From no phase.. to a partial phase.. to a near-complete phase.. back to no phase.. all within just 2 days. It's easy to be misled by model mayhem, but a ridge axis over the Plains (too far east) & positively-tilted trough along the East Coast favor a suppressed/disjointed system.
Check this out...
The 0z Euro's 6 hour temperature forecast was TOO WARM in parts of southcentral PA by 3-8°F at 2am and temperatures are still dropping!
Possibly evidence of this model not accounting for evaporational cooling caused by last night's rain.
#PAwx#wxtwitter#wxX
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