IONQ Long (Gabe)

351 posts

IONQ Long (Gabe)

IONQ Long (Gabe)

@IONQLong

参加日 Mart 2020
86 フォロー中160 フォロワー
IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
@DesFrontierTech Perhaps software was the wrong term. Just something to pass the computation onto another machine in the daisy chain before decoherence occurs. Sounds like they are already doing that. But it sounds like there's room for improvement.
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Desmond
Desmond@DesFrontierTech·
Good instinct. The catch is decoherence is more than timing. It's when the quantum state is lost. Once that happens, the information is gone. Software can't save it by passing it to another machine. What engineers actually do is use error correction, move the state carefully between systems, and design hardware that keeps it stable long enough to keep going. You can plan around decoherence, but you can't avoid it with software. This is a long way of saying you don't outrun decoherence with software, you manage it with architecture.
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Desmond
Desmond@DesFrontierTech·
The destination looks clear. Thousands of quantum computers networked together in one data center. Operating as one system. The system IonQ is building. $IONQ
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IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
@cb_doge I'm sure the mega-corps will spend hundreds of billions to develop and build those robots and then just give them away for free. LOL. Give me an effing break.
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DogeDesigner
DogeDesigner@cb_doge·
ELON MUSK: "In the future, the robots will make so many robots, that they will actually saturate all human needs, meaning you won't be able to even think of something to ask the robot for at a certain point, like there will be such an abundance of goods and services. There'll be more robots than people. I think everyone on earth is going to have one humanoid robot because you would want a robot to watch over your kids, take care of your pet, take care of elderly parents. I'm very optimistic about the future. I think we're headed for a future of amazing abundance, which is very cool. Definitely we are in the most interesting time in history."
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Beff (e/acc)
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos·
Sometimes the most generational products don't have a perfect hockey stick graph adoption curve out of the gate. This is something the current cycle seems to have forgotten. Deep moats compound over longer timescales.
Anish Moonka@AnishA_Moonka

September 2009. Jensen Huang walks onto a small stage at the Fairmont hotel in San Jose. About 1,500 people are in the room. He runs a company that makes chips for video games. He spends the next 8 minutes doing math on a whiteboard, explaining why the future of computing won't come from making CPUs faster. He calls it "CEO math" and apologizes in advance to every computer science professor in the audience. Then he lays out an argument that almost nobody took seriously at the time: the way to make computers dramatically faster is to pair a regular CPU with hundreds of tiny parallel processors, the kind that already exist inside graphics cards. One CPU for the sequential stuff. Hundreds of GPU cores for everything else. He calls it "heterogeneous computing." He shows the math. A workload that can be split into many pieces at once gets up to 200x faster on this combined system. A workload that has to run one step at a time loses nothing. "The most important thing in creating a new architecture," he says, "is to make sure it does no harm." This was the first GPU Technology Conference. NVIDIA had launched a software platform called CUDA three years earlier, in 2006, to let developers write programs that run on graphics cards instead of just regular processors. Almost nobody cared. GPUs were for rendering Call of Duty, not for scientific computing. The academic world was polite but skeptical. The enterprise world ignored it entirely. By this point, Huang had been making this argument for years. NVIDIA was a $7 billion company. It competed with AMD and Intel for market share in the graphics market. That was the whole business. Jensen kept saying the GPU wasn't just a gaming chip; it was a computing platform. He kept saying parallel processing would reshape every industry from medicine to finance to physics simulations. People kept nodding, then doing nothing. Then deep learning happened. Around 2012, AI researchers discovered that training a neural network, which means teaching a computer to recognize patterns by running the same calculation millions of times across huge datasets, was exactly the kind of workload Jensen had been describing. GPUs can train AI models 10 to 50 times faster than CPUs. The architecture he outlined in this 2009 talk, with one CPU handling step-by-step tasks while hundreds of GPU cores crunch through massive amounts of parallel data, is now the literal blueprint for every AI data center on earth. ChatGPT runs on NVIDIA GPUs. Claude runs on NVIDIA GPUs. Gemini, Llama, Midjourney, nearly every major AI model you've heard of was trained on NVIDIA hardware using CUDA, the software platform Jensen built for a market that didn't exist yet. NVIDIA was worth about $7 billion when Jensen gave this talk. It is worth over $4.4 trillion today. That's a 600x increase. Jensen Huang, who founded the company at a Denny's in 1993 with two friends, now has a net worth of over $160 billion. He made Forbes' list of the 10 richest people for the first time this year. GTC 2026 is currently ongoing. 17,000 people are packing a hockey arena to watch the same guy explain what comes next. In 2009, 1,500 people showed up at a hotel ballroom, most of them for gaming graphics.

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Beff (e/acc)
Beff (e/acc)@beffjezos·
Computers are going to look absolutely alien to us in a few years I can tell you that. Where we're going, we don't need flops.
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IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
Quite obvious that the big boys are trying to shake a bunch of shares loose so they can scoop them up. Don't take the bait. $IONQ
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SpacBobby
SpacBobby@SpacBobby·
$ASTS - It doesn't take that many launches for AST to reach their 45-60 target by year end. Deutsche Bank outlines a hypothetical schedule with only 9 launches needed. Reminder that AST has overbooked launches for this year in case of delays.
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IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
@DesFrontierTech I would imagine what IonQ is striving to do is about as hard a task as any startup could take on. It's like starting 10 complicated tech business all at the same time. Crazy.
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Desmond
Desmond@DesFrontierTech·
At some point serious technology companies stop optimizing for possibility and start taking responsibility for their hardest constraints. Manufacturing, security, iteration speed, and supply chain trust. The unglamorous layers that determine how quickly systems can be improved, and whether they can actually be relied on.
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Hanna353
Hanna353@HannaSuds·
$IonQ Been digging deep into the technical synchronicity of the IonQ deal today. Have added 7,200 shares in the last 30 minutes. Going to continue.
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IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
Just an FYI, IonQ would not have acquired Skywater unless their tech combination with Oxford Ionics was a success. Meaning, their electronic qubit control method works. Literally nothing stopping them from scaling up to thousands upon thousands of logical qubits now. $IONQ
GIF
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Rick
Rick@Rick101284·
$IONQ Wow, listen to Katie Arrington (Former CIO at DOW) talk about her first week at IONQ: "Big things are coming for IONQ, keep on the news wire, you'll be seeing some stuff in the coming days and weeks that are really going to blow your mind and you'll understand why I moved". linkedin.com/posts/katie-ar…
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$ASTS Sp🅰️ceMob
$ASTS Sp🅰️ceMob@ASTS_SpaceMob·
You don’t have any losses if you don’t open your portfolio. Remember that!
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IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
@SpacBobby Wish I had gotten in way back then. Established my position in the low $40s. But I'm HODL'ing long term!!!
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SpacBobby
SpacBobby@SpacBobby·
If you put $10k into each AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab two years ago: $ASTS: $280,000 now $RKLB: $195,000 now Life changing gains for many. Congrats to all!!
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IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
$IONQ This $50.80 resistance is a real bitch.
GIF
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Rick
Rick@Rick101284·
$IONQ Interesting potential acquisition target for IONQ. "DARPA is funding startup Diffraqtion to develop what the company said in an announcement today is “a first-of-its-kind quantum camera” capable of providing near-real time imagery at “up to” 20 times faster than that enabled by current optical surveillance cameras. Diffraqtion hopes to launch its first space domain awareness satellite, called Galileo-1, in 2028. A second satellite, for Earth observation and Golden Dome missions, is planned for launch in 2029." breakingdefense.com/2026/01/darpa-…
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Austin Ahlman
Austin Ahlman@austinahlman·
Preventing two guys who own 6% of the stock from perpetually controlling the board of the most powerful corporation in history is good, actually.
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Hanna353
Hanna353@HannaSuds·
$IonQ What is the most important business ecosystem IonQ should focus on?
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IONQ Long (Gabe)
IONQ Long (Gabe)@IONQLong·
@guo_lin99725 My impression is that D-Wave is grasping as straws to try to regain ground. Too late, though. IonQ has already lapped everyone about 3 times.
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Grey
Grey@guo_lin99725·
$qbts vs $ionq: the technical showdown (who prints 10x?) on jan 7, 2026, d-wave entered the chat with a $550m check. they bought quantum circuits inc to challenge the benchmark ionq set back in oct 2025 (99.99% fidelity). here is the brutal truth about their tech stacks. they are solving the same problem (noise) with two completely different religions. 1. the enemy is noisequantum computers are fragile. if a qubit sneezes, the math breaks. to get a 10x stock return, you need a machine that can run for hours without crashing. 2. $qbts (d-wave): the "smart keyboard" (tech: dual-rail)d-wave is betting that perfect hardware is impossible, so they built hardware that admits when it fails. the tech (dual-rail): they use two physical components to make one qubit. the analogy: imagine a keyboard that physically locks up if you press the wrong key. the mechanics: in standard computers, an error is a "bit flip" (a silent lie). in d-wave’s new stack, an error is an "erasure" (a blank space). the edge: an "erasure" is 100x easier to fix than a "bit flip." it allows them to build a fault-tolerant computer with fewer qubits. the bet: efficiency. they don't need to be perfect; they just need to be self-aware. 3. $ionq: the "chip factory" (tech: eqc & 99.99%)ionq is betting on manufacturing supremacy. the tech (oct 2025 breakthrough): they hit 99.99% fidelity. that is the "four nines." it means the hardware is nearly flawless. the secret weapon (oxford ionics): this is the part most investors miss. they replaced lasers with electricity (electronic qubit control - eqc). the analogy: old ionq was a physics lab filled with mirrors and lasers. new ionq is a standard silicon chip. the edge: because they use electricity instead of lasers, they can print these chips in standard semiconductor fabs (like tsmc). the bet: scale. they turned a science project into a semiconductor product. 4. head-to-head: technical stacking error handling: $ionq: prevention. (make the hardware so good it doesn't break). $qbts: detection. (let it break, but catch it instantly). scalability: $ionq: "semiconductor scaling." (print more chips). $qbts: "architectural scaling." (use fewer qubits to do more work). 5. the verdict: who gets the 10x? the case for $ionq (the "nvidia" path) they are technically ahead. 99.99% is real, and it happened in 2025. moving to "electronic control" means they can ship volume. probability of 10x: high certainty, slower burn. they are the standard-bearer. the case for $qbts (the "turnaround" path) market perception is lagging. people still think d-wave is just a "logistics" company. if "dual-rail" works in 2026, they unlock error correction cheaper and faster than anyone else. probability of 10x: lower certainty, violent upside. if they prove the dual-rail thesis, this stock is wildly underpriced. my take:$ionq has the better hardware (semiconductor manufacturability). $qbts has the smarter architecture (erasure conversion). in a gold rush, i want the company that owns the factory. right now, that looks like $ionq, but $qbts just bought a map to a shortcut. #quantumcomputing #stocks #qbts #ionq #techinvesting #deepdive #hardware
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