RptSet Sports Analytics

@joaquin_roth Thanks for the thread, just checked tho and we'll only have 2 FT before 2nd leg

From a Fantasy perspective, flexibility is on our side. We’ll have 3 free transfers between the 1st and 2nd legs, and another full reset before the Round of 16, essentially a mini wildcard. That means the focus shouldn’t be on chasing one-off hauls, but on maximising two matches, protecting structure, and keeping multiple routes open. In knockout Fantasy, patience isn’t passive. It’s usually the optimal play.

Welcome to my #UCLFantasy Play-Off 1st Leg Preview. Knockout football is finally here. First legs, two-tie dynamics, managers thinking more about not losing than winning big. This is usually where Fantasy players get impatient, and where a lot of mistakes happen. Now that the league phase is over, our pool of viable options is much smaller, which means that chasing rank becomes harder, margins are thinner, and every differential cuts both ways: they can push you up fast... or punish you just as quickly if you go without the common picks. The objective for these playoffs is simple: protect the structure, minimise damage, and maintain flexibility for the return legs. Let’s break it down in this giga-thread 👇

@SCWhisperer I don't think any game has beaten it since

The NRL keep pushing this “no helmets, no pads, no breaks” nonsense to entice the American audience. If they really want to break into the US market, just show them Titans v Tigers from 2022, 8pm prime time national TV footy.

@TomSangsterSC Hey Tom, could you please have a look on NRL.com and tell us how many line engaged runs *any player* made last year?

It's the same definition as last year. The confusion came because Stats Perform includes line engagements in 'all runs'. But we won't be and never have. Just think of it as "all runs minus line engagements."

@CFCTimB @SCWhisperer Yeh no disagreement there. Also NRL.com haven't logged line engagements for the last 2 years so that will be messy too

@SCWhisperer @RptSet Yep, THIS is the problem. The implementation is an absolute disaster and completely ham fisted.

So, do we have clarification on where the stat is being pulled from? Because, as of right now there is no public data that is readily available?

@SCWhisperer @CFCTimB Was always ridiculous that there were two sets of (often conflicting) stats for the league, it'll be messy for supercoach for a lil bit but it's better for everyone in the long run that there's one source of truth

@CFCTimB “We’ve listened to you” Or, your parent company is making a business decision…..

@SCWhisperer Yeh, don't think we'll truly know till round 1. Player stats columns for yesterday's preseason game are still the same as past years, but I'm expecting this to change soon as historically only 'Offloads' have been displayed, and 'held up in goal' hasn't be shared before either

@RptSet I hope it’s no change…. But the app and web show otherwise

As we eye off the first official trial, NRLFantasyPro has been working rigorously in the background the help us get an idea on scoring. Today, “all runs” have been added, I like many others think this is the correct way forward as NRL don’t inherently track “hit ups”. This has lead to an overall boost in 95% of the leagues averages! @BrainTalksBall | @7TackleSetNRL | @AmanTalksNRLSC

@SCWhisperer In answer to the Herbie vs Molo question, it would seem that not all herbies 'runs' end in a tackle, as opposed to Molo who would just go straight into the line resulting in a 'hitup'. I don't know the official criteria but that would be my best guess

@RptSet I’m saying this to learn, and if you can help me. Amazing. Why would someone like Francis Molo have 15 hit ups on the nrl website, but say Herbie, only have 1. When Herbie has like 20 runs and 200m?

@SCWhisperer You could be right on the change to All runs, I hadn't seen that when I first replied. On supercoach website its defined as 'no change' but clearly there's some pretty big variance in the numbers

@SCWhisperer I just noticed that too while looking into it. The short answer, I think it's gonna be a bit messy 🤣 depends on how they update the criteria. Ctws/Fwds won't change much, will be interesting to see what happens to FLB/HFB. Comparisons below

@clubgame Beaconsfield FC

📞 Comment your Club Name and we’ll reply with how many Agent Manny Calls you’ve had 👀🤣

@clubgame Beaconsfield FC Pretty sure it's 18-0-3

Comment your Club Name and we’ll reply with your W-D-L record this season… 👀😳

@clubgame Beaconsfield FC

Comment your CLUB name and we will give one CO a free gift 🎁 🎉

@clubgame Igor Thiago

No one guessed it last time so here we go… Guess the ‘Most Rejected’ Player in CLUB and the winner will get a surprise! 💎 It’s a shocker btw… 👀

@clubgame @GambitTarimo I swear I pulled Haaland around level 11, was this just an outlier? Or has the settings been updated?

@GambitTarimo You unlock Haaland at Level 13 - the best players are supposed to take a long time to get and as his form increased he only became available to the top levelling players 🤝

I have a lvl 11 stadium & Manny (12day time btw) and yet I still can’t pull Haaland We’re half way through the season Like hello? Slowly losing interest. I grind this everyday too. Must be even worse for the casuals @clubgame

@AlexVolloFPL @xgstat Yeh I figured, just thought it'd be helpful to make them aware of it. Totally understand that these things happen. Really nicely executed platform

@RptSet @xgstat They are usually super quick with bug fixing & adding new things

CMs scoring against West Ham isn't just some random positional or zonal trend. You see it pop up every week now. Another central midfielder getting shots, another one scoring. And it’s not some weird coincidence. West Ham let teams reach the edge of their box far too easily. Their midfield line doesn't slow attacks down. Opponents move through the centre without much resistance. Once that happens, the defenders get dragged back and the midfielders arriving late are the ones left free. That's why CMs keep getting space in the exact zones they want. West Ham's xG per shot conceded from CMs is one of the highest in the league, which means when someone does get into shooting range, it's usually a clean look. So when central midfielders step onto chances, they're stepping onto chances that are already high-quality. Corners and free-kicks are messy. Marking is loose, second balls aren't cleared, and structure disappears quickly. And it doesn't help that not Kilman isn't just weak in the air, even when he does win a duel, he just pings the ball away as if he doesn't want to keep possession. Midfielders love that. They sit on the edge of the box or crash in late, and the ball keeps falling right back to them. A functional double pivot blocks passing lanes, delays attacks, and forces low-value shots. West Ham's one just exists. The gaps between the lines are huge, so once the midfield is played through, the back four get overwhelmed straight away, and this pattern shows up in almost every match. I'm not expecting Nuno to suddenly fix the chaos overnight, so I'll keep that in mind when making my decisions. With midfielders being so popular in this DEFCON era, they might just be a cheat code against West Ham. #FPL

@AlexVolloFPL @xgstat Thanks for this, great site. Slight bug on the player view with row height being full height of the device and then some

All the data I use comes from @xgstat. Want to explore the same stats yourself? Use the coupon code VOLLO50 on their website to get 50% off your first month.

Only COs who’ve NEVER been offered Salah or Haaland from Agent Manny are allowed to ❤️ this post… This who have can celebrate in the comments 😒

❤️ if you currently have an upgrade on the go.. 💬 How long is it? Anyone beat this?⏳

@timbayer93 U might need to redo this as fwds/midfielders are based on CBIRT (12) and only defenders are based on CBIT (10)

Who are the unique #FPL players that excel at expected goal involvements & defensive contributions? So far, it's Bruno, Saka, Ndiaye and Aaronson. Last season, Saka had a ~10% CBIT hit rate and 0.75 npxGA, season before ~22% and 0.65 npxGA. Bruno ~35% hit rate with 0.48 npxGA.