Joseph Obertlik

1.8K posts

Joseph Obertlik

Joseph Obertlik

@JObertlik

New Jersey, USA 参加日 Aralık 2023
642 フォロー中400 フォロワー
Joseph Obertlik
Joseph Obertlik@JObertlik·
@TheProfInvestor Assuming this happens (SpaceX reaching 1 trillion revenue), which it won’t, then it would be fairly valued at today’s share price. So you’re paying for 4 years of a crazy increase in revenue, today. With Elons track record, this won’t happen til at best, 2035.
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Joseph Obertlik
Joseph Obertlik@JObertlik·
@TheProfInvestor Maybe so, the difference is, Amazon wasn’t trading at a 100x PS ratio in 2010. SpaceX will have increase revenues by about 50x in the next few years so this will somewhat make any sort of sense. Good luck with that.
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The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
Kim K being the reason Lewis is winning F1 races again was not on my bingo card this year
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The Real Denny
The Real Denny@DCDOWORK·
$SPCX everyone thought it was going to crash today?! 🤦‍♂️
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Joseph Obertlik
Joseph Obertlik@JObertlik·
@DCDOWORK @Sandeman52 Because valuation matters and buying a company valued at 1.75T that generates 18B in revenue and loses 5B a year isn’t a good investment. Maybe they will generate the numbers analysts are projecting in 2030. If they do, you’re already paying for that today, and some.
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SandemanStocks
SandemanStocks@Sandeman52·
I asked for zero Spacex shares and got zero Spacex shares. I’ll reassess in March
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Investors
Investors@Investors___X·
I will start buying $META shares below $500 Will be at 10x LTM EBITDA… 🤯
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Joseph Obertlik
Joseph Obertlik@JObertlik·
@TheLongInvest Neither. $ASTS trades at 10x sales from projected 2030 revenues. Seems like it’s all hype and momentum traders piling in. High risk and gambling.
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The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
Just a reminder If SpaceX is valued at $1.7 Trillion This means that Starlink MUST be valued between $600-$900 Billion Meaning $ASTS at $37 Billion Market Cap could 20 X from here and will be at the lower scale of the valuation of Starlink, while arguably a stronger product So what’s more attractive right now? SpaceX or $ASTS
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Derek Quick
Derek Quick@derekquick1·
$NVO Want to buy $META at $88 again? Novo Nordisk will be the best performing stock over the next 12-36 months even in a bear market. I am sure this post will get like 10 likes,not much different when I had my Meta thesis at the lows in 2022.Oral GLP1's will change the world.
Derek Quick tweet media
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Joseph Obertlik
Joseph Obertlik@JObertlik·
@TheLongInvest Now it’s only overvalued by $100/share and not $160/share. Thats about the only Thing that changed
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The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
Same people said they’d add $PLTR if it pulled back below $140 But I don’t see any conviction now A lot of talk about it at $200 going higher What’s changed? We add aggressively when we get a Wave 2 pull back and Wave C pull back
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Invest with AC
Invest with AC@investingwithac·
$OSCR - NEW 8-K I thought they were going to reaffirm guidance again 😂😂😂 I was like oh my… (It’s results from annual shareholder meeting vote)
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WaveInvestor
WaveInvestor@InvestorSince21·
Oscar Health $OSCR should be at $100! Change my mind!
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obfuscated
obfuscated@obfuscated_id·
I just did some napkin math and couldn’t believe my eyes $OSCR it actually stopped me in my tracks and I had to send a message out to see if I was totally losing it or not. None of this can be used concretely yet. But this is why I say know what you own and why you own it. The numbers for CY ‘27 are actually unfathomable to me at this point. Just threw in 750m-1b earnings from operations which is a reasonable number. Slap a 1x p/s and/or 35-40x multiple for a tech enabled growth stock in health care. The stock price estimates are nutty.
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Joseph Obertlik
Joseph Obertlik@JObertlik·
@TheValueTrade A company valued at 550 million with just 5 million in revenues last year, Noncompliance issues, sounds like poor risk management and there’s much higher and better uses of capital.
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The Value Trader
The Value Trader@TheValueTrade·
Everyone forgetting about $RR This puppy hasn't even started yet
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The Long Investor
The Long Investor@TheLongInvest·
Market ripping in the PM Remember we are not at the Top and there is still A LOT of opportunities over the next few months before we Top.
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Invest with AC
Invest with AC@investingwithac·
I was SMASHING the buy on $OSCR the last few months from $10-13… I loaded the boat up, and now $OSCR is 65% of my portfolio with +70% gain YTD, at $24.30 a share. RIGHT NOW... I'm SMASHING the buy on THESE names: - $SOFI <$18 - $ZETA <$24 - $CELH <$30 - $HIMS <$27 Let’s rock and roll baby 🕺
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