SandemanStocks

Ok, new CAGR is dropping: 63.5% over a span of 12 years. 35,900% total growth. All my subs are super happy! Subscribe today! Oh wait, I don’t run a subscription. It’s all free! Oooops I forgot. 😂🤣😏 Let’s keep winning guys!!!

@gavinmchughh No, that was a Muay Thai kick to the leg. The joke was Englands weak ass flop near the goal against Norway.

This deciding who goes to the World Cup final is a joke

@michaelsikand Yes please 🙏 😬🫡

@Sandeman52 thanks legend, will have to do a shoutout for you

You can be my 100,000th follower today and get 100% returns too?

$NBIS Grok wasn’t answering so I plugged it into the grok app. Answer below: Reclaiming $250 is more likely than dropping to $100 over the next 30 days, based strictly on fundamentals and execution track record. Key Fundamentals Supporting This • Explosive Growth and Beats: Q1 2026 revenue hit $399M (684% YoY, beating estimates), with AI cloud revenue at ~$390M (841% YoY, ~98% of total). ARR reached $1.92B (up 54% QoQ from $1.25B end-2025). Adjusted EBITDA turned strongly positive at ~$130M (vs. losses prior). Management has a consistent history of beating and raising guidance (e.g., prior ARR targets exceeded). • Capacity and Backlog Execution: Contracted power raised multiple times (now targeting >4GW by YE2026, with >3.5GW already). Major long-term deals (e.g., Meta ~$27B, Microsoft up to ~$19B, NVIDIA investment) provide visibility and prepayments. Owned capacity scaling (e.g., new Pennsylvania site up to 1.2GW secured). Capacity remains sold out, with strong demand (multiple customers per GPU). • Guidance and Trajectory: Reiterated 2026 revenue $3–3.4B and ARR $7–9B targets. Capex raised aggressively ($20–25B) to meet demand, funded via debt, prepayments, and partnerships. Margins improving (gross ~72–74%, adj. EBITDA ~45% in Q1 core). Back-end weighted ramp expected. • Balance Sheet/Positioning: Significant cash from operations/prepayments, strategic funding (e.g., convertibles), and full-stack AI cloud focus (hardware + software/services). High barriers in power/GPU supply favor scaled players with execution. Recent Context (Past ~3 Months) Management continued strong execution post-Q1 (e.g., Eigen AI acquisition closed, platform updates like 3.6 for developers, new deals/power secures). No major fundamental misses reported; Q2 results are upcoming (early August). The stock has pulled back sharply (~25–30%+ from June highs near $280–300, now trading ~$195–210), but this aligns with broader AI/neocloud sector weakness, not company-specific erosion. A drop to $100 would require a catastrophic fundamental reversal (e.g., major contract cancellations, capacity collapse, or solvency issues)—none of which is supported by the trajectory, backlog, or track record. Reclaiming $250 is a far smaller move (~20–25% from current levels) and aligns with prior volatility around positive updates, continued ARR ramp, and any positive Q2 pre-earnings momentum or sector recovery. Execution has been reliable; the business is scaling into massive AI demand. Short-term stock moves can be volatile (dilution concerns, macro, sentiment), but fundamentals and management’s delivery point to upside probability dominating downside risk to those extremes in 30 days. This is not a prediction of exact price but relative likelihood.

@CryptoBankz_65 @grok @grok please answer

Hey @grok, Based on $NBIS fundamentals and management's execution over the past 3 months, which outcome is more likely over the next 30 days? 1. $NBIS drops to $100 2. $NBIS reclaims $250 Explain your reasoning based on the fundamentals, not sentiment.

@blackhousecap @otigart I was part of the Navy…VQ-2. Flew EP3s out of Rota. And no, I was single then 😬

@Sandeman52 @otigart What were you doing there? You lived a good life with the wife

I got Spain upsetting France today

@manfromgore Wow

@Sandeman52 From $0 to $80 in six months NEVER happens. Let's be realistic. And sorry to be pedantic - but look at the numbers on the axis

Guys, it’s really simple:

@otigart @blackhousecap I lived in Puerto de Santa Maria Spain for about 2 years.

@Sandeman52 @blackhousecap

@blackhousecap They probably are. Don’t let the chop fool you

@Sandeman52 Thank you sir. If only my stock picks were this good.

@Funmentalist Just more data centers announced and a new $1B contract.

$NBIS Mental exercise for you guys $NBIS at $300, remember how euphoric everything felt We are currently at $194. Did anything change with the company?

@TimMcMenamin87 @mvcinvesting Saw that. Majorly bullish move

@Sandeman52 @mvcinvesting Major ATM call but today 8/21 exp. $200 strike… $5.5MM

$NBIS huge!!! Good find @mvcinvesting

@InvestNorthwise Who?

Really shocking to see so many prominent names on the $NBIS X community complaining about deal size today. Arkady and management can only repeat so many times that the bare metal capacity deals are a stepping stone. There’s a reason a lot of the $META deal was a commitment to purchase excess capacity. Hoping for another multi year bare metal deal is not understanding managements intention and the bigger picture. Servicing AI startups and enterprises is much more profitable as you move up the stack. Nebius intends to become a provider of solutions rather than of resources.

$NBIS I think times like this is important to think objectively. 1. NY is not NJ 2. $NBIS has been working very closely with public officials from the inception of this project. NJ has an equal stake in this. 3. $NBIS literally just signed on another $1B deal with Reflection AI 4. Deepseek IPO.. just means more compute? And greater need for national security and open source models… bullish??? Lol 5. Marc has alluded to tens of billions in revenue over the next 13 months. 6. Expansion into India Folks, if you’re selling here… to put nicely, you probably shouldn’t be invested in $NBIS and to put nicely, probably a moron

@itsalasdairmann Spot on

New York news is actually somewhat bullish for $NBIS: As AI gets bigger, smarter, and more powerful, you should expect regulations like this to pop up But demand for AI won’t go anywhere So the safest bet is a geographically diversified provider like $NBIS, where 1 bad shift in politics can’t wipe the company out Side note: another reason why $NBIS management is great is that they don’t announce new DCs prematurely, only after they have confirmation

$NBIS down because of New York’s 1 year moratorium on new data centers? Algos: Sell first, ask questions later. NBIS has no projects in New York. Even if they did, all projects that are already permitted can continue. So what? So even if this starts a precedent with a few liberal states, 99% chance that all pre-permitted projects can move forward….meaning nobody is caught flat footed. $NBIS is GLOBAL! They already said if one data center project is nixed, they have an enormous pipeline of sites. Welcome to the era of bots trading at high volume on headlines without the benefit of common sense. Short term volatility will happen. Long term execution will be rewarded and overshadow all of this soon enough.

Amen

@hypergrowth102 Yep 👊

@Sandeman52 90% of investing is mindset.

Mental stamina > Stock picking

@mvcinvesting Spot on

Too many people call themselves long-term investors, yet spend their days glued to minute-by-minute price action.