it due to the ISM heading up steeply. Following this logic, perhaps Bitcoin's next, immediate path is a milder-than-usual bear market (50% down instead of 70%?) and then heading up to this earlier next top. Such a bear market might even be shorter in duration as well, ending mid-2026 instead of at the end of next year as would be typical (1-year-long bear markets are usually what we see). This would basically throw off everyone in crypto who relies on 4-year cycles as that timing model would effectively be broken. The ISM might effectively give us a 5+ year cycle curveball, in this scenario. This is all based on the ISM, so if the ISM truly is leading things, then it is a chart to keep an eye on. It's one possibility. Credit to @RaoulGMI and @BittelJulien for bringing this chart on my radar. They were first to spotting this correlation, as far as I'm aware.

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𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙
From the bear market bottom of ~$15.7k to $126k is an 8x. 8x aka 700% gain! That is not bad at all, really. Will we go higher? I'm not counting on it currently, as to me, enough bear market signals have triggered, but I certainly hope we make new ATHs in one last leg up. I'm positioned so that I will benefit in case I am wrong about ATHs being in, but I'm also positioned to minimize damage in case I'm right.
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Erwin
Erwin@CryptoErwinNL·
@ColinTCrypto What I find so strange is that we haven't seen any euphoria so far in this bull run. And that the herd hasn't jumped on board. Perhaps the four-year cycle has been broken and it's now following the business cycle. We'll find out soon enough.
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Adam Back
Adam Back@adam3us·
@BitPaine as long as you have the same number of btc, should be cool as a cucumber.
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Bit Paine ⚡️
Bit Paine ⚡️@BitPaine·
I love these dips. These moments of pure terror. Like jumping out of an airplane and feeling the ground fall away. 30% of your net worth gone in a week. Do I cut my losses? What if I was wrong? Doomscrolling through a feed of red charts. Listening to panicked traders call for terrifyingly low numbers. Zero, perhaps? Another mathless blowhard tells us how Saylor is about to be liquidated. This time, surely, is different - or just like all the other times? It’s in these moments, dear bitcoiner, that you earn it. That you learn to tune out the noise, and listen to your conviction. Without them, as it has for the last two years, Bitcoin feels too easy. It cant be a straight line up, or it would already be priced in. These moments are why the future belongs to you, and not to those too timid or too weak to jump onto this orange roller coaster and hold on for dear life. Because you earned it in moments like this. You held on. You bought the dip. You set the floor. Its chaotic. It’s terrifying. It’s nerve racking. This journey we’re on together. But how did you think it would feel, remaking the world?
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Crypticpunks.algo
Crypticpunks.algo@CrypticPunks·
@RaoulGMI How is macro positive when burry and Ray dalio and sounding alarm bells of 1930s all over again?
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Raoul Pal
Raoul Pal@RaoulGMI·
Utterly brutal crypto markets with relentless, rapid positions unwinding and rumours swirling after 10/10 of impaired market maker balance sheets leading to less liquidity and someone blowing up. It reminds me a lot of 2021 when in a 4 week period Bitcoin fell 56%, ETH -62% and SOL fell -68%. It then sharply reversed and exploded to new highs. That sell off was as baffling as this one. With the macro backdrop still so positive it is hard to think that we won't see something similar here (a sharp recovery) but massive downside volatility like this is not easy for anyone and not certainly something I expected to see at this stage, but it is also not out of the normal. Back in 2019 to 2020 we had a -72% sell off (in a bull market but the sell off was exacerbated by Covid). Back in 2016 to 2017 we had 7 sell offs of over 30% in BTC. Alts always do worse of those periods too (see chart) The current price action is showing no signs of letting up yet even though we are massively oversold, but having lived through huge rapid de-rsking events before in many markets, this too shall pass. My strategy is to add into these sell offs but Im ok with large swings in P&L in a long-term multi-year trend as I've explained many times, but everyone circumstances and time horizons are different. Good luck out there, its ugly and made harder by the lack of actual negative news outside of price. Try to get away from your screens if you can and get into nature to destress.
Raoul Pal tweet media
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Crypticpunks.algo
Crypticpunks.algo@CrypticPunks·
@cypherpunktech The real privacy coin which was fair is the one not listed on most of these exchanges (and hence it's prices doesn't explode that much) XMR is the real deal then.
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𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙
We have a breakdown of the megaphone pattern. Without a quick recovery in the next day or two, this suggests we’re entering a bear market/bigger corrective period. Maybe that will be a less intense bear market than in the past due to diminishing returns and diminishing losses each cycle, but a bear market/correction nonetheless. I think, at this point, if you regret not having taken any profits (or need to pay off any degen loans), it’s best to wait for a bounce back up to the 200-day moving average or so, in the coming ~month. There’s a fairly good chance that in the month to come we’ll see at least a relief rally above the prices we’re seeing right now, before a more precipitous plummet downward. Chances are looking more likely we are entering a bear market— even if it’s only a 50% drawdown instead of the typical 70%-80% drawdown. I’m still hoping for the possibility that BTC follows the ISM (business cycle) up in some kind of big move up in 2026, after a corrective draw-down occurs in the near term. Again, however, if bitcoin is able to reclaim the 50-week moving average before the week is over, then we can return to a more bullish stance. But until that happens it’s best to now assume a bear market or bigger correction is the most likely scenario (80% odds). As I’ve said before, personally speaking, I’m not willing to take profits on the back of a non-euphoric, non-blow-off cycle, as it puts too much risk on the trade. I will wait for a proper, euphoric blow-off top. There’s enough risk in selling bitcoin as it is with capital gains taxes (for most people) and with timing it right, to try to do so in a non-euphoric and non-blowoff type cycle. Just how I’m approaching it. Let’s all hope this drop outside the megaphone is a deviation on the weekly chart and we get a quick recovery, but this is becoming less likely as the days go on. 🤞
𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙 tweet media
𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙@ColinTCrypto

$BTC continues to hug the lower boundary of the megaphone pattern

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Crypticpunks.algo
Crypticpunks.algo@CrypticPunks·
@balajis Silvio Micali, the creator of Algorand, is the Co-inventor or the Zero Knowledge proofs 'ZK', Algorand is too undervalued.
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Balaji
Balaji@balajis·
The three eras of crypto. Proof of work: 2009-2017 Programmability: 2017-2025 Privacy: 2025-203X
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𝙲𝚘𝚕𝚒𝚗 𝚃𝚊𝚕𝚔𝚜 𝙲𝚛𝚢𝚙𝚝𝚘 🪙
I've begun buying back into some alts with a small % of the BTC that was bought by selling those same alts a few months ago. Result? Bigger alt positions than I had before, with no additional cost to me. My cost was patience and risk of my trade not panning out. But it did pan out in this case. Assuming we have an altseason (I think it's coming), I am now better setup for those gains. Which Alts? Predominately $ETH, but a little $PEPE, $DOG, $AERO (AERODROME), etc. I do think ALTS could drop further in their BTC price, so I'm not going all in yet. But I am taking advantage of this rather significant dip as an opportunity to DCA my way back in. Not recommending you follow me in any way.
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monko 🐝
monko 🐝@Real_monko·
GMonko. Disciples. 🙏 Be is not now. 🚫 Be is not days. 🚫 Be is not Months. 🚫 Be may Be years. ✅ Be may Be decade. ✅ Few will Be. 🤏 Monko will Be. 🐝 $MONKO $ALGO
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monko 🐝
monko 🐝@Real_monko·
Gmonko. Monkos. ☀️ Dont. Let. Greed. Win. 🚫 BE. 🐝⌛️ $MONKO
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monko 🐝
monko 🐝@Real_monko·
Gmonko. Monkos. ☀️☕️ Just. 👇 $MONKO
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monko 🐝
monko 🐝@Real_monko·
GMonko. Monkos. 🐝☀️ $MONKO $ALGO
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