Nate Cohn

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Nate Cohn

Nate Cohn

@Nate_Cohn

chief political analyst, @nytimes. writing about elections, public opinion and demographics for @UpshotNYT. polling and needling. PNW expat.

Washington, DC Katılım Ocak 2012
1.2K Takip Edilen442.8K Takipçiler
Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP@SeanTrende·
@davidshor Which is a way to do it, but you end up with weird things like rural portions of Franklin County bound up with inner city Columbus. From a view of representation that goes beyond partisanship, that's a nightmare.
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Sean T at RCP
Sean T at RCP@SeanTrende·
First, you can't really ban gerrymandering, you can only cabin it. And that only works if you have precise, quantifiable measures with crisp cutoffs. No weighing, no multi-factor tests, etc. Just something like "no splitting counties or municipalities more than necessary." 1/
Andrew Fleischman@ASFleischman

Both parties gerrymander whenever possible. This is bad. Neither party will ever unilaterally disarm. That is predictable. So why not just call a truce and pass a law to restrict it everywhere?

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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
Still, there are a lot of viable options if you don't like gerrymandering. Compared to the status quo, it doesn't really matter which one you pick. You can even pick the one your opponent prefers. It'll be fine.
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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
One solution that I'm not sure makes as much sense: a state-level proportionality standard (including the efficiency gap). Single-member districts don't yield proportionality; making them do so will require things that look like gerrymandering and/or be impossible
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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
I'm going to break my self-imposed social media ban to note something that I might write if I wasn't leaving on a trip tonight: If you want to solve gerrymandering, it is a solvable problem.
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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
@ChazNuttycombe i assume it's final 2025, as it doesn't specify otherwise and there's a significantly higher proportion of no party primary voters
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Chaz Nuttycombe
Chaz Nuttycombe@ChazNuttycombe·
@Nate_Cohn Out of curiosity is this showing advance votes as of the equivalent day in 2025 or just overall?
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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
@ChazNuttycombe if you think that democratic primary voters will be more likely to vote against the new map, or you think non-primary voters will break overwhelmingly, that's all fine but it's a separate question from the claim in the article
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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
@ChazNuttycombe i don't know what they posted yesterday. all i'm saying is that the article is correct: those who have voted so far are democratic primary voters over gop primary voters by a wide margin
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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
@ChazNuttycombe and unlike L2, these characterizations are exclusively based on primary vote history, not L2's various demographic / geographic modeling
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Nate Cohn
Nate Cohn@Nate_Cohn·
@ChazNuttycombe the article isn't clear here, but these are NYT party characterizations, not L2's characterizations
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Keşfet

@SeanTrende @davidshor @ChazNuttycombe @elonmusk @BarackObama @taylorswift13 @cristiano @BillGates