Profitable Patterns

@thesetupfactory That is incredible

@BuyAtSupport I’m a pediatric/neonatal anesthesiologist and ICU physician

Some weekend thoughts, it’s easy for us that are focused on the market every day to miss and forget about the bigger picture. We always want more. But sometimes the road to more is a balanced mind. Don’t forget that family and health are the most important things, everything else is secondary. Don’t become too overwhelmed by the market that you miss the important things. I’m fortunate to have two beautiful little daughters, and unfortunate to have both of my parents pass away a couple of years ago. For a decade I was occupied by medical school, work and the market— missing time I could have spent with my parents. And time can never be recaptured. Balance is key. Never forget the bigger picture.

*TRUMP'S TEAM BEGAN TALKING ON HOW PEACE TALKS WOULD LOOK: AXIOS *ANY DEAL TO END WAR WOULD INCLUDE REOPENING HORMUZ: AXIOS *US WOULD WANT IRAN TO HAVE NO MISSILE PROGRAM FOR 5 YRS: AXIOS *IRANIAN DEMANDS INCLUDE CEASEFIRE, NO WAR RESUMPTION: AXIOS

@CrazyyHub @grok who was murdered?

Be careful who you open your door for...

@trdr_d @X There u go. ☺️

@BuyAtSupport @X Lol 😄😄 let me download the fake forex app Better? 😄

totally gay picks by me today, I wanted to short SNDK, LITE and MU and all reversed Yes, I could've cut it any sooner but I just didn't want to. F** this gambling. 😄 $SNDK, short $MU, short $LITE, short

Market Summary – WK12: "But did you die?" ⚠️ Disclaimer: This may be longer and not purely market-focused - but it’s probably the most important summary I’ve written this year! Personal account: Despite knowing better, the ego-hunting volatility got me too. The urge to make money by "taking advantage" of the volatility cost me ~1.5% of equity. My planned max drawdown from highs moved from ~5% → ~6.5%. Not ideal. But hey - I’m still above water! And that’s really the point. Mindset & expectations: Sometimes we just need to calm our expectations. We all have big goals. We all want to play A+ game. But the reality is → A+ game is rare; even the best don’t operate there consistently - the same teams don’t win championships every year. But here’s the important part: even your A- or B game can still get you to the playoffs. And the payout there is already more than decent. - In easy dollar environments: maybe your goal is to "crush it" (e.g. 50-100%+) → If you make 20-40% → you know what? You made it! That’s amazing! - In hard penny environments: maybe your goal is to steadily build toward outperformance → If you’re flat or slightly green → you know what? You made it! That’s amazing! The ultimate goal is simple: don’t go underwater so the math starts working against you (from experience, that’s a tough place to be climbing from) One subtle but extremely important "a-ha" moment for me came from an MPA session with @markminervini and @MarkRitchie_II back in June '22. The market was down ~30% YTD and someone asked: - "I’m not making money - what should I improve?" → The answer from Mark & Mark was simple: "Are you at 0%, or slightly below? Then you’re absolutely crushing it!" That’s perspective. We always tend to slip towars "what-ifs" and "should haves" - "If I just held those 2-3 names…", "I should have selected this name to keep..." → But the real question is: did you follow your plan? - And even if you didn’t - remember: even if you miss a penalty shot in playoffs, you can still make it to finals. If the defense holds, you advance. And sometimes, even A+ execution isn’t enough - there’s always a component of luck involved. So the takeaway here is simple: get content with yourself. Expectations will always run ahead (and they should) - just don’t let them distort reality. Market: The good old saying 'Nothing good happens below the 200-day MA' may stay true for a while here. And if you got caught - don’t BS yourself blaming a "black swan war event". This wasn’t a black swan. The signs were there all along. - We’ve been chopping and rotating in a very selective environment since November - Energy broke out 1-2 months before the war even started - Value has been leading since the beginning of the year (often a late-cycle signal) As of now, it’s not pretty: - Momentum fading + Yields rising + the dollar strong + Credit spreads widening + Oil pushing higher - Momentum traders are getting forced out due to ugly technical action - Value investors are still not interested - valuations haven’t reset enough yet - Broader crowd is stuck in uncertainty, balancing geopolitical risks with inflation concerns. So what you get is an environment with no natural buyers. And that kind of environment typically leads to what we’re already seeing: air pockets, failed bounces, and sharp moves that are tradable - but very unreliable. This is not a place where clean trends just emerge and carry. I personally don’t think a simple ceasefire headline fixes this. Something bigger needs to shift - either technically, structurally, or both. We could see: - a violent capitulation event, where leverage gets flushed out and panic selling takes over. - or something else breaks (private credit, banking, ...) - forcing either a policy response or at least a repricing - or (this is probably the most likely but also the hardest to trade) - we get a slow rounding bottom. The phase where bad news simply becomes 'old news', sentiment stays bearish, and price quietly stabilizes while everyone gets worn out from failed bounces. What I’ll be watching is fairly straightforward: - Whether the market starts ignoring bad news. - Whether new leadership actually emerges. Whether selling pressure begins to exhaust. - Bonus: whether liquidity improves (yields drop, dollar weakens). Until then, this is not a clarity environment. It’s a survival environment. Expect volatility. Not clarity. Stay alive. That’s the edge!

That was funny 😂

$LITE and $SNDK remain the market leaders. Both closing above all the major moving averages.

Big buyers into the close on $SPY rebalance. $LITE $COHR

Big optics buyers into the close on $SPY rebalance. $LITE $COHR

President Trump needs a @CMTAssociation member in his cabinet to tell him we are about to close below the 200 day sma for the first time since April.

@yianisz It is rarely talked about even on financial TV

Loaded up more photonics today we’re still way too early. You ever heard of the false consensus effect? It’s when you think “everyone knows this” just because you and your circle do… when in reality it’s still early..

@RealSimpleAriel none. time for a system reset.

You lose Optics $LITE $CIEN $COHR $AAOI $AXTI and if you lose Memory names $MU $SNDK $WDC $STX, what themes are left?

$AAOI is now 32% off the $128.96 high hit just last week. Take that how you want. It doesn't feel good to buy here. I added some today and look at it as buying a massive growth story at a significant dip in an uptrend. The photonics companies should bounce the most once we are done with Iran.

$LITE Symmetrical triangle breakout, holding the breakout gap and above all major moving averages including the 8 day. S&P 500 addition later today.

$FN successful retest of yesterday's breakout. MACD continues to make higher lows.

Trump commentary could shape the afternoon trading

$LITE $COHR are being added to the $SPY today, should see a bid into the afternoon

THE GREATEST OF ALL TIME!!!😎🇺🇸🤣🤣🤣