robjames

Everyone's hiding in semis. SMH (red) vs SPY (white). Energy costs crushing data center economics. Helium supply disrupted. SMH still +38% vs SPY at +5% — that 33pt gap compresses fast in risk-off. The "safe" trade may have the most air underneath it. @qthomp

I think bonds are saying they don't really care that this inflation print was 'better than expectations' because 1) it's still not good and 2) the next few months are going to be even worse.

US AND IRAN DISCUSSING CEASEFIRE FOR REOPENING STRAIT, OFFICIALS SAY – AXIOS

@fejau_inc Yeah good call. Channelling your inner @jam_croissant

As soon as opex hit we began to fall apart

@TgMacro don't need to read between the lines there 🤪

The “technology council” will be something we remember fondly. If that’s not a TOP indicator for tech I don’t know what is? $QQQ $META $ORCL $NVDA #bubble

@Globalflows You have any areas of interest for ORCL? Still seeing heavy selling in software names around the board.

China selling Iran weapons to blow up the gas it buys is 5D chess.

see - its all fuckery. This is why I don't listen to my claude financial advisor

today's moves are 100% fuckery

Take Trump's announcement with 'grain of salt', says Israeli source: SkyNews

Fun fact #1: Trump's new ultimatum expires in 5 days, just when the markets close Fun fact #2: In 5 days USS Tripoli with 2,200 marines will be in position

#BREAKING: 4,500 U.S. marines head to the Middle East with F-35s, helicopters & landing craft.

*TRUMP ON KHARG: I MAY HAVE A PLAN OR I MAY NOT

@fejau_inc @ForwardGuidance Yeah because you guys are dialed. Keep it comin boys!

Always blows my mind that our main audience base for the @ForwardGuidance is finance professionals and we provide enough value to pros that they tune in. Grateful 🙏

Assuming the USS Boxer is heading to the Middle East, and considering that she only left San Diego two days ago, she won't be near the Persian Gulf until mid-April. If the reinforcements are intended to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, then the oil market faces a very long wait.

This is how to treat your man after he spent the entire day revenge trading and blowing accounts.

@BTC_Jay705 Provide link to said Foxletter sir

- write Foxletter - again position of power - weekly repeat As the CEO of the most dominant financial newsletter in the game. Foxoxo $BTC

@Citrini7 Us retail guys would say..... you midcurved it

So much of this game is just trying your best not to learn the same lesson over and over again. The most recent re-learned lesson for me… common sense is nearly always a better foundation for a trade than expert wisdom if you think there’s a large inflection or regime shift underway. A little more than a week ago, I called up a friend of mine that understands energy far better than I do and said something like “seems like the no brainer play here is to be long Brent and short WTI”. This seemed like common sense, after all it’s not like there’s a war in the continental US and if the government was willing to sell futures they’d probably be open to using regulation to increase domestic supply. Right? But I had it explained to me a laundry list of reasons why that wouldn’t work. That was when the K6 spread was at about $6. A week later, the spread is almost $12 and I didn’t put it on because I figured my tourist understanding of oil meant it wouldn’t work. This is nothing against the wisdom of experts, but in markets - sometimes - it pays to be an idiot tourist basing your views on a common sense thesis. Especially at inflection points…Like the blind men and the elephants, it’s possible to be too close up to something and miss the very straightforward big picture. It was true with natural gas and ags in early 2022, it was true with semis in 2023…it’ll probably keep being true whenever there’s a big phase shift happening.

This NVDA is hysterical First it's red bar *NVIDIA CEO SEES 2027 AT LEAST ONE TRILLION DOLLARS OF REVENUE Now it's $1T for 2025-27. Now look at the revenue line from bloomberg table... ummm $216bn 2025 + 364b 2026 + $470b 2027 = $1.05T did Jensen just guide down??