
Z. Joseph Sherman
6.6K posts


@megynkelly Start by impeaching the crazy man and take our chances with Vance. Tell Congress to grow a spine
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Five alarm fire - for the love of all that is holy we need to get out of Iran and work full time on ppl’s $$ worries
InteractivePolls@IAPolls2022
🇺🇸 National Poll by UMass/Amherst Pres. Trump Approve: 33% Disapprove: 62% Trump's lowest approval in either term —— Trump's net approval on key issues 🟤 Immigration: -25 🔴 Jobs: -31 🔴 Tariffs: -36 🔴 Inflation: -47 —— U.S. Military action against Iran Approve: 29% Disapprove: 54% YouGov | 3/20-25 | 1,000 A umass.edu/news/article/p…
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@MikeLevin At least they are being listened to elsewhere. Would be more worrisome if they were ignored altogether. Hopefully well get rid of maga once and for all sooner than later
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This is absolutely infuriating and completely idiotic.
An estimated 95,000 scientists and researchers have left federal agencies since Trump returned to the White House. These are the people tracking hurricanes, studying pediatric cancer, and modeling the climate tipping points that determine whether we can still prevent catastrophe.
We lost them because this administration defunded their work, shuttered their offices, and made clear that finding out the truth is no longer a government priority.
NASA’s own administrator just said studying climate change isn’t part of NASA’s mission. The agency that first warned Congress about global warming in 1988 now treats that work as a distraction.
Meanwhile, China and Europe are recruiting our scientists, funding their labs, and making long-term bets on the industries of the future while we gut the research infrastructure that took generations to build.
We are surrendering global scientific leadership voluntarily, deliberately, and one resignation letter at a time.
nytimes.com/2026/03/25/cli…
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@hunterbidenDem @TheRickWilson With trumps polling, Cornyn prob gets the nomination. He should say thank you
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Holy humiliation ritual


Jack@jackunheard
🚨BREAKING: President Trump reportedly set to endorse Ken Paxton in Texas Senate runoff over John Cornyn.
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@EthanLevins2 Not sure Iran would view this as a win per se… slight exaggeration as many in leadership are dead. Depends who is running the ship here
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@ElijahSchaffer How do you suppose things would play out if Kamala has been elected?
(Because that was the other option)
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@DBCooperTX @PathfinderAstro I think the increased net worth of his family tells you who’s best interest he is looking out for…
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One thing is clear. President Trump is going max in his last term. He is going after the difficult to impossible tasks that have long plagued the U.S. geopolitically. He is not guided by polls or talking heads on the news or social media. Panama Canal, Venezuela, Iran, China etc…
History will judge the results, but on some level you gotta respect his commitment to his conviction that he is acting in the best interest of America.
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The current spike only highlights how much oil prices have lowered under @realDonaldTrump.
🛢️:
Trump (2017-2020): $58
Biden (2021-2024): $83
Trump (2025): $68
Average price over the whole of 2022: $99
Price yesterday: $100
Calm down.
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@MeghanMcCain @LouiseMensch The admin breeds corruption. Look to the boss. You’re so close
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@AndrewKolvet Maybe we should question his judgement of awful??
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Just spoke with Steve Toth who defeated Dan Crenshaw in TX-02 Republican primary last night. He's served with Dem. Senate nominee James Talarico in the Texas House, and held NOTHING back:
"I served with James Talarico from 2019 to today. This guy is as evil as they come. There is a darkness to this man's life. If you doubt that there is a wickedness and evil and a demonic presence in the world, you only have to look at James Talarico. He's an awful, awful person."
@SteveTothTX
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@mansourtarek_ hey man, just as a business decision, you are going to completely screw Kalshi if you don't pay this out. Like there will be the "before" times and the "after" 2/28 times in your company. All that great marketing you do, all the ops and tech you have invested in, for nothing.
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On Khamenei:
We don’t list markets directly tied to death. When there are markets where potential outcomes involve death, we design the rules to prevent people from profiting from death. That is what we did here.
I know some of you disagree and prefer that we list these markets without a death carveout because it keeps the rules simple and because many traditional markets, like oil futures, can be proxy markets for war and death. But we believe that’s different than having a market directly settling on someone’s death, which is not allowed for US regulated entities.
What’s the point of the market, then?
A market on Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader was important because leadership changes in Iran have major impact on the world order:
• geopolitical implications
• economic consequences
• national security considerations
• oil and commodity prices, many of which move based on news and expectations around this outcome
And it’s always possible for a ruler to step down or transition power without death, even in autocracies. It just happened in Venezuela.
In these instances, we make the caveat clear in the rules and in the market page, but today is a good learning that we can do more in terms of improving the UX and adding more ways to surface the rules. We are committed to improving. In the meantime, here’s what we’re going to do:
• We are reimbursing all fees from this market
• If you have a position from before Khamenei died, you will be paid out on the last-traded price before his death. (This was clear in our rules)
• If you have a position from after he died, we’re going to fully reimburse your cost of entry
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@mansourtarek_ @Kalshi Best ad for polymarket ever. @Kalshi could have just let the market trade up until death was confirmed… instead @Kalshi inserted itself. Doesn’t make sense unless they were the ones with the other side of the trade.
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Kalshi’s policy is to always choose poor mechanism design in favor of regulatory virtue signalling.
“Last traded price prior to confirmed reporting…” just makes these markets even more ambiguous.
How do you define “confirmed reporting” in this context? Also, the last traded price doesn’t equate to the true price at the time, it could have been a panic buyer/seller or a fat finger.
Kalshi@Kalshi
BREAKING: The odds Ali Khamenei is out as Supreme Leader have surged to 68% Reminder: Kalshi does not offer markets that settle on death. If Ali Khamenei dies, the market will resolve based on the last traded price prior to confirmed reporting of death.
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@Kalshi I thought this was a peer to peer market. That’s a pretty horrible technicality
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Please note: A prior version of this clarification was grammatically ambiguous. As a customer service measure, Kalshi will reimburse lost value due to trades made between these clarifications.
MARKET RULES CLARIFICATION: If Ali Khamenei dies, the market will resolve upon the confirmed reporting of the death, based on the last traded price prior to death. If that price is unclear, the Outcome Review Committee will determine a fair market value.
kalshi.com/markets/kxkham…
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@paulsperry_ @PathfinderAstro What woulda been helpful is if they just allowed her to testify publicly.
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