固定されたツイート
devilon
745 posts
AutoHedge just dropped a free AI hedge fund that replaces what used to cost $500–$3,000 a month
It handles market risk assessment, stress testing, leverage control, position sizing, liquidity checks, hedging, and automated stop-losses -- all in one tool
Basically an entire risk management team in a single interface
You can now run professional-grade portfolio monitoring and automation with zero cost. Full setup guide is already out
This is one of those tools that actually changes how serious traders operate
AdiiX@adiix_official
AMD CEO Lisa Su just killed Nvidia’s $4,000 AI box with a $1,499 lunchbox. She walked on stage, held it in one hand, and ran a 235 billion parameter model live. No data center. No cloud. No rented GPU. The chip inside is something nobody saw coming. AMD’s Ryzen AI Max+ 395 is the first x86 silicon where CPU and GPU share the same 128GB of memory. That single trick lets a desktop run models that used to need a server rack. Out of those 128GB, Linux hands the GPU 110GB to play with. For context, an RTX 5090 gives you 32GB. A 4090 gives you 24. This box gives you more than three times either of them, in a chassis the size of a thick paperback. The benchmark that broke the room: this chip beat an Nvidia RTX 5080 by more than 3x on DeepSeek R1 inference. A $1,499 lunchbox outrunning a $1,000 discrete graphics card on a real AI workload. Nvidia spent a decade convincing the world you needed their hardware for serious AI. AMD just put that on a desk for half the price. Here is what nobody is telling you. A heavy AI user right now pays $200 for Claude Code Max, $200 for ChatGPT Pro, $20 for Cursor, $20 for Gemini. That is $5,280 a year leaving your account. The box pays itself off in 9 months and then runs free for the rest of its life. Install Ollama. Pull Qwen3 235B. Point Claude Code at localhost. Same interface you already use, except now nothing leaves your machine, nothing costs per request, and no company throttles your usage at 3am when you finally have time to build. This is the moment every AI subscription becomes optional. Lawyers stop fearing OpenAI leaks. Developers stop watching the token meter. Founders stop renting H100s for prototypes that never ship because the bill scared them. The first thousand people to figure this out will own the next two years of private AI consulting. Save this, and read the full breakdown article below you are watching the next shift hit before everyone else does.
English
English
@TotalWorldApps @Polymarket @PolymarketSport bro honestly, I once hit a 56x bet with just 6 legs
let’s see how this current combo plays out
English
@devilonnn @Polymarket @PolymarketSport 26 picks is insane, even for combo parlay. 12x odds seems real but probably too high.
English
@Mrcryptoo1 @Polymarket @PolycoolApp I personally skipped Ecuador vs Ivory Coast, feels way too unpredictable to me
English
The more I use @Polymarket
the less I focus on who wins.
and the more I focus on where the market might be looking the wrong way.
Tonight feels like one of those spots
Everyone expects Germany to win.
The real question is whether the market is still underpricing the goals?
Ecuador vs Ivory Coast is the one that keeps pulling me back.
The market sees Ecuador's unbeaten run.
I see a game that wants to stay low scoring.
The best opportunities usually appear when narrative and probability stop agreeing.
Tonight that's Ecuador vs Ivory Coast under 2.5
with a small lean toward the Dutch
Markets don't predict the future
They price belief.
°Mrcrypto°@Mrcryptoo1
Last night was a good reminder that football doesn't care about your analysis ⚽ I expected Switzerland to beat Qatar. But because of bankroll management, I also put $2 on the draw. That $2 turned into $40 💰 Sometimes the craziest outcomes are the ones nobody expects. That's why I love prediction markets on @Polymarket. The biggest surprise for me wasn't Qatar. It was Turkey. They attacked, created chances, pushed all game... and still couldn't score. The funny part? Most of my other reads played out almost exactly as expected. You don't win prediction markets by being right every time. You win by managing risk when you're wrong. Football will always find a way to surprise us 👀
English
English
⚽ Football. Japan vs Netherlands. Live.
I came into this match backing Japan.
37 minutes in, I'm starting to regret it.
The score is still 0-0, but the stats tell a different story.
Netherlands have 61% possession, 5 shots to Japan's 1, and they're controlling almost every phase of the game.
Polymarket agrees. Japan sits at just 24% while the Dutch remain the clear favorite.
Still hoping Japan can turn one counterattack into something special.
nofad@nofadsec
Yesterday I tested Brazil win + Over 1.5 on Polymarket. One leg was right. Brazil vs Morocco ended 1-1, so Over 1.5 hit. But Brazil could not finish the job. Morocco scored first, Brazil answered through Vinicius Jr, and after that the game got stuck. Brazil had the names, the pressure, the expectation. But Morocco defended well and did not let them find the second goal. So the combo died on the Brazil win leg. Over 1.5 worked. Brazil win did not.
English
Today, for the first time in two years, I had the chance to wander through these charming streets again, soaking in the beauty of the architecture, the atmosphere of the old city, and the aroma of freshly brewed coffee.
This walk was the perfect way to end the week. Lviv 🫶
English
@KryptoBestiya @Polymarket @PolymarketSport yeah, decided to add a little emotion to my life. thanks )
English
@devilonnn @Polymarket @PolymarketSport You never just win the championship, there are always surprises. Good luck to you.
English
Dividends on perps sounds fake until you realize what Variational is actually building
If you hold a long on a stock or ETF perp that pays dividends, vari pays it through funding
That means RWA perps are not just casino wrappers for TradFi tickers anymore. They are starting to copy the actual economics of the underlying asset - but with crypto rails, leverage and 24/7 access
This is the part people are sleeping on
The next RWA cycle won't be only “tokenized stocks”. It will be synthetic markets that behave closer to real markets, but move at crypto speed
Watch vari closely
Variational@variational_io
When you hold a long position on Variational for a stock or ETF that pays dividends, you receive dividend payments as funding.
English
This trader made +$10,000 in one month trading weather markets!
Account: polymarket.com/0x116db6298abc…
+$33,500 over two months.
+$500/day!
Best trades:
$145 -> $2,197
$995 -> $2,076
$246 -> $1,302
Trades only Asian cities.
Main strategy: buying near-certain outcomes at 95-99¢.
Once an outcome is almost decided, he enters.
Example:
> WeatherGuard reports 28°C in Qingdao during the final hour
> he immediately buys 27°C NO and locks in a small profit
Small profits, high volume, positive expected value.
But this strategy isn't risk-free.
On "Highest temperature in Seoul on May 31", his model was wrong.
More than $10,000 lost in a single evening.
One mistake erased weeks of gains.
The key difference is that he adapted.
The loss has already been recovered.
And the strategy continues to generate around +$500/day on average.
me_cool_off@me_cool_off
English
@me_cool_off @Polymarket @PolymarketSport thanks bro, if the first half hits, I’ll think about closing already
English
English
100% profit on the World Cup, shall we give it a try?
World Cup 2026. Netherlands vs Japan. Match research
Netherlands' chances of a win are 48%, a draw 27%, Japan's win 26%, BTTS 54%, and over 2.5 goals 50%
Match link: #36tBVOa" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/fifwc-nl…
Let's look at the teams' current standings:
Netherlands enter the World Cup ranked 8th in the world, with Virgil van Dijk leading a squad built to go deep in the tournament
The Dutch are missing key pieces though - Xavi Simons, Matthijs de Ligt and Stefan de Vrij are all injured heading into this opener
Japan qualified top of their group in AFC qualifying, dropping just one match across the entire campaign
Japan are also shorthanded - Wataru Endo retired, Takumi Minamino and Kaoru Mitoma are both out injured, stripping the squad of experience
This is the headline Group F clash, with both sides expected to advance - making Sunday's result matters a lot for seeding
Netherlands carry more individual quality across the pitch, but Japan's counter-attacking structure can hurt any team on the break
I'm predicting over 2.5 goals. Odds of 50¢ look great
What do you think?
V1nT@unvint
I plan to get 82% profit. Stats: 4 wins and 1 loss World Cup. Netherlands vs. Japan. Match Analysis Odds for a Netherlands win: 48%, a draw: 28%, Japan win: 27%, both teams to score: 55%, over 2.5 goals: 48% > The Netherlands team begins the tournament in an uncertain position > Their friendlies haven't been particularly convincing, and Timber's injury and Verbruggen's problems are troubling Koeman > However, the "Orange" team's only goal remains top spot > Japan is stable and calculating > Hajime Moriyasu decided to give his hard-working, high-pressing team enough time to rest, adapt to the climate, and prepare specifically for the game against the Netherlands > This game will almost certainly decide the fate of top spot in the group, but a lack of match practice often leads to problems Join the Firefly promotion, choose your team, and we'll give you a free $15 bet They also have a $50,000 prize pool You can register and try your luck here: firefly.social/event/fifa?sid… The Netherlands likes to start World Cups strongly, but Japan has been playing very well for quite some time, so I'm betting on both teams to win for 55¢ Who do you think will win today?
English
Locked in 35% in 7 days
+$60 with only $170 buying power
Polymarket only
how is your week?
English
English
@devilonnn @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade Smart money hunts for niche category edges while ignoring clean profiles
English
Most Polymarket copy traders use the leaderboard backwards
They sort by all-time PnL, pick the biggest name, and assume profit = copyable edge
That is how you end up copying old entries, hidden drawdowns, or wallets that were never meant to be mirrored
The real filter is different:
→ 200+ closed predictions
→ Realized PnL > open-position hopium
→ One clear category edge
→ Position sizes you can actually mirror
→ Fresh trades with enough liquidity to enter
→ Drawdowns that match your risk, not theirs
The funny part is that the best wallets to study are not always the cleanest-looking ones
swisstony looks like a volume-grinder profile: 100k trades, whale-level PnL, but only ~52% win rate
denizz looks more like a geopolitical / information-edge wallet than a blind copy target
Anointed-Connect is the win-rate trap in one screenshot: 90%+ win rate, much lower realized PnL, and hundreds of open positions
That’s the point
A leaderboard is not a copy button. It’s a candidate pool
Build a watchlist, label the archetype, then wait for fresh trades where the edge is still alive
English
@devilonnn @Polymarket @PolymarketTrade True, it's important to analyze the strategy, not just blindly copy the results.
English
@CryptoMavka Yes, I’m putting together a big parlay for the upcoming matches - around 20 games in total
English
i almost got it right and still lost
wanted to bet on "both teams to score"
but last minute saw 59% going for brazil to win and changed my mind
both scored. 1-1. my first thought was right and i threw it away
morocco first Saibari 21st minute, a chip over Alisson. brazil answered with Vinicius Jr in the 32nd. draw until the final whistle
result: -$5 and maximum tilt
i always show wins and losses because trust matters more than looking like a winner
next time i'm not changing my first instinct
would you have changed your mind in my place?
Crypto Mavka@CryptoMavka
went with brazil 🇧🇷 market gives them 59% highest of all three options morocco is solid defensively but brazil creates chances in every game. logic is simple placed $5 on @Polymarket. to win $8.47 let's see what happens at 1am who are you betting on tonight?
English