Moysha

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Moysha

Moysha

@mmoyshaa

Prediction markets researcher @Polymarket | Decoding the future through data | member @zscdao

Polymarket Katılım Mart 2026
173 Takip Edilen104 Takipçiler
Ninedol
Ninedol@ninedol·
@mmoyshaa I believe in you and that your bet will win
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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
WTA Rome 🇮🇹 Coco Gauff 🇺🇸 vs Mirra Andreeva ⬛️ Current odds: → Gauff win ~ 49¢ → Andreeva win ~ 51¢ Market volume: ~$105k Market link: #BsMxssNnhgbbgfbgbgbvv" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/wta-gauf… At first glance this market looks completely balanced. Price keeps moving around the 50/50 area while both sides continue absorbing liquidity. But once you look deeper into the trade history, the market starts looking far less neutral. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ benwyatt Market link: @benwyatt?r=tom310#BsMxssN" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@benwyatt?r=to… All-time PnL: -$877k Loaded nearly $10k on Coco Gauff at 48.5¢. One of the biggest positions currently sitting in this market. But the important nuance here is the account history itself. Despite the size, the long-term results remain heavily negative, which makes this flow far less convincing than the raw volume might initially suggest. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ sbimbg Market link: #BsMxssN" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/profile/0xf519… All-time PnL: +$259k Bought Mirra Andreeva YES worth around $4.1k in the 51 - 52¢ area. Completely opposite profile compared to the Gauff side. Profitable trader. Controlled entries. Consistent buying around current levels. This is exactly the type of flow that usually matters more in balanced markets like this. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ Bagwell306 Market link: #BsMxssN" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/profile/0x9c76… All-time PnL: +$157k Placed over $4k on Under 21.5 games. That’s a fairly aggressive position which suggests expectation of a comfortable win from one side rather than a long three set battle. And considering that recent buying pressure has mostly leaned toward Andreeva around 51 - 52¢, the market may already be showing which side stronger accounts currently prefer. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ What we have right now: → massive but historically weak capital supporting Gauff → profitable accounts gradually leaning toward Andreeva → Mirra continues receiving support around current levels Most interesting part: Current odds: → Gauff win ~ 50 ¢ → Andreeva win ~ 51¢et still struggles to properly establish her above the 50 ¢ area. Because if strong money truly believed Gauff had clear value here, the market likely wouldn’t remain this balanced for so long. My position: → Mirra Andreeva win ~ 51 ¢
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ELG
ELG@elg_oleksandr·
@mmoyshaa I'm curious if you write who won, maybe then I'll think about it myself)
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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@elg_oleksandr So you didn't read the post to the end🥲 Іn the concept of my posts the last words in the post are always my choice for this event🤪
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ELG
ELG@elg_oleksandr·
@mmoyshaa Good analysis, and what did you choose?
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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@korenssss Mathematics is very simple: we cut off emotions, leaving only cold calculation. Whoever controls the numbers takes the cash😋
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Korens
Korens@korenssss·
Nassim Taleb spent 21 years proving why most Wall Street models are built to fail In 2000, his fund returned 60% while the dot-com bubble wiped everyone else out. While "experts" called the crash impossible, he was positioned for it The article below is a clear framework applied to Polymarket using base rates, mathematically updating Bayesian probabilities, and tracking market entropy instead of blindly following price The math that brings out Apollo 13 and cracks Enigma codes is now rolling out Polymarket. A framework that turns news into pure profit ↓
Korens@korenssss

x.com/i/article/2053…

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Ivan Benzema
Ivan Benzema@Ivanbenzemama·
More than $500,000 for 1 week. The famous @Polymarket account "yaya88888" can earn $516,351.42. It's a huge money. I pay attention he's done it on sports events. Yaya can find profit events. His biggest winning is almost $200,000 Profile: @yaya88888?r=Kaito" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@yaya88888?r=K…
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Lutchyn
Lutchyn@Lutchyn13·
Saudi Pro League. Al Nassr vs Al Hilal. How I see this game before kickoff. Cristiano Ronaldo could already win his first trophy in Saudi Arabia today after four seasons. But standing in front of Al Nassr is their direct rival, Al Hilal, the main team chasing them in the title race. A win today would cut the gap to only two points. There have also been a lot of discussions recently about controversial referee decisions and mistakes going in favor of both teams. I honestly would not be surprised if this match also ends with some drama. Personally, I do not think today will become the championship celebration for Al Nassr. I expect Al Hilal to take the three points and keep the title race alive. My Polymarket prediction for this match is an Al Hilal win.
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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@me_cool_off X's on market mistakes. Squeeze the maximum😋
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me_cool_off
me_cool_off@me_cool_off·
This trader turned $81 into $8,154 with a single bet on a 5-minute market! Bought at 1¢ - sold at 100¢! Account: @hqhjqoqggg?via=me_cool_off" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@hqhjqoqggg?vi… +$29,000 in just one day! Only 104 trades! Best trades: $81 -> $8,154 $1,999 -> $8,784 $1,999 -> $8,487 He used 3 strategies in just a single day: 1. Undervalued outcomes (1-30¢): > buys when the market heavily underestimates the probability > waits for a correction That’s exactly how $81 turned into $8,154! 2. Buying at 95–99¢ before expiration: > captures the last 1-5¢ on nearly resolved markets > small profit, almost no risk 3. Arbitrage: Up + Down < $1: > buys both outcomes when their combined price is below $1 and locks in the difference risk-free That’s how he printed +$29,000 in 24 hours! 88% win rate! Just connect copy trading to his account and print alongside him: t.me/PolyGunSniperB…
me_cool_off@me_cool_off

x.com/i/article/2047…

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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@nofadsec Alright, brother. But don't forget about risk management and don't give in to emotions and excitement😇
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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@ventry089 Automate the routine and generate profit
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Ventry
Ventry@ventry089·
klarna fired 700 people and replaced them with AI. a year later they hired them back they're not alone. 100,000 layoffs in 2026 labeled "AI". half the companies already regret it 2023 - klarna, partnership with openai. bot handled 2.3 million chats a month. $10 million saved. CEO on cnbc: "AI can already do all the jobs we as humans do" 2025 - same CEO, Bloomberg, different tone: "we went too far. quality dropped" company valuation in that time: from $45.6B to $6.7B they confused which work to give away last month my bot made 49 trades in 48 hours. i touched nothing. profitable when i interfere - the dashboard shows exactly how much i give back. $2,820 every two days. that wasn't judgment. it was a trailing stop i wrote when i didn't trust my own strategy a nurse reads a child's breathing in a room with a panicking parent - that's human you rechecking the same spreadsheet for the fourth time today - that's a cron job in your costume the threat isn't replacement. it's that you don't know which part of your work was never yours
fokki@0x_fokki

x.com/i/article/2054…

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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@farxxxxx1 Arbitrage on autopilot. Move for profi
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farxxxxx
farxxxxx@farxxxxx1·
Quant from Jane Street made $865K in 6 months on Polymarket using an AI bot with a 99.3% win rate Someone took Claude Opus 4.7, fed it 29,000 of his trades, and reverse-engineered the whole strategy from a dataset of 72 million transactions. Then just replicated it. Rented a VPS, set up a Hermes proxy, connected Binance and Polymarket APIs. Three days later - 363% ROI. The setup is 5 steps: > Rent a VPS on Hetzner (~$6/mo) > Install Hermes CLI > Connect Opus 4.7, Telegram bot and APIs > Backtest on historical data >Drop in the Hermes prompts Kelly Criterion for position sizing. Start with $100+ and let it run 50–100 trades to calibrate. Self-learning agent plus a quant model - this combo is becoming the strongest edge on Polymarket right now. Save this. trader @sharky6999" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/@sharky6999 Polymarket polymarket.com/?r=farxxxxx
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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@Atenov_D Compound interest: the path to wealth
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Atenov int.
Atenov int.@Atenov_D·
Everyone is trying to find a 10x trade on Polymarket. These 5 markets are sitting wide open printing free money. And almost nobody is structuring them correctly. > Here's what I mean: Market 1: Jesus doesn't return before 2027 #ErVj97V" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/will-jes… Market 2: Iran doesn't legalize gay marriage #ErVj97V" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/will-ira… Market 3: US stays in NATO before 2027 #ErVj97V" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/will-us-… Market 4: Aliens not confirmed before 2027 #ErVj97V" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/event/will-the… Market 5: Putin stays in power before 2027 [polymarket.com/event/putin-ou…] > Chance any of these happen? Zero. Literally zero. Each one pays 5-20% traded separately. Sounds small so most people move on. That's the most expensive mistake on Polymarket right now. Here's why: @Poly_Parlay doesn't add your returns together. It multiplies them. Every near-certain outcome you stack into one position compounds the payout of every other leg. Real math: > 5 markets at 95% probability traded one by one = +5% collected five times = +25% total > Same 5 combined into one parlay = +1,000%+ in a single position Same capital. Same outcomes. Same near-zero risk. 40x more money collected just by changing the structure. Bot access: t.me/poly_parlay_bo… I already opened this parlay. Not because I found something nobody knows about. Because I stopped leaving money behind on trades that are already obvious. That's the entire difference between traders who grind and traders who print. Free money markets sitting wide open. Wrong structure costs you 40x every single time. One parlay fixes that permanently.
Atenov int.@Atenov_D

Aadil Manazir made $600,000/year in quant trading at age 20 - and turned down Google in his free time just to see if he could get the offer - it started in 8th grade MathCounts. By 20 he had cracked the most selective interviews in finance before he could legally drink > you will watch his brother interview him on the exact path: math competitions, elite summer camps, the recruiting strategy nobody teaches in college, and why he packed on 30 lbs of muscle while doing all of it Bookmark & watch - it's the most detailed breakdown of what it actually takes to land a $600k offer before most people finish their sophomore year.

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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@de1lymoon Poisson finds gaps where the crowd sees risk
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Alex
Alex@de1lymoon·
You need to try: > deposit $50 to poly > pick one rare-event market > google the historical base rate > use Poisson to get the true probability > if your number > market price by 10pp → fire > if not → pass and try the next one Most attempts won’t even reveal an edge But the ones that do pay 30× to 65× Poisson is 187 years old. The math was always waitinga
Alex@de1lymoon

x.com/i/article/2052…

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monokern
monokern@monokern·
Audemars Piguet x Swatch drops may 16 saturday may 16 is the easiest $1,400 you'll make all year $400 on the wrist looks like $30k, that's the watch AP has never licensed royal oak to anyone in 54 years Moonswatch went 3-9x on resale This collab is a bigger cultural moment than moonswatch by a long distance how to make money on it: > in-store only. find your nearest official swatch store and show up saturday morning > choose your store wisely. the bigger the flagship, the bigger the queue. smaller locations have the same stock and 10x less competition > one person, one watch. that's the rule. which means your profit scales directly with how many people you bring > call everyone who owes you a favor. $150 cash same-day for 6 hours of standing. they win, you win more honestly i'd keep one just for the flex
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zerosupercycle@zscdao

You all know what time it is It's Polymarket Supercycle time

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Niakris
Niakris@13_niakris·
You are losing your capital. And you are lying to yourself about the reasons. 84% of Polymarket traders are deep in the red. What do they say after losing capital? Whales manipulated the market. The news was fake. I was right, just early. This is not analysis. This is your ego's defense mechanism. Every excuse is a virus in your perception interface. By blaming external factors, you hand them control over your money. You drop the responsibility. And willingly become exit liquidity. The market owes you nothing. It is absolutely neutral. Smart money in the top 0.1% never looks for someone to blame. They look for bugs in their own algorithms. I have compiled 3 strict patches to kill the victim inside you and rewrite your mind. I will drop them in the next post. Turn on notifications so you don't miss this update.
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0xRicker
0xRicker@0xRicker·
The trader who won 167 bets in a row and turned $427 into $290,761 using one simple secret $285.6K in positions. 167 predictions. $26.8K biggest win Every position NO. Entry range 45¢–99¢. Strikes spanning 7 BTC price levels from $15K to $45K Zero leverage, zero overnight delta. Pure structural extraction His strategy is simple: → Fades every "BTC dips to $15K–$45K by Dec 2026" market - buys NO at 71¢–99¢ → Mirrors it on the upside: NO on BTC $110K / $115K / $120K in May → Stacks the entire tail curve at once - diversification across strikes, not across direction → Holds to resolution. No exits, no narrative trading All analytics and insights about him here: @LucasMeow?code=ricky" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">predictparity.com/traders/p/@Luc… Profile: #xgwoE1U" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">polymarket.com/profile/%40luc…
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Moysha
Moysha@mmoyshaa·
@Predicti0r Super, we will definitely discuss this later - so as not to spam in the comments
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