Priced Uncertainty

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Priced Uncertainty

Priced Uncertainty

@PricedUncertain

Prediction markets accelerationist. Macro pro. “Text is the artifact. Choice is the source.”

United States 参加日 Haziran 2026
168 フォロー中58 フォロワー
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
Weekly Resolved — Week of June 8 🟢 iOS 27 YES — 67¢ WWDC exists to announce iOS. Should be 95%+. Structurally mispriced. 🟡 Anthropic / Claude YES — 17¢ Claude is already in Xcode 26. Market hasn’t read the release notes. 🟡 Who are you with YES — TBD Monday Confirmed Doral presser. Either phrase hits the contract. 🔴 Uranium — CLOSED +7x Come back Friday to see how we did.
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
Every mini-cycle within the AI cycle has basically gone like this: AI makes some advancement but needs more of x input to scale more efficiently, so that input gets bid up and eventually becomes a commodity. GPUs, power, memory etc. Actual decisional data is probably the next one.
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
The Boomer Democrat is unbelievably cooked
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Leading Report
Leading Report@LeadingReport·
Kamala Harris is now favored to become the Democratic Party’s 2028 presidential nominee, overtaking Gavin Newsom, according to the Financial Times.
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
X, what song are you listening to right now?
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
@pmarca The “founders” who just grab their ankles and bite their shirts the second they get in front of some capital were never going to make it anyways.
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Curiosity
Curiosity@CuriosityonX·
First city ever built on mars. You get to name it. What's it gonna be?
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
@Polymarket It’s all kicking off. Check my page for my best prediction market picks this week.
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Louis Roberts
Louis Roberts@Buddyloveless·
I was in this world briefly. 3/4 months. I’m not talking barstool/mcafee stuff, this was a different level of money. If you have been to Anjuna the day after F1 Monaco, or Annabelle’s you know. I didn’t belong one bit. I felt like I was seeing a James Bond movie in real life. Cool to see but I was just not made for it. I went for a run one day with someone’s wife staying at the house I was at and I made a joke that I’m still going to be in shape like Tom Brady at 40+ bc I stretch everyday and her exact quote was “I don’t know who that is, I spend most of my time painting” I got lost in Monaco with a girl and couldn’t get a cab back to cap ferret and had to pay 20k for one night at a hotel and they had a bubble bath ready before I even got into the room. There really is a different level of the world where you fully would never ever fit in.
John LeFevre@JohnLeFevre

These people don't appear on any published rich list. The shadows and gutters of global finance are filled with anonymous billionaires, heirs, and villains. And we don't have a clue.

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Stijn Noorman
Stijn Noorman@stijnnoorman·
I quit X. I posted 1000+ times. But only had 183 followers. So I blamed the platform and quit. 6 months later I restarted. And after 2,5 years I hit 50,000 followers. If you're like the old me, the problem isn't the platform. It's your growth strategy.
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
Uranium at 14¢. 7x in a week. How? Trump was in nuclear negotiations with Iran. Market priced it at 14%. Anyone paying attention knew uranium was inevitable. This is the edge. Not gambling. Not luck. Reading what’s actually happening before the price catches up. Every week I publish my calls before they resolve. Weekly Resolved. First entry below. @PricedUncertain
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
@iarjuntandon Everybody on X is acting like these are the yachts of hustle grindset types. These families were charging 40% interest in medieval Bologna.
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Arjun Tandon
Arjun Tandon@iarjuntandon·
This is the power of compounding. The first 200 years are the hardest.
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Shaivi
Shaivi@ShaiviRau·
y’all always talk about the sf -> ny move but what about the other way around like help i love this city
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Priced Uncertainty
Priced Uncertainty@PricedUncertain·
@KalshiPolitics The market is underpricing federal intervention that gets Pratt on the ballot. There is clearly fraud.
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Kalshi Politics
Kalshi Politics@KalshiPolitics·
JUST IN: Steve Hilton (R) has a 96.1% chance to advance to the California Governor general election
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chikita
chikita@2laterr·
mexicans eat like this at 9:30 am and wonder why they fat
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