lucas

This isn’t a small wobble! it looks like a big stratospheric wind reversal in early March 2026. My CWT wavelet scan is lighting up that flip loud and clear. (GFS 0.25 Model) This is the kind of stratospheric shift you don’t ignore.

Almost 50C warming at 10hpa above the N Pole recently The spv stratospheric polar vortex much weakened as a result

A band of heavy showers will move east this afternoon. Some briefly torrential rainfall is possible as well as hail and thunder locally and there's also the potential for squally wind gusts 🌦️🌬️ Driving conditions may become difficult with spray and surface water flooding 🚙

Snow Chance for Wednesday Afternoon into Thursday Morning: A low pressure system pushing east across the English Channel is expected to bring a warm front from the south and push northwards. There is still a lot of uncertainty on the positioning of the Low (how far north or how far south it will go), but at the moment from latest models and latest Met Office data/ warnings I have made this graphic. As the front pushes a bit North the rain, which is associated with the front, with bump into the colder air in places across England and Wales and will turn into snow. The event is most likely to be expected to be a more of a hill and higher level event, than a lower level event. But in some places (on lower ground) where the precipitation is heavy enough and the temperatures are low enough, there maybe some snow for a time. Snow Accumulations: Snow Accumulation are expected to be 2-5cm across higher ground/ hills and even possibly up to 10cm in some spots where snow is more persistent and Heavier. But where snow does fall to lower ground accumulations of 0-2cm is likely with a small chance of up to 5cm where snow is heavier and more persistent.

12Z STRATOSPHERE WATCH ISSUED 17/02/26 Right guys the 12Z has an interesting development the pv is looking more weeker at 1hpa then the previous run the 6Z and 10hpa is completely destroyed so we are keeping it at 1 polar vortex until the signal has completely gone

If you would like to know if you will get snow tomorrow night, i will answer that! Send your town/city/county and drop a like and ill respond with your chances! (within reason)

18Z STRATOSPHERE WATCH ISSUED 16/02/26 Right guys the 18Z is going for the same as all the other runs today there going for a major displacement event at 10hpa and is looking very week at 1hpa so im keeping it at 1 polar vortex until the signal goes completely things look good

@SamSouthal1875 @_Malaciaaaa what about east anglia? specifically south norfolk

@_Malaciaaaa 2nd snow event of the winter for Wales and the Midlands favourd. Snow 100-200m. Wintry mix to low levels I suspect.

What a snow event🥶🥶

@loki_weather Even South norfolk!?

GFS 18Z has gotten all midland snow lovers eyes on the charts this evening.

@JakeGru79480243 Unlikely now,

@jnc20001 when would affects hit the uk?

12Z STRATOSPHERE WATCH Right guys so the 12Z stratospheric data is very interesting it’s still going for a major displacement at 1hpa and at 10hpa its completely gone so I’m keeping it at 1 polar vortex until the signal has gone completely things are looking good up there

Yellow warning of snow affecting East of England metoffice.gov.uk/weather/warnin…

@Official_WXUK East anglia snow tomorrow? What do you say

Any reports of low-level snow in NW Ireland this afternoon?

@_Malaciaaaa @Londonbusking5 @KennedyJr24 saturday could change the intensity, length and locations. don’t give up hope. also chance for cold early march late feb

@Londonbusking5 @KennedyJr24 I give up fr bring on spring! Going away in May will be good

Models are terrible guys this isn’t happening

@_Malaciaaaa east anglia still there so wouldn’t rule out south

We’ve had multiple GFS, GEM, ECM and recently UKV(high res)/UKMO suggest lowland snow Unless UKV upgrades tomorrow these models are a joke

Might retire from model watching cuz they’re useless just downgrades closer to the time always

@MetJam_ snow for norwich?

Increasingly likely that the front on Sunday will probably be rain or wet snow (if you're lucky) for the majority of us - still a little bit contentious but that's the general picture.

very interesting… #uksnow

@TheSnowDreamer east anglia?

Latest UKV is raising an eyebrow with Sunday’s front being active and predominately snow across London & SE, it’s within envelope but I wouldn’t say favoured scenario at present. I’m thinking the chance of some leading edge snow has increased Sunday morning south of M4 before transitioning to rain. Next 36 hours will be informative.

interesting from met office.. potentially a cold spell late feb-early march??. (5 day forecast was for east of england, norwich etc) #uksnow #metoffice #cold

@TheSnowDreamer don’t take this seriously, but just makes me wonder…

I’m seeing a snow risk in our region Friday evening / early Saturday. Namely in showers. Models have increased depth of cold air, certainly sufficient for falling snow to low levels further southeast with air flow I’d expect North Sea convection. Not the biggest window about 12 hours but one nonetheless.