Inspector Sandwich

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Inspector Sandwich

Inspector Sandwich

@Bioutt736

- I analyze elections current and past - Good predictor of election outcomes - I can debate :) -

가입일 Kasım 2025
42 팔로잉0 팔로워
Physics Geek
Physics Geek@physicsgeek·
The reason why I'm pessimistic about Pratt's chances in LA is because I assume that "vote" counting will continue until a Democrat wins.
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America First Insight
America First Insight@AF_Insight·
This is your reminder that California elections will not be called tomorrow (probably). California still operates like a third world nation and can take days, if not weeks to count their mail in ballots.
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Inspector Sandwich
Inspector Sandwich@Bioutt736·
@E_Barcohana Early in-person is 2-4% of the overall vote, Mail-in and returns account for over 90%, Republicans need to do fantastic on election day to overcome it. And then there's the question of whether Pratt has brought in enough independents and moderate Democrats to win.
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Inspector Sandwich
Inspector Sandwich@Bioutt736·
@chriswithans No, California has absolutely no excuse to wait this long to count when Texas counted all votes in 4-5 hours in their primaries. It's fraud plain and simple.
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Chris
Chris@chriswithans·
You should definitely expect the overall count for California to be bluer as time goes on. But it's not going to be as extreme as some people think. Take Prop 50, which was contested last November. Yes had 63.66% of the count after around 24 hours. After 10.8 million votes were finally counted, it was at 64.6%. So +1% after about 25% more votes. Interestingly, the final final final count was slightly more red. 64.4% was how it finally ended up.
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Red Eagle Politics
Red Eagle Politics@RedEaglePatriot·
Trump got 69% of White Texans in 2016 and 66% of White Texans in 2024. Paxton is likely home free if he gets 61-62%, even if he loses Latinos by 20 (which I’m not all that convinced he will)
Alec MacGillis@AlecMacGillis

Remarkable fact via @Nate_Cohn: white Texans have shifted so much to Democrats since 2016 that Kamala Harris would've essentially tied Trump in Texas had she managed to match Hillary's 2016 performance with Latino voters (which she most definitely didn't). nytimes.com/2026/05/27/ups…

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OSZ
OSZ@OpenSourceZone·
Early In-Person voting in Los Angeles Per Decision Desk HQ 🔴 Republicans: 42% 🔵 Democrats: 38% 🟡 Other/No Party: 20%
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Inspector Sandwich
Inspector Sandwich@Bioutt736·
@Steveozuck @OpenSourceZone I never denied Republicans are over performing turnout, but I wanted to tone down expectations because I don't want tomorrow to seem like a complete disappointment if it doesn't have good results. Republicans also need to do amazing on election day if they want a good night.
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OSZ
OSZ@OpenSourceZone·
Early vote in California as of May 30 Per Decision Desk HQ 🔴 Republicans: 41.3% 🔵 Democrats: 41.2% 🟡 Other/No Party: 17.6%
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Inspector Sandwich
Inspector Sandwich@Bioutt736·
@_DinoReborn Stacy would have been better off running for Senate in 2028, she's a good candidate but she ran against a popular incumbent in the state. Indies alone voted for Shapiro by 30 points in his last race.
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Reddit Lies
Reddit Lies@reddit_lies·
I love the wall of current thing flags
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Inspector Sandwich
Inspector Sandwich@Bioutt736·
@chriswithans Fun fact: Out of all of Vermont history, only 6 democrats in total have ever won Vermont gubernatorial races, which is even crazier
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Chris
Chris@chriswithans·
This was Phil Scott's closest reelection race to date. And it's not even close. 15 points. He would later go to win reelections by 51, 57, and 52 points. Vermont. Man.
Chris tweet mediaChris tweet media
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